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VEF Riga vs BK Ogre Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 05 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record7-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.4/10
Below normal
6.1/10
Above normal
Position#9
Record4-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game86.4
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Xiaomi Arena
Other2026
Meetings · VEF Riga v BK Ogre
05 Jan 2027
VRI v BK O
upcoming
08 Nov 2025
VRI90
BK O74
30 Nov 2024
VRI78
BK O73
20 Mar 2024
VRI81
BK O74
18 Mar 2023
VRI75
BK O67
09 Apr 2022
VRI116
BK O55
06 Nov 2021
VRI96
BK O84
10 Apr 2021
VRI90
BK O85
27 Mar 2021
VRI89
BK O81
20 Mar 2021
VRI97
BK O76
31 Oct 2020
VRI83
BK O76
24 Apr 2019
VRI90
BK O85
20 Apr 2019
VRI110
BK O71
20 Dec 2018
VRI111
BK O108
18 Apr 2018
VRI83
BK O86
08 Mar 2017
VRI84
BK O75
20 Jan 2016
VRI94
BK O76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

VEF Riga win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
BK Ogre win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VEF RigaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiga
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#6
W
90-70
90
70
+20
84avg 84
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Neftchi IK
#39
W
110-94
110
94
+16
117avg 84
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#7
W
89-72
89
72
+17
84avg 84
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
CSM Oradea
#15
L
84-92
84
92
-8
77avg 84
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
97-89
97
89
+8
94avg 84
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Mykonos
#7
L
88-91
88
91
-3
83avg 84
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
69avg 84
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Fribourg Olympic
#46
W
97-65
97
65
+32
no box
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Viimsi
#13
L
88-104
88
104
-16
no box
A08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Lok. Plovdiv
#24
W
85-83
85
83
+2
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
21-18
28-19
23-18
24-26
26-30
30-16
30-22
17-19
19-15
29-17
24-21
23-20
17-20
22-25
22-27
22-16
20-17
27-27
28-29
26-20
21-20
25-18
16-33
34-25
17-15
9-18
14-28
26-14
27-14
21-22
23-15
25-27
14-18
26-30
23-29
20-24
22-28
22-17
21-14
174.8Avg total
90.2Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)89.675.0164.6+14.678%
Season at home (5)87.867.8155.6+20.080%
Season away (4)91.884.0175.8+7.875%
Last 10 (10)90.284.6174.8+5.660%
Last 5 (5)86.485.8172.2+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)86.689.6176.2-3.038%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)88.373.5161.8+14.981%
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOgre
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
93-104
93
104
-11
85avg 78
A10/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
L
101-106
101
106
-5
95avg 78
H14/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
73-92
73
92
-19
54avg 78
H26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
85-110
85
110
-25
63avg 78
A03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
106-81
106
81
+25
101avg 78
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
76-69
76
69
+7
71avg 78
A16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#6
L
78-82
78
82
-4
77avg 78
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
88-92
88
92
-4
80avg 78
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
101-77
101
77
+24
97avg 78
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#8
W
92-88
92
88
+4
no box
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
27-24
23-22
19-30
22-20
29-22
21-30
29-34
20-29
23-23
17-17
13-23
15-34
21-28
23-29
26-19
18-22
30-21
22-15
36-23
20-15
17-11
23-22
16-21
21-26
18-25
18-18
21-13
29-23
22-29
19-23
18-17
22-22
26-16
28-25
25-14
26-20
23-14
23-23
20-31
179.4Avg total
89.3Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.486.4173.8+1.050%
Season at home (5)92.086.0178.0+6.060%
Season away (3)79.787.0166.7-7.333%
Last 10 (10)89.390.1179.4-0.840%
Last 5 (5)87.081.6168.6+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)84.790.8175.5-6.127%
vs Similar (7)81.084.0165.0-3.029%
vs Weaker (11)89.579.5169.0+10.173%
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.2-0.2
VEF RigaBK Ogre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#6
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Neftchi IK
#39
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#7
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
CSM Oradea
#15
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Mykonos
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Fribourg Olympic
#46
W
53-28
53
28
+25
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Viimsi
#13
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Lok. Plovdiv
#24
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
84.0Avg total
43.9Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.539.184.5+6.477%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.138.584.5+7.693%-
Last 30 away (15)44.939.784.5+5.260%-
Last 10 (10)43.940.184.0+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)46.441.087.4+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)43.539.883.2+3.888%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.038.484.4+7.771%-
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A10/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H14/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
36-62
36
62
-26
A03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#6
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#8
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
90.5Avg total
45.3Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.343.386.7+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.942.488.3+3.560%-
Last 30 away (15)40.744.385.0-3.540%-
Last 10 (10)45.345.290.5+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)44.840.285.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)42.947.590.4-4.527%-
vs Similar (7)43.343.486.7-0.143%-
vs Weaker (11)44.038.082.0+6.082%-
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.723.1
58.2%
52.5%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.8
31.5%
31.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws26.018.4
70.8%
68.3%18.4
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Ogre: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.8
57.8%
52.5%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.8
37.0%
31.4%32.4
🏀 Free throws19.514.0
71.8%
68.3%14.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
VEF Riga
WLWLLWLWWW
BK Ogre
WWLLWWLLLL
#2
League position
#9
+14.5
Net rating
-2.5
101.3
Offensive rating
100.7
86.9
Defensive rating
103.2
53.7%
Effective FG%
56.7%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
12.4%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.5%
3-point %
37.0%
77.4%
Assist %
53.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 100.7Defence86.9 · 103.2Shooting53.7% · 56.7%3-point %31.5% · 37.0%Ball care12.4% · 14.9%Free throws0.38 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ VEF Riga   ■ BK Ogre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
VEF Riga wins
0
BK Ogre wins
DateGameScore
26/09/26BK Ogre v VEF Riga73-92
08/11/25VEF Riga v BK Ogre90-74
04/10/25BK Ogre v VEF Riga92-94
04/01/25BK Ogre v VEF Riga59-81
30/11/24VEF Riga v BK Ogre78-73
20/03/24VEF Riga v BK Ogre81-74
04/10/23BK Ogre v VEF Riga74-94
18/03/23VEF Riga v BK Ogre75-67
19/11/22BK Ogre v VEF Riga80-90
09/04/22VEF Riga v BK Ogre116-55
VEF Rigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ALok. Plovdiv85-83
08/11/26AViimsi88-104
04/11/26AFribourg Olympic97-65
31/10/26HTartu Ulikool74-86
28/10/26HMykonos88-91
24/10/26AValmiera Glass Via97-89
21/10/26ACSM Oradea84-92
17/10/26HParnu89-72
14/10/26ANeftchi IK110-94
10/10/26ATal Tech90-70
BK Ogrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HBC Kalev/Cramo92-88
31/10/26HKeila Coolbet101-77
24/10/26HVentspils88-92
21/10/26ATal Tech78-82
16/10/26AViimsi76-69
10/10/26HLatvijas Universitate106-81
03/10/26ARigas Zelli85-110
26/09/26HVEF Riga73-92
14/03/26HLatvijas Universitate101-106
10/03/26ABC Kalev/Cramo93-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

VEF Riga
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL78%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%80%75%
Points / game89.687.891.8
Allowed / game75.067.884.0
Point differential+14.6+20.0+7.8
Avg total164.6155.6175.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
BK Ogre
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %50%60%33%
Points / game87.492.079.7
Allowed / game86.486.087.0
Point differential+1.0+6.0-7.3
Avg total173.8178.0166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rigas Zelli880100%93.874.4+19.4
2 VEF Riga97278%89.675.0+14.6
3 Valmiera Glass Via97278%89.976.9+13.0
4 Ventspils96367%86.282.0+4.2
5 Tartu Ulikool85362%82.876.4+6.4
6 Tal Tech106460%73.773.8-0.1
7 Parnu74357%78.978.1+0.7
8 BC Kalev/Cramo84450%84.682.6+2.0
9 BK Ogre84450%87.486.4+1.0
10 BK Liepaja94544%83.676.0+7.6
11 Keila KK94544%72.781.7-9.0
12 Rigas Juniori83538%80.088.5-8.5
13 Viimsi102820%74.586.2-11.7
14 Latvijas Universitate91811%76.991.9-15.0
15 Keila Coolbet9090%70.391.1-20.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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