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Venezia vs BC Wolves Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 57-75
15-15 16-17 19-15 7-28
Position#12
Record6-9
FormLWWWL
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game86.3
vs
Position#14
Record5-10
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game89.9
EuropeEurocupRound 16· Palasport Giuseppe Taliercio
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Venezia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Wolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeneziaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
85-84 OT
85
84
+1
no box
A16/12
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
81-100
81
100
-19
71avg 76
A20/12
Eurocup
Brescia
#3
W
86-71
86
71
+15
84avg 76
H23/12
Lega A
Joventut Badalona
#8
L
81-89
81
89
-8
71avg 76
A26/12
Eurocup
Sassari
#8
W
73-62
73
62
+11
69avg 76
A30/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
81-89
81
89
-8
64avg 76
H07/01
Lega A
Besiktas
#10
W
106-96 OT
106
96
+10
102avg 76
H10/01
Eurocup
Varese
#12
W
103-92
103
92
+11
100avg 76
A14/01
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#20
W
104-93
104
93
+11
99avg 76
A17/01
Eurocup
Tortona
#9
L
69-75
69
75
-6
63avg 76
A21/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
17-20
21-24
19-21
22-17
25-24
18-27
16-32
18-22
20-21
21-13
27-15
16-22
22-23
22-25
21-19
18-18
16-10
19-18
20-16
21-29
26-17
20-22
14-21
20-18
32-20
15-21
22-30
31-22
29-25
26-18
17-27
31-15
25-34
21-25
27-19
12-22
19-19
19-16
19-18
172.0Avg total
86.9Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)84.686.3170.9-1.740%
Season at home (7)88.785.3174.0+3.457%
Season away (8)81.087.2168.2-6.225%
Last 10 (10)86.985.1172.0+1.860%
Last 5 (5)92.689.0181.6+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.389.7171.0-8.429%
vs Similar (10)80.781.7162.4-1.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)87.779.8167.5+7.885%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#8
L
79-94
79
94
-15
78avg 78
H20/12
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
73-78
73
78
-5
69avg 78
H23/12
LKL
Besiktas
#10
L
59-72
59
72
-13
56avg 78
A27/12
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
76-95
76
95
-19
71avg 78
H30/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
80-89
80
89
-9
69avg 78
A03/01
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
99-78
99
78
+21
99avg 78
A06/01
LKL
Cedevita Olimpija
#20
W
91-89
91
89
+2
80avg 78
H09/01
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
72-89
72
89
-17
59avg 78
H13/01
LKL
Prometey
#7
L
64-91
64
91
-27
59avg 78
A17/01
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
82-82
82
82
+0
77avg 78
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
23-26
21-30
15-23
20-23
14-24
21-12
18-19
9-18
14-25
15-15
21-14
13-28
25-22
16-17
22-28
18-26
26-21
16-23
20-19
30-20
32-19
21-15
16-24
27-23
19-21
20-21
25-24
18-17
16-28
18-24
20-20
15-29
14-20
23-21
12-21
26-23
22-21
18-21
16-17
163.2Avg total
77.5Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.289.9171.1-8.733%
Season at home (8)83.691.9175.5-8.238%
Season away (7)78.487.6166.0-9.129%
Last 10 (10)77.585.7163.2-8.220%
Last 5 (5)81.685.8167.4-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)78.388.5166.8-10.320%
vs Similar (6)78.582.3160.8-3.867%
vs Weaker (9)89.879.0168.8+10.878%
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -2.4-2.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -2.4-2.4
VeneziaBC Wolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A16/12
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A20/12
Eurocup
Brescia
#3
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H23/12
Lega A
Joventut Badalona
#8
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A26/12
Eurocup
Sassari
#8
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A30/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H07/01
Lega A
Besiktas
#10
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H10/01
Eurocup
Varese
#12
W
60-47
60
47
+13
A14/01
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#20
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A17/01
Eurocup
Tortona
#9
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A21/01
Lega A
85.6Avg total
44.3Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.241.184.3+2.167%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.739.785.4+6.079%-
Last 30 away (16)40.942.383.2-1.456%-
Last 10 (10)44.341.385.6+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)49.244.293.4+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.342.985.1-0.657%-
vs Similar (10)41.239.080.2+2.270%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.241.886.9+3.469%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H20/12
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H23/12
LKL
Besiktas
#10
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A27/12
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H30/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A03/01
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
62-39
62
39
+23
A06/01
LKL
Cedevita Olimpija
#20
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H09/01
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H13/01
LKL
Prometey
#7
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A17/01
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
85.0Avg total
40.1Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.742.683.3-1.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.144.184.2-3.940%-
Last 30 away (15)41.341.282.5+0.160%-
Last 10 (10)40.144.985.0-4.840%-
Last 5 (5)43.844.288.0-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.544.782.2-7.127%-
vs Similar (6)39.241.380.5-2.267%-
vs Weaker (9)47.040.187.1+6.978%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.8
53.1%
54.0%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.3
35.5%
35.5%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.114.9
70.6%
74.5%14.9
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.4
54.8%
54.0%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.4
32.8%
35.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.014.7
77.4%
74.5%14.7
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Venezia
LWWWLWLWLW
BC Wolves
LLLWWLLLLL
#12
League position
#14
-2.2
Net rating
-11.5
108.4
Offensive rating
105.0
110.6
Defensive rating
116.5
53.1%
Effective FG%
52.4%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
17.2%
Turnover %
21.5%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.5%
3-point %
32.8%
60.1%
Assist %
64.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 105.0Defence110.6 · 116.5Shooting53.1% · 52.4%3-point %35.5% · 32.8%Ball care17.2% · 21.5%Off. rebounds27.9% · 32.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Venezia   ■ BC Wolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Venezia wins
0
BC Wolves wins
DateGameScore
15/11/23BC Wolves v Venezia77-93
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24ATortona69-75
17/01/24ACedevita Olimpija104-93
14/01/24AVarese103-92
10/01/24HBesiktas106-96 OT
07/01/24HBasket Napoli81-89
30/12/23ASassari73-62
26/12/23AJoventut Badalona81-89
23/12/23HBrescia86-71
20/12/23AHapoel Tel-Aviv81-100
16/12/23AVirtus Bologna85-84 OT
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24AZalgiris Kaunas82-82
17/01/24APrometey64-91
13/01/24HRytas72-89
09/01/24HCedevita Olimpija91-89
06/01/24ANevezis99-78
03/01/24AHapoel Tel-Aviv80-89
30/12/23HZalgiris Kaunas76-95
27/12/23ABesiktas59-72
23/12/23HLietkabelis73-78
20/12/23HJoventut Badalona79-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Venezia
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeWWWLW57%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %40%57%25%
Points / game84.688.781.0
Allowed / game86.385.387.2
Point differential-1.7+3.4-6.2
Avg total170.9174.0168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %7%14%0%
BC Wolves
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeLLLLW38%
AwayWWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %33%38%29%
Points / game81.283.678.4
Allowed / game89.991.987.6
Point differential-8.7-8.2-9.1
Avg total171.1175.5166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%12%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris1615194%98.480.4+18.0
2 JL Bourg1613381%84.676.7+7.9
3 Cluj-Napoca1612475%84.880.3+4.5
4 Gran Canaria1511473%88.179.0+9.1
5 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1611569%96.590.1+6.4
6 London Lions1510567%90.788.4+2.3
7 Joventut Badalona1610662%86.884.4+2.3
8 Besiktas159660%80.377.7+2.5
9 Prometey169756%88.286.6+1.6
10 Ulm169756%88.287.0+1.2
11 Turk Telekom167944%80.881.6-0.8
12 Aris167944%73.275.6-2.3
13 Trento167944%80.082.9-2.9
14 Venezia156940%84.686.3-1.7
15 Buducnost1661038%77.981.9-4.0
16 BC Wolves1551033%81.289.9-8.7
17 Lietkabelis1651131%81.587.8-6.3
18 Slask Wroclaw1521313%77.884.0-6.2
19 Hamburg1621412%82.199.5-17.4
20 Cedevita Olimpija161156%85.691.3-5.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Venezia151619757
BC Wolves1517152875
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