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Zalgiris Kaunas vs BC Wolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 82-82
23-26 21-22 21-18 17-16
Position#2
Record1-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game76.0
Zalgiris Kaunas
Lithuania
vs
BC Wolves 🏆
Lithuania
Position#13
Record0-1
FormLWWLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game95.0
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas CupKing Mindaugas Cup - Quarter-finals· Zalgirio Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v BC Wolves
14 May 2025
ZAL89
WOL75
02 Feb 2025
ZAL97
WOL84
21 Jan 2024
ZAL82
WOL82
17 Dec 2023
ZAL79
WOL55
22 Apr 2023
ZAL71
WOL65
22 Jan 2023
ZAL91
WOL72
28 Nov 2022
ZAL90
WOL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Wolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
80-85
80
85
-5
77avg 76
H22/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
70-78
70
78
-8
55avg 76
H28/12
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#13
W
95-76
95
76
+19
94avg 76
A30/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Alba Berlin
#18
W
77-71
77
71
+6
68avg 76
H02/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
79-93
79
93
-14
65avg 76
A04/01
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
75-67
75
67
+8
76avg 76
A07/01
LKL
Valencia
#14
W
84-79
84
79
+5
77avg 76
A09/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
73-91
73
91
-18
62avg 76
A12/01
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
87-73
87
73
+14
87avg 76
A14/01
LKL
Fenerbahce
#7
W
98-75
98
75
+23
102avg 76
H19/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
29-28
22-14
7-15
18-16
15-16
16-29
21-17
28-13
22-25
17-16
28-22
22-25
26-16
13-11
16-19
17-23
26-28
16-21
20-21
16-15
25-13
17-17
17-22
27-21
21-21
14-22
22-15
12-26
25-18
20-24
16-23
23-26
29-13
17-17
18-17
20-14
23-21
23-20
32-20
160.6Avg total
81.8Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)95.076.0171.0+19.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)95.076.0171.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.878.8160.6+3.060%
Last 5 (5)83.477.0160.4+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.073.0144.0-2.00%
vs Similar (14)79.481.1160.5-1.836%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)79.975.1154.9+4.867%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
55-79
55
79
-24
46avg 78
A17/12
LKL
Joventut Badalona
#8
L
79-94
79
94
-15
78avg 78
H20/12
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
73-78
73
78
-5
69avg 78
H23/12
LKL
Besiktas
#10
L
59-72
59
72
-13
56avg 78
A27/12
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
76-95
76
95
-19
71avg 78
H30/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
80-89
80
89
-9
69avg 78
A03/01
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
99-78
99
78
+21
99avg 78
A06/01
LKL
Cedevita Olimpija
#20
W
91-89
91
89
+2
80avg 78
H09/01
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
72-89
72
89
-17
59avg 78
H13/01
LKL
Prometey
#7
L
64-91
64
91
-27
59avg 78
A17/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-18
15-23
20-21
10-17
20-15
23-26
21-30
15-23
20-23
14-24
21-12
18-19
9-18
14-25
15-15
21-14
13-28
25-22
16-17
22-28
18-26
26-21
16-23
20-19
30-20
32-19
21-15
16-24
27-23
19-21
20-21
25-24
18-17
16-28
18-24
20-20
15-29
14-20
23-21
12-21
160.2Avg total
74.8Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)76.095.0171.0-19.00%
Season at home (1)76.095.0171.0-19.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.885.4160.2-10.620%
Last 5 (5)81.287.2168.4-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)78.090.1168.1-12.120%
vs Similar (6)78.582.3160.8-3.867%
vs Weaker (9)89.879.0168.8+10.878%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -3.0-3.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -3.0-3.0
Zalgiris KaunasBC Wolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H22/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H28/12
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#13
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A30/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Alba Berlin
#18
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H02/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A04/01
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A07/01
LKL
Valencia
#14
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A09/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A12/01
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A14/01
LKL
Fenerbahce
#7
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H19/01
Euroleague
85.2Avg total
44.6Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.181.2+0.960%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.943.685.5-1.850%-
Last 30 away (16)40.437.177.4+3.369%-
Last 10 (10)44.640.685.2+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)44.237.681.8+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.036.075.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (14)39.642.181.8-2.543%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.538.581.1+4.073%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A17/12
LKL
Joventut Badalona
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H20/12
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H23/12
LKL
Besiktas
#10
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A27/12
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H30/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A03/01
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
62-39
62
39
+23
A06/01
LKL
Cedevita Olimpija
#20
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H09/01
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H13/01
LKL
Prometey
#7
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A17/01
Eurocup
82.4Avg total
37.8Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.442.883.2-2.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.144.184.2-3.940%-
Last 30 away (15)40.741.582.2-0.753%-
Last 10 (10)37.844.682.4-6.830%-
Last 5 (5)43.044.887.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.044.981.9-7.920%-
vs Similar (6)39.241.380.5-2.267%-
vs Weaker (9)47.040.187.1+6.978%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.5
55.1%
56.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.6
35.2%
34.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.015.8
83.2%
74.5%15.8
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.5
53.9%
56.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.5
30.5%
34.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.614.7
79.0%
74.5%14.7
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWLWWLWWLL
BC Wolves
LLWWLLLLLL
#2
League position
#13
+3.3
Net rating
-14.5
111.8
Offensive rating
101.4
108.5
Defensive rating
115.9
54.2%
Effective FG%
50.5%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
20.3%
Turnover %
22.0%
34.0%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.2%
3-point %
30.5%
60.9%
Assist %
65.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 101.4Defence108.5 · 115.9Shooting54.2% · 50.5%3-point %35.2% · 30.5%Ball care20.3% · 22.0%Off. rebounds34.0% · 31.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ BC Wolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
2
BC Wolves wins
DateGameScore
30/12/23BC Wolves v Zalgiris Kaunas76-95
17/12/23Zalgiris Kaunas v BC Wolves79-55
12/11/23BC Wolves v Zalgiris Kaunas75-64
22/04/23Zalgiris Kaunas v BC Wolves71-65
06/02/23BC Wolves v Zalgiris Kaunas80-75
22/01/23Zalgiris Kaunas v BC Wolves91-72
02/01/23BC Wolves v Zalgiris Kaunas79-95
28/11/22Zalgiris Kaunas v BC Wolves90-85
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/24HFenerbahce98-75
14/01/24ASiauliai87-73
12/01/24ABarcelona73-91
09/01/24AValencia84-79
07/01/24AJonava75-67
04/01/24ALyon-Villeurbanne79-93
02/01/24HAlba Berlin77-71
30/12/23ABC Wolves95-76
28/12/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv70-78
22/12/23HBarcelona80-85
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/24APrometey64-91
13/01/24HRytas72-89
09/01/24HCedevita Olimpija91-89
06/01/24ANevezis99-78
03/01/24AHapoel Tel-Aviv80-89
30/12/23HZalgiris Kaunas76-95
27/12/23ABesiktas59-72
23/12/23HLietkabelis73-78
20/12/23HJoventut Badalona79-94
17/12/23AZalgiris Kaunas55-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game95.0-95.0
Allowed / game76.0-76.0
Point differential+19.0-+19.0
Avg total171.0-171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
BC Wolves
King Mindaugas Cup 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game76.076.0-
Allowed / game95.095.0-
Point differential-19.0-19.0-
Avg total171.0171.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas220100%101.076.5+24.5
2 Zalgiris Kaunas110100%95.076.0+19.0
3 Siauliai87188%91.081.9+9.1
4 Neptunas86275%89.285.1+4.1
5 Juventus105550%87.886.8+1.0
6 Nevezis84450%91.090.0+1.0
7 Lietkabelis21150%84.083.5+0.5
8 BC Olimpas Palanga63350%76.279.0-2.8
9 Gargzdai62433%79.785.7-6.0
10 Mazeikiai61517%84.393.0-8.7
11 Pieno Zvaigzdes61517%85.294.3-9.2
12 Jonava2020%74.581.5-7.0
13 BC Wolves1010%76.095.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2321211782
BC Wolves2622181682
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