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Venezia vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 86-71
18-22 20-21 21-13 27-15
Position#4
Record9-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game77.9
Venezia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#3
Record10-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game74.7
ItalyLega ARound 13· Palasport Giuseppe Taliercio
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Venezia v Brescia
11 Apr 2026
VEN74
BRE89
22 Dec 2024
VEN89
BRE90
23 Dec 2023
VEN86
BRE71
08 Mar 2023
VEN90
BRE64
10 Dec 2022
VEN82
BRE79
30 Jan 2022
VEN82
BRE93
11 Apr 2021
VEN94
BRE87
26 Apr 2020
VEN v BRE
upcoming
12 May 2019
VEN86
BRE70
15 Apr 2018
VEN68
BRE61
17 Feb 2017
VEN68
BRE76
18 Dec 2016
VEN78
BRE70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Venezia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
72-95
72
95
-23
65avg 75
A19/11
Lega A
Prometey
#7
L
82-89
82
89
-7
82avg 75
A22/11
Eurocup
Reggiana
#5
W
90-70
90
70
+20
95avg 75
H26/11
Lega A
Hamburg
#19
W
94-77
94
77
+17
93avg 75
H28/11
Eurocup
Trento
#6
L
79-106
79
106
-27
59avg 75
A03/12
Lega A
London Lions
#5
L
91-95
91
95
-4
77avg 75
H05/12
Eurocup
Scafati
#14
W
83-59
83
59
+24
79avg 75
H09/12
Lega A
Paris
#1
L
70-100
70
100
-30
61avg 75
A12/12
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
85-84 OT
85
84
+1
no box
A16/12
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
81-100
81
100
-19
71avg 75
A20/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
12-20
18-30
26-21
21-20
23-20
25-31
13-18
34-21
20-16
21-16
15-17
22-20
31-17
21-23
20-17
17-33
21-27
26-21
15-25
30-25
21-24
21-23
19-23
18-15
22-14
15-20
28-10
24-24
15-27
22-36
9-13
23-15
17-20
21-24
19-21
22-17
25-24
18-27
16-32
170.2Avg total
82.7Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.777.9159.6+3.875%
Season at home (6)84.870.7155.5+14.2100%
Season away (6)78.585.2163.7-6.750%
Last 10 (10)82.787.5170.2-4.840%
Last 5 (5)82.087.6169.6-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)78.990.4169.3-11.614%
vs Similar (12)76.678.4155.0-1.842%
vs Weaker (11)87.978.5166.5+9.482%
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#256
L
41-91
41
91
-50
no box
A07/11
NCAA
Cremona
#11
W
84-75
84
75
+9
80avg 74
H12/11
Lega A
UT Martin
#82
L
72-90
72
90
-18
no box
A14/11
NCAA
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
76-88
76
88
-12
59avg 74
A20/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
116-73
116
73
+43
121avg 74
H26/11
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
89-83
89
83
+6
80avg 74
A03/12
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
110-65
110
65
+45
113avg 74
H10/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
77-70
77
70
+7
76avg 74
A16/12
Lega A
Kennesaw State
#227
L
59-91
59
91
-32
no box
A20/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
47-85
47
85
-38
no box
A21/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
21-48
0-0
20-43
25-13
15-22
25-25
19-15
0-0
38-46
0-0
34-44
20-26
24-23
19-23
13-16
33-11
31-22
27-15
25-25
21-25
17-17
25-17
26-24
29-17
33-8
26-13
22-27
23-22
19-16
19-25
16-7
0-0
22-50
0-0
37-41
0-0
23-47
0-0
24-38
158.2Avg total
77.1Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)88.874.7163.4+14.183%
Season at home (6)92.275.5167.7+16.783%
Season away (6)85.373.8159.2+11.583%
Last 10 (10)77.181.1158.2-4.050%
Last 5 (5)76.478.8155.2-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)61.686.4148.0-24.914%
vs Similar (7)79.080.0159.0-1.043%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)87.575.1162.5+12.487%
This opponent (Venezia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -4.4-4.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -4.4-4.4
VeneziaBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A19/11
Lega A
Prometey
#7
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A22/11
Eurocup
Reggiana
#5
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H26/11
Lega A
Hamburg
#19
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H28/11
Eurocup
Trento
#6
L
38-60
38
60
-22
A03/12
Lega A
London Lions
#5
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H05/12
Eurocup
Scafati
#14
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H09/12
Lega A
Paris
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A12/12
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A16/12
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A20/12
Eurocup
85.7Avg total
43.4Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.640.082.5+2.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.137.883.9+8.380%-
Last 30 away (15)39.042.181.1-3.147%-
Last 10 (10)43.442.385.7+1.170%-
Last 5 (5)43.441.084.4+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)42.742.184.9+0.671%-
vs Similar (12)39.437.877.2+1.758%-
vs Weaker (11)45.941.086.9+4.964%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#256
L
21-48
21
48
-27
A07/11
NCAA
Cremona
#11
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H12/11
Lega A
UT Martin
#82
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A14/11
NCAA
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A20/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
64-33
64
33
+31
H26/11
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A03/12
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
62-25
62
25
+37
H10/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A16/12
Lega A
Kennesaw State
#227
L
22-50
22
50
-28
A20/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
23-47
23
47
-24
A21/12
NCAA
80.7Avg total
39.4Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.438.979.3+1.563%-
Last 30 at home (12)46.736.082.7+10.792%-
Last 30 away (18)36.240.877.0-4.744%-
Last 10 (10)39.441.380.7-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)37.440.477.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)30.644.374.9-13.729%-
vs Similar (7)39.040.479.4-1.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)45.336.581.7+8.887%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.218.0
55.9%
53.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.5
34.4%
35.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.413.2
71.7%
76.3%13.2
They take 56.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.524.0
56.5%
53.1%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.0
33.6%
35.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.115.5
81.2%
76.3%15.5
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Venezia
LWLWLLWWLL
Brescia
LLWWWWLLWL
#4
League position
#3
-7.5
Net rating
+18.6
106.2
Offensive rating
116.8
113.7
Defensive rating
98.3
54.0%
Effective FG%
54.3%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
18.8%
Turnover %
13.4%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.4%
3-point %
33.6%
66.4%
Assist %
60.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 116.8Defence113.7 · 98.3Shooting54.0% · 54.3%3-point %34.4% · 33.6%Ball care18.8% · 13.4%Off. rebounds24.4% · 28.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Venezia   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Venezia wins
4
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
19/04/23Brescia v Venezia74-79
08/03/23Venezia v Brescia90-64
10/12/22Venezia v Brescia82-79
29/11/22Brescia v Venezia60-80
30/01/22Venezia v Brescia82-93
04/12/21Brescia v Venezia80-69
11/04/21Venezia v Brescia94-87
13/12/20Brescia v Venezia71-69
04/01/20Brescia v Venezia70-64
12/05/19Venezia v Brescia86-70
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/23AHapoel Tel-Aviv81-100
16/12/23AVirtus Bologna85-84 OT
12/12/23AParis70-100
09/12/23HScafati83-59
05/12/23HLondon Lions91-95
03/12/23ATrento79-106
28/11/23HHamburg94-77
26/11/23HReggiana90-70
22/11/23APrometey82-89
19/11/23AOlimpia Milano72-95
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/23AWestern Carolina47-85
20/12/23AKennesaw State59-91
16/12/23AReggiana77-70
10/12/23HSassari110-65
03/12/23AScafati89-83
26/11/23HVarese116-73
20/11/23AVirtus Bologna76-88
14/11/23AUT Martin72-90
12/11/23HCremona84-75
07/11/23AJacksonville State41-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Venezia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game81.784.878.5
Allowed / game77.970.785.2
Point differential+3.8+14.2-6.7
Avg total159.6155.5163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%67%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Brescia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayWWLWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %83%83%83%
Points / game88.892.285.3
Allowed / game74.775.573.8
Point differential+14.1+16.7+11.5
Avg total163.4167.7159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1210283%88.874.7+14.1
2 Venezia129375%81.777.9+3.8
3 Trento139469%86.482.2+4.2
4 Virtus Bologna128467%87.878.4+9.4
5 Olimpia Milano127558%80.376.8+3.6
6 Reggiana127558%84.682.1+2.5
7 Basket Napoli137654%86.182.9+3.2
8 Cremona126650%85.181.5+3.6
9 Pistoia126650%79.880.4-0.7
10 Scafati136746%87.388.5-1.2
11 Pesaro125742%80.886.3-5.5
12 Sassari125742%76.985.7-8.8
13 Tortona135838%77.283.0-5.8
14 Treviso134931%79.582.7-3.2
15 Varese123925%82.490.3-7.9
16 Brindisi1321115%73.083.2-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Venezia1820212786
Brescia2221131571
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