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VEF Riga vs CSM Oradea Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 09 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record4-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game84.7
VEF Riga
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.0/10
Below normal
5.0/10
Around normal
CSM Oradea
Position#15
Record4-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game80.3
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 8· Xiaomi Arena
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

VEF Riga win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
CSM Oradea win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VEF RigaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiga
Date
Competition
Neftchi IK
#38
W
110-94
110
94
+16
117avg 84
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#7
W
89-72
89
72
+17
84avg 84
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
CSM Oradea
#15
L
84-92
84
92
-8
77avg 84
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
97-89
97
89
+8
94avg 84
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Mykonos
#7
L
88-91
88
91
-3
83avg 84
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#4
L
74-86
74
86
-12
69avg 84
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Fribourg Olympic
#46
W
97-65
97
65
+32
no box
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Viimsi
#13
L
88-104
88
104
-16
no box
A08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Lok. Plovdiv
#24
W
85-83
85
83
+2
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ventspils
#5
W
96-85
96
85
+11
no box
A14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
26-30
30-16
30-22
17-19
19-15
29-17
24-21
23-20
17-20
22-25
22-27
22-16
20-17
27-27
28-29
26-20
21-20
25-18
16-33
34-25
17-15
9-18
14-28
26-14
27-14
21-22
23-15
25-27
14-18
26-30
23-29
20-24
22-28
22-17
21-14
26-26
22-19
21-13
27-27
176.9Avg total
90.8Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)95.084.7179.7+10.367%
Season at home (2)97.087.0184.0+10.050%
Season away (4)94.083.5177.5+10.575%
Last 10 (10)90.886.1176.9+4.760%
Last 5 (5)88.084.6172.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)86.689.6176.2-3.038%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)89.574.6164.0+14.981%
This opponent (CSM Oradea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSM OradeaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOradea
Date
Competition
Arges Pitesti
#8
W
98-92
98
92
+6
93avg 81
H10/10
Divizia A
Lok. Plovdiv
#24
L
69-79
69
79
-10
61avg 81
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
L
73-87
73
87
-14
56avg 81
A17/10
Divizia A
VEF Riga
#12
W
92-84
92
84
+8
84avg 81
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSU Sibiu
#7
W
92-73
92
73
+19
86avg 81
H24/10
Divizia A
Neftchi IK
#38
W
99-83
99
83
+16
97avg 81
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rapid Bucuresti
#10
L
79-96
79
96
-17
69avg 81
A31/10
Divizia A
Mykonos
#7
L
79-89
79
89
-10
no box
A03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Fribourg Olympic
#46
W
86-80
86
80
+6
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
SCM Timisoara
#12
W
85-70
85
70
+15
no box
H14/11
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
31-19
22-30
20-19
20-17
18-26
15-20
16-16
18-21
21-26
19-20
15-20
20-23
20-17
25-22
27-22
25-19
30-21
20-16
17-17
23-16
29-24
26-25
21-18
22-21
23-20
13-30
21-25
24-15
13-21
17-20
25-33
26-26
21-21
24-20
15-13
26-18
18-23
16-8
25-21
168.5Avg total
85.2Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)86.380.3166.7+6.067%
Season at home (2)92.575.5168.0+17.0100%
Season away (4)83.282.8166.0+0.550%
Last 10 (10)85.283.3168.5+1.960%
Last 5 (5)85.683.6169.2+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)92.084.0176.0+8.0100%
vs Similar (6)78.787.5166.2-8.817%
vs Weaker (22)86.779.0165.7+7.773%
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
VEF RigaCSM Oradea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neftchi IK
#38
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#7
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
CSM Oradea
#15
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Mykonos
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#4
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Fribourg Olympic
#46
W
53-28
53
28
+25
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Viimsi
#13
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Lok. Plovdiv
#24
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ventspils
#5
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
86.1Avg total
44.8Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.739.585.1+6.277%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.138.584.5+7.693%-
Last 30 away (15)45.340.585.7+4.860%-
Last 10 (10)44.841.386.1+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)46.642.088.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)43.539.883.2+3.888%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.339.085.3+7.471%-
This opponent (CSM Oradea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSM OradeaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arges Pitesti
#8
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H10/10
Divizia A
Lok. Plovdiv
#24
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A17/10
Divizia A
VEF Riga
#12
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSU Sibiu
#7
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H24/10
Divizia A
Neftchi IK
#38
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rapid Bucuresti
#10
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A31/10
Divizia A
Mykonos
#7
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Fribourg Olympic
#46
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
SCM Timisoara
#12
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H14/11
Divizia A
87.1Avg total
45.3Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.040.684.6+3.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.940.687.5+6.257%-
Last 30 away (16)41.540.582.0+1.056%-
Last 10 (10)45.341.887.1+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)45.041.086.0+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)40.040.080.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (6)40.243.083.2-2.850%-
vs Weaker (22)45.240.185.3+5.159%-
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.723.1
58.2%
53.4%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.8
31.5%
32.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws26.018.4
70.8%
72.8%18.4
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSM Oradeatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSM Oradea: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.122.7
55.2%
53.4%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.7
31.9%
32.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.615.8
80.6%
72.8%15.8
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
VEF Riga
WWLWLLWLWW
CSM Oradea
WWLLWWWLLW
#12
League position
#15
+14.5
Net rating
+5.4
101.3
Offensive rating
100.2
86.9
Defensive rating
94.8
53.7%
Effective FG%
52.3%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
12.4%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.5%
3-point %
31.9%
77.4%
Assist %
55.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 100.2Defence86.9 · 94.8Shooting53.7% · 52.3%3-point %31.5% · 31.9%Ball care12.4% · 14.3%Free throws0.38 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ VEF Riga   ■ CSM Oradea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
VEF Riga wins
1
CSM Oradea wins
DateGameScore
21/10/26CSM Oradea v VEF Riga92-84
VEF Rigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AVentspils96-85
11/11/26ALok. Plovdiv85-83
08/11/26AViimsi88-104
04/11/26AFribourg Olympic97-65
31/10/26HTartu Ulikool74-86
28/10/26HMykonos88-91
24/10/26AValmiera Glass Via97-89
21/10/26ACSM Oradea84-92
17/10/26HParnu89-72
14/10/26ANeftchi IK110-94
CSM Oradealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSCM Timisoara85-70
11/11/26AFribourg Olympic86-80
03/11/26AMykonos79-89
31/10/26ARapid Bucuresti79-96
28/10/26ANeftchi IK99-83
24/10/26HCSU Sibiu92-73
21/10/26HVEF Riga92-84
17/10/26ADinamo Bucharest73-87
14/10/26ALok. Plovdiv69-79
10/10/26HArges Pitesti98-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

VEF Riga
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW67%
HomeWL50%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%50%75%
Points / game95.097.094.0
Allowed / game84.787.083.5
Point differential+10.3+10.0+10.5
Avg total179.7184.0177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CSM Oradea
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game86.392.583.2
Allowed / game80.375.582.8
Point differential+6.0+17.0+0.5
Avg total166.7168.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trier660100%100.069.7+30.3
2 Esenler Erokspor660100%96.371.0+25.3
3 Basquet Girona65183%91.375.0+16.3
4 Nancy65183%87.272.5+14.7
5 Korfez Basket65183%87.373.7+13.7
6 Benfica65183%94.383.8+10.5
7 Mykonos65183%84.076.3+7.7
8 Dziki Warszawa65183%87.580.3+7.2
9 Chalon/Saone64267%84.872.7+12.2
10 Kolossos Rhodes64267%81.870.2+11.7
11 Iraklis64267%87.276.0+11.2
12 VEF Riga64267%95.084.7+10.3
13 Wurzburg64267%84.575.5+9.0
14 Promitheas64267%90.081.8+8.2
15 CSM Oradea64267%86.380.3+6.0
16 Szczecin64267%86.881.7+5.2
17 Geneva Lions64267%88.284.0+4.2
18 Keravnos64267%80.876.7+4.2
19 Zielona Gora64267%84.583.2+1.3
20 Split64267%81.580.3+1.2
21 Oostende64267%78.377.8+0.5
22 Bakken Bears64267%82.083.3-1.3
23 BC Prievidza84450%90.183.2+6.9
24 Lok. Plovdiv63350%83.383.5-0.2
25 AEK Larnaca63350%79.580.0-0.5
26 Valmiera Glass Via63350%81.083.3-2.3
27 BC Kalev/Cramo63350%80.083.7-3.7
28 Sporting CP63350%76.780.3-3.7
29 Trepca63350%77.581.2-3.7
30 Dinamo Bucharest83538%87.881.6+6.1
31 Denizli Basket62433%81.583.5-2.0
32 Vienna Basket62433%80.585.2-4.7
33 Levice62433%72.778.2-5.5
34 SCM Craiova62433%88.096.3-8.3
35 Nitra Blue Wings62433%78.888.2-9.3
36 Szolnoki Olaj62433%77.588.3-10.8
37 Tartu Ulikool62433%88.099.7-11.7
38 Neftchi IK82625%75.682.6-7.0
39 Parnu82625%71.479.0-7.6
40 Bashkimi51420%73.683.2-9.6
41 Rilski Sportist51420%75.888.8-13.0
42 Manchester Basketball51420%75.890.0-14.2
43 Gence51420%71.288.2-17.0
44 Opava61517%83.286.8-3.7
45 Absheron Lions61517%83.795.3-11.7
46 Fribourg Olympic61517%73.087.3-14.3
47 MZT Skopje6060%72.087.2-15.2
48 Samobor2020%74.0100.5-26.5
49 Peja2020%70.5100.5-30.0
50 Batumi6060%66.899.2-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 50 teams: scroll the table.
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