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Nevezis vs BC Wolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 15:20
Final 78-99
20-30 19-32 15-21 24-16
Position#9
Record3-12
FormWWLWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game92.4
vs
Position#3
Record11-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game76.9
LithuaniaLKL· Kedainiu arena (Kedainiai)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Nevezis v BC Wolves
07 May 2025
NEV106
WOL107
09 Nov 2024
NEV85
WOL90
06 Jan 2024
NEV78
WOL99
15 Apr 2023
NEV81
WOL88
24 Sep 2022
NEV76
WOL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Wolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#7
L
81-88
81
88
-7
74avg 79
A13/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
92-80
92
80
+12
90avg 79
A16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#6
L
74-97
74
97
-23
59avg 79
A20/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
90-91 OT
90
91
-1
no box
H27/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
90-107
90
107
-17
88avg 79
H30/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#12
W
92-80
92
80
+12
74avg 79
H04/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
113-101
113
101
+12
112avg 79
A06/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
98-102
98
102
-4
92avg 79
A10/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
106-94
106
94
+12
104avg 79
H17/12
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
74-106
74
106
-32
60avg 79
A29/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
22-19
10-26
25-16
24-16
24-21
28-16
16-27
24-19
14-24
15-28
21-26
21-21
18-20
19-26
26-17
34-22
16-24
18-33
22-28
23-22
25-19
18-23
26-16
31-16
31-26
29-35
22-24
25-23
32-23
15-37
26-19
25-26
32-23
22-19
27-26
19-25
14-38
19-25
22-18
185.6Avg total
91.0Scored
94.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.592.4174.9-9.920%
Season at home (7)85.187.6172.7-2.443%
Season away (8)80.196.6176.8-16.50%
Last 10 (10)91.094.6185.6-3.640%
Last 5 (5)96.696.6193.2+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)82.194.9177.0-12.86%
vs Similar (9)85.386.4171.8-1.144%
vs Weaker (5)94.091.0185.0+3.060%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#10
W
86-77
86
77
+9
96avg 79
H03/12
LKL
Paris
#1
L
79-110
79
110
-31
74avg 79
H06/12
Eurocup
Juventus
#4
L
68-96
68
96
-28
62avg 79
A09/12
LKL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
81-89
81
89
-8
72avg 79
H12/12
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
55-79
55
79
-24
46avg 79
A17/12
LKL
Joventut Badalona
#8
L
79-94
79
94
-15
78avg 79
H20/12
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
73-78
73
78
-5
69avg 79
H23/12
LKL
Besiktas
#10
L
59-72
59
72
-13
56avg 79
A27/12
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
76-95
76
95
-19
71avg 79
H30/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
80-89
80
89
-9
69avg 79
A03/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
26-25
20-17
18-16
13-24
22-34
23-23
21-29
20-33
13-18
12-20
23-25
17-19
21-27
24-16
19-27
10-18
15-23
20-21
10-17
20-15
23-26
21-30
15-23
20-23
14-24
21-12
18-19
9-18
14-25
15-15
21-14
13-28
25-22
16-17
22-28
18-26
26-21
16-23
20-19
161.5Avg total
73.6Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.776.9159.6+5.773%
Season at home (7)84.072.3156.3+11.786%
Season away (8)81.581.0162.5+0.562%
Last 10 (10)73.687.9161.5-14.310%
Last 5 (5)73.485.6159.0-12.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)79.590.1169.6-10.523%
vs Similar (5)76.081.0157.0-5.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.776.8163.4+9.975%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -6.1-6.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -7.5-7.5Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -3.0-3.0
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -6.1-6.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -7.5-7.5Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -3.0-3.0
NevezisBC Wolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#7
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A13/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#6
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A20/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H27/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H30/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#12
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H04/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
62-42
62
42
+20
A06/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
57-46
57
46
+11
A10/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H17/12
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
33-63
33
63
-30
A29/12
LKL
93.2Avg total
47.8Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.346.290.5-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.845.691.4+0.250%-
Last 30 away (16)43.046.889.8-3.825%-
Last 10 (10)47.845.493.2+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)51.448.299.6+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)42.148.991.1-6.819%-
vs Similar (9)45.743.789.3+2.044%-
vs Weaker (5)48.842.291.0+6.680%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#10
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H03/12
LKL
Paris
#1
L
35-58
35
58
-23
H06/12
Eurocup
Juventus
#4
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A09/12
LKL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H12/12
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A17/12
LKL
Joventut Badalona
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H20/12
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H23/12
LKL
Besiktas
#10
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A27/12
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H30/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A03/01
Eurocup
82.9Avg total
36.1Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.881.9-1.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.742.583.3-1.847%-
Last 30 away (15)39.541.080.5-1.547%-
Last 10 (10)36.146.882.9-10.720%-
Last 5 (5)36.445.682.0-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.844.682.5-6.823%-
vs Similar (5)37.840.878.6-3.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.639.182.7+4.567%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.621.5
57.2%
55.4%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.49.3
39.7%
34.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws23.617.6
74.6%
73.2%17.6
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.516.8
53.3%
55.4%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.5
31.9%
34.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws22.317.1
76.7%
73.2%17.1
They take 55.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis
LWLWWLLLWL
BC Wolves
LLLLLLLLLW
#9
League position
#3
-7.0
Net rating
-19.1
116.4
Offensive rating
101.5
123.4
Defensive rating
120.7
58.1%
Effective FG%
51.0%
59.3%
Opp. effective FG%
57.5%
19.2%
Turnover %
23.8%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.41
39.7%
3-point %
31.9%
56.5%
Assist %
72.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence116.4 · 101.5Defence123.4 · 120.7Shooting58.1% · 51.0%3-point %39.7% · 31.9%Ball care19.2% · 23.8%Off. rebounds32.6% · 33.3%Free throws0.39 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Nevezis   ■ BC Wolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nevezis wins
4
BC Wolves wins
DateGameScore
28/10/23BC Wolves v Nevezis89-74
15/04/23Nevezis v BC Wolves81-88
29/01/23BC Wolves v Nevezis94-73
24/09/22Nevezis v BC Wolves76-81
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23AJuventus74-106
17/12/23HLietkabelis106-94
10/12/23AZalgiris Kaunas98-102
06/12/23AJuventus113-101
04/12/23HGargzdai92-80
30/11/23HJuventus90-107
27/11/23HPieno Zvaigzdes90-91 OT
20/11/23ANeptunas74-97
16/11/23APieno Zvaigzdes92-80
13/11/23AMazeikiai81-88
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/24AHapoel Tel-Aviv80-89
30/12/23HZalgiris Kaunas76-95
27/12/23ABesiktas59-72
23/12/23HLietkabelis73-78
20/12/23HJoventut Badalona79-94
17/12/23AZalgiris Kaunas55-79
12/12/23HHapoel Tel-Aviv81-89
09/12/23AJuventus68-96
06/12/23HParis79-110
03/12/23HSiauliai86-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL20%
HomeLWLWW43%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %20%43%0%
Points / game82.585.180.1
Allowed / game92.487.696.6
Point differential-9.9-2.4-16.5
Avg total174.9172.7176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
BC Wolves
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL73%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayWWWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %73%86%62%
Points / game82.784.081.5
Allowed / game76.972.381.0
Point differential+5.7+11.7+0.5
Avg total159.6156.3162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%57%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %7%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas1513287%91.978.2+13.7
2 Zalgiris Kaunas1412286%81.470.6+10.8
3 BC Wolves1511473%82.776.9+5.7
4 Juventus1510567%90.177.5+12.7
5 Lietkabelis149564%84.982.9+2.1
6 Neptunas157847%83.983.5+0.4
7 Jonava157847%82.083.3-1.3
8 Pieno Zvaigzdes145936%88.491.1-2.8
9 Mazeikiai145936%74.881.0-6.2
10 Siauliai1531220%78.987.5-8.6
11 Nevezis1531220%82.592.4-9.9
12 Gargzdai1531220%77.493.7-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nevezis2019152478
BC Wolves3032211699
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