PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

VEF Riga vs Ventspils Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 02 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Scheduled
Position#2
Record7-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.4/10
Below normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Position#4
Record6-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game82.0
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Xiaomi Arena
Other2026
Meetings · VEF Riga v Ventspils
02 Dec 2026
VRI v VET
upcoming
24 Mar 2026
VRI90
VET71
18 Mar 2026
VRI77
VET54
21 Oct 2025
VRI76
VET69
19 May 2025
VRI89
VET68
13 May 2025
VRI91
VET77
15 Feb 2025
VRI96
VET81
17 Nov 2024
VRI71
VET63
19 Apr 2024
VRI84
VET76
09 Mar 2024
VRI99
VET76
03 Feb 2024
VRI101
VET80
16 May 2023
VRI79
VET61
11 May 2023
VRI84
VET69
03 May 2023
VRI80
VET83
07 Oct 2022
VRI100
VET81
19 May 2022
VRI93
VET92
14 May 2022
VRI89
VET65
08 May 2022
VRI94
VET80
18 Dec 2021
VRI93
VET57
14 May 2021
VRI93
VET62
08 May 2021
VRI103
VET74
26 Feb 2021
VRI82
VET75
17 Oct 2020
VRI96
VET93
14 May 2019
VRI98
VET90
08 May 2019
VRI71
VET80
13 Oct 2018
VRI89
VET90
06 Jun 2018
VRI78
VET81
02 Jun 2018
VRI83
VET89
31 May 2018
VRI76
VET66
18 Nov 2017
VRI58
VET75
25 May 2017
VRI78
VET69
23 May 2017
VRI90
VET82
04 Mar 2017
VRI77
VET80
17 May 2016
VRI71
VET79
13 May 2016
VRI98
VET93
11 Dec 2015
VRI81
VET89
28 May 2015
VRI71
VET63
24 May 2015
VRI86
VET79
19 May 2015
VRI68
VET85
21 Jan 2015
VRI85
VET90
14 May 2014
VRI75
VET89
09 May 2014
VRI82
VET69
08 Feb 2014
VRI79
VET86
27 May 2013
VRI100
VET81
23 May 2013
VRI74
VET72
11 May 2013
VRI84
VET86
24 Nov 2012
VRI74
VET80
20 May 2012
VRI100
VET70
14 May 2012
VRI107
VET102
06 May 2012
VRI83
VET66
18 Nov 2011
VRI81
VET87
03 Mar 2011
VRI84
VET68
26 Mar 2010
VRI72
VET71
22 Jan 2010
VRI91
VET94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

VEF Riga win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Ventspils win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VEF RigaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiga
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#6
W
90-70
90
70
+20
84avg 84
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Neftchi IK
#39
W
110-94
110
94
+16
117avg 84
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#7
W
89-72
89
72
+17
84avg 84
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
CSM Oradea
#15
L
84-92
84
92
-8
77avg 84
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
97-89
97
89
+8
94avg 84
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Mykonos
#7
L
88-91
88
91
-3
83avg 84
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
69avg 84
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Fribourg Olympic
#46
W
97-65
97
65
+32
no box
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Viimsi
#13
L
88-104
88
104
-16
no box
A08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Lok. Plovdiv
#24
W
85-83
85
83
+2
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
21-18
28-19
23-18
24-26
26-30
30-16
30-22
17-19
19-15
29-17
24-21
23-20
17-20
22-25
22-27
22-16
20-17
27-27
28-29
26-20
21-20
25-18
16-33
34-25
17-15
9-18
14-28
26-14
27-14
21-22
23-15
25-27
14-18
26-30
23-29
20-24
22-28
22-17
21-14
174.8Avg total
90.2Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)89.675.0164.6+14.678%
Season at home (5)87.867.8155.6+20.080%
Season away (4)91.884.0175.8+7.875%
Last 10 (10)90.284.6174.8+5.660%
Last 5 (5)86.485.8172.2+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)86.689.6176.2-3.038%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)88.373.5161.8+14.981%
This opponent (Ventspils) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VentspilsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVentspils
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#3
L
71-90
71
90
-19
57avg 80
A24/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
76-98
76
98
-22
65avg 80
A25/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
108-92
108
92
+16
106avg 80
A28/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
92-85
92
85
+7
87avg 80
H02/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#8
W
86-73
86
73
+13
83avg 80
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
85-68
85
68
+17
78avg 80
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#6
L
82-85
82
85
-3
78avg 80
H16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#9
W
92-88
92
88
+4
83avg 80
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
75-60
75
60
+15
65avg 80
H30/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#7
L
80-89
80
89
-9
no box
A07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
27-19
5-19
16-23
20-29
21-23
19-24
16-22
27-24
26-19
34-22
21-27
25-23
27-32
20-13
20-17
14-24
26-18
24-18
22-13
28-13
15-16
27-21
15-18
17-17
22-16
17-28
26-24
23-29
29-22
23-19
17-18
20-12
21-14
15-13
19-21
17-23
22-22
21-20
20-24
167.5Avg total
84.7Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)86.282.0168.2+4.267%
Season at home (3)83.076.7159.7+6.367%
Season away (6)87.884.7172.5+3.267%
Last 10 (10)84.782.8167.5+1.960%
Last 5 (5)82.878.0160.8+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)76.789.8166.4-13.122%
vs Similar (6)89.881.8171.7+8.067%
vs Weaker (14)90.680.7171.4+9.979%
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -1.5-1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -1.5-1.5
VEF RigaVentspils
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#6
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Neftchi IK
#39
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#7
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
CSM Oradea
#15
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Mykonos
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Fribourg Olympic
#46
W
53-28
53
28
+25
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Viimsi
#13
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Lok. Plovdiv
#24
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
84.0Avg total
43.9Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.539.184.5+6.477%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.138.584.5+7.693%-
Last 30 away (15)44.939.784.5+5.260%-
Last 10 (10)43.940.184.0+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)46.441.087.4+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)43.539.883.2+3.888%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.038.484.4+7.771%-
This opponent (Ventspils) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#3
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A24/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A25/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A28/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H02/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#8
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#6
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#9
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H30/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
87.4Avg total
45.0Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.642.287.8+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.841.184.9+2.750%-
Last 30 away (16)47.243.290.4+3.969%-
Last 10 (10)45.042.487.4+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)42.836.879.6+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.946.086.9-5.122%-
vs Similar (6)47.546.293.7+1.350%-
vs Weaker (14)46.239.085.2+7.286%-
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.723.1
58.2%
52.5%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.8
31.5%
31.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws26.018.4
70.8%
68.3%18.4
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ventspilstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ventspils: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.2
53.0%
52.5%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.19.5
31.6%
31.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.816.7
73.2%
68.3%16.7
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
VEF Riga
WLWLLWLWWW
Ventspils
LWWLWWWWLL
#2
League position
#4
+14.5
Net rating
+3.4
101.3
Offensive rating
93.8
86.9
Defensive rating
90.5
53.7%
Effective FG%
50.5%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
12.4%
Turnover %
15.7%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.5%
3-point %
31.6%
77.4%
Assist %
62.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 93.8Defence86.9 · 90.5Shooting53.7% · 50.5%3-point %31.5% · 31.6%Ball care12.4% · 15.7%Free throws0.38 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ VEF Riga   ■ Ventspils
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
VEF Riga wins
1
Ventspils wins
DateGameScore
24/03/26VEF Riga v Ventspils90-71
22/03/26Ventspils v VEF Riga72-69
18/03/26VEF Riga v Ventspils77-54
13/02/26Ventspils v VEF Riga78-87
21/10/25VEF Riga v Ventspils76-69
22/05/25Ventspils v VEF Riga91-93
19/05/25VEF Riga v Ventspils89-68
17/05/25Ventspils v VEF Riga106-114
13/05/25VEF Riga v Ventspils91-77
15/03/25Ventspils v VEF Riga84-89 OT
VEF Rigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ALok. Plovdiv85-83
08/11/26AViimsi88-104
04/11/26AFribourg Olympic97-65
31/10/26HTartu Ulikool74-86
28/10/26HMykonos88-91
24/10/26AValmiera Glass Via97-89
21/10/26ACSM Oradea84-92
17/10/26HParnu89-72
14/10/26ANeftchi IK110-94
10/10/26ATal Tech90-70
Ventspilslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26AParnu80-89
30/10/26HViimsi75-60
24/10/26ABK Ogre92-88
16/10/26HTal Tech82-85
11/10/26AKeila Coolbet85-68
10/10/26ABC Kalev/Cramo86-73
02/10/26HTartu Ulikool92-85
28/09/26ALatvijas Universitate108-92
25/09/26AValmiera Glass Via76-98
24/03/26AVEF Riga71-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

VEF Riga
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL78%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%80%75%
Points / game89.687.891.8
Allowed / game75.067.884.0
Point differential+14.6+20.0+7.8
Avg total164.6155.6175.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ventspils
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game86.283.087.8
Allowed / game82.076.784.7
Point differential+4.2+6.3+3.2
Avg total168.2159.7172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rigas Zelli880100%93.874.4+19.4
2 VEF Riga97278%89.675.0+14.6
3 Valmiera Glass Via97278%89.976.9+13.0
4 Ventspils96367%86.282.0+4.2
5 Tartu Ulikool85362%82.876.4+6.4
6 Tal Tech106460%73.773.8-0.1
7 Parnu74357%78.978.1+0.7
8 BC Kalev/Cramo84450%84.682.6+2.0
9 BK Ogre84450%87.486.4+1.0
10 BK Liepaja94544%83.676.0+7.6
11 Keila KK94544%72.781.7-9.0
12 Rigas Juniori83538%80.088.5-8.5
13 Viimsi102820%74.586.2-11.7
14 Latvijas Universitate91811%76.991.9-15.0
15 Keila Coolbet9090%70.391.1-20.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.