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BC Wolves vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 76-95
13-28 25-22 16-17 22-28
Position#13
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
BC Wolves
Lithuania
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
Lithuania
Position#2
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas CupKing Mindaugas Cup - Quarter-finals· Kedainiu arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · BC Wolves v Zalgiris Kaunas
19 Apr 2025
WOL69
ZAL81
27 Oct 2024
WOL100
ZAL82
05 May 2024
WOL97
ZAL93
30 Dec 2023
WOL76
ZAL95
12 Nov 2023
WOL75
ZAL64
06 Feb 2023
WOL80
ZAL75
02 Jan 2023
WOL79
ZAL95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Wolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
84-74
84
74
+10
79avg 79
A25/11
LKL
London Lions
#5
L
87-101
87
101
-14
83avg 79
H28/11
Eurocup
Siauliai
#10
W
86-77
86
77
+9
96avg 79
H03/12
LKL
Paris
#1
L
79-110
79
110
-31
74avg 79
H06/12
Eurocup
Juventus
#4
L
68-96
68
96
-28
62avg 79
A09/12
LKL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
81-89
81
89
-8
72avg 79
H12/12
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
55-79
55
79
-24
46avg 79
A17/12
LKL
Joventut Badalona
#8
L
79-94
79
94
-15
78avg 79
H20/12
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
73-78
73
78
-5
69avg 79
H23/12
LKL
Besiktas
#10
L
59-72
59
72
-13
56avg 79
A27/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
21-16
20-22
25-17
22-24
13-31
27-21
25-25
22-19
26-25
20-17
18-16
13-24
22-34
23-23
21-29
20-33
13-18
12-20
23-25
17-19
21-27
24-16
19-27
10-18
15-23
20-21
10-17
20-15
23-26
21-30
15-23
20-23
14-24
21-12
18-19
9-18
14-25
15-15
21-14
162.1Avg total
75.1Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.187.0162.1-11.920%
Last 5 (5)69.482.4151.8-13.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)79.889.7169.5-9.927%
vs Similar (5)76.081.0157.0-5.060%
vs Weaker (14)87.176.9164.0+10.371%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
83-70
83
70
+13
78avg 76
A30/11
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#5
W
80-68
80
68
+12
77avg 76
A03/12
LKL
Alba Berlin
#18
L
62-64
62
64
-2
62avg 76
A05/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
79-83
79
83
-4
71avg 76
H08/12
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
102-98
102
98
+4
97avg 76
H10/12
LKL
Partizan
#11
L
85-93
85
93
-8
79avg 76
H14/12
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#3
W
79-55
79
55
+24
71avg 76
H17/12
LKL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
78-80
78
80
-2
78avg 76
A20/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
80-85
80
85
-5
77avg 76
H22/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
70-78
70
78
-8
55avg 76
H28/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
23-12
18-21
24-18
17-15
13-17
21-21
29-15
20-13
8-12
17-14
17-25
19-23
18-23
22-11
20-26
23-25
23-32
37-15
19-26
21-29
23-29
20-18
21-17
18-10
23-15
21-20
17-10
26-22
22-15
14-19
16-24
22-28
29-28
22-14
7-15
18-16
15-16
16-29
21-17
157.2Avg total
79.8Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.877.4157.2+2.440%
Last 5 (5)78.478.2156.6+0.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.083.0158.0-8.00%
vs Similar (14)79.780.4160.1-0.743%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)78.672.9151.6+5.771%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -6.7-6.7Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -6.7-6.7Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
BC WolvesZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A25/11
LKL
London Lions
#5
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H28/11
Eurocup
Siauliai
#10
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H03/12
LKL
Paris
#1
L
35-58
35
58
-23
H06/12
Eurocup
Juventus
#4
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A09/12
LKL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H12/12
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A17/12
LKL
Joventut Badalona
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H20/12
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H23/12
LKL
Besiktas
#10
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A27/12
Eurocup
81.4Avg total
35.3Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.381.3-1.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.142.182.1-2.047%-
Last 30 away (15)39.940.680.5-0.753%-
Last 10 (10)35.346.181.4-10.830%-
Last 5 (5)32.643.676.2-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.343.981.2-6.627%-
vs Similar (5)37.840.878.6-3.060%-
vs Weaker (14)42.939.582.4+3.464%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A30/11
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#5
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A03/12
LKL
Alba Berlin
#18
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A05/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H08/12
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
L
46-57
46
57
-11
H10/12
LKL
Partizan
#11
L
44-58
44
58
-14
H14/12
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#3
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H17/12
LKL
Fenerbahce
#7
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A20/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H22/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H28/12
Euroleague
79.8Avg total
39.9Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.740.280.0-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.042.983.9-1.940%-
Last 30 away (15)38.537.676.1+0.960%-
Last 10 (10)39.939.979.8+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)43.441.685.0+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.044.585.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (14)38.942.080.9-3.136%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.437.978.2+2.564%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.616.9
51.8%
56.9%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.3
35.0%
34.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.215.8
74.5%
74.5%15.8
They take 56.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.9
54.5%
56.9%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.6
39.5%
34.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws16.312.4
76.1%
74.5%12.4
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Wolves
LLLLLLLWLW
Zalgiris Kaunas
LLLWLWLLWW
#13
League position
#2
-16.0
Net rating
+3.7
101.2
Offensive rating
113.4
117.2
Defensive rating
109.6
52.1%
Effective FG%
56.4%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
24.3%
Turnover %
18.8%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.0%
3-point %
39.5%
71.0%
Assist %
55.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.2 · 113.4Defence117.2 · 109.6Shooting52.1% · 56.4%3-point %35.0% · 39.5%Ball care24.3% · 18.8%Off. rebounds32.7% · 30.5%Free throws0.38 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ BC Wolves   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
BC Wolves wins
5
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
17/12/23Zalgiris Kaunas v BC Wolves79-55
12/11/23BC Wolves v Zalgiris Kaunas75-64
22/04/23Zalgiris Kaunas v BC Wolves71-65
06/02/23BC Wolves v Zalgiris Kaunas80-75
22/01/23Zalgiris Kaunas v BC Wolves91-72
02/01/23BC Wolves v Zalgiris Kaunas79-95
28/11/22Zalgiris Kaunas v BC Wolves90-85
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/23ABesiktas59-72
23/12/23HLietkabelis73-78
20/12/23HJoventut Badalona79-94
17/12/23AZalgiris Kaunas55-79
12/12/23HHapoel Tel-Aviv81-89
09/12/23AJuventus68-96
06/12/23HParis79-110
03/12/23HSiauliai86-77
28/11/23HLondon Lions87-101
25/11/23ARytas84-74
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv70-78
22/12/23HBarcelona80-85
20/12/23AFenerbahce78-80
17/12/23HBC Wolves79-55
14/12/23HPartizan85-93
10/12/23HNevezis102-98
08/12/23HMonaco79-83
05/12/23AAlba Berlin62-64
03/12/23ALietkabelis80-68
30/11/23AOlimpia Milano83-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Wolves
King Mindaugas Cup 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Zalgiris Kaunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas110100%98.086.0+12.0
2 Siauliai65183%94.284.3+9.8
3 Neptunas65183%91.285.5+5.7
4 Juventus95456%90.184.9+5.2
5 Nevezis84450%91.090.0+1.0
6 BC Olimpas Palanga63350%76.279.0-2.8
7 Gargzdai62433%79.785.7-6.0
8 Mazeikiai61517%84.393.0-8.7
9 Pieno Zvaigzdes61517%85.294.3-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Wolves1325162276
Zalgiris Kaunas2822172895
← all games of the day
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