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Varese vs Venezia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 92-103
22-31 25-29 18-26 27-17
Position#12
Record6-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game90.3
vs
Venezia 🏆
Italy
Position#4
Record11-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game77.1
ItalyLega ARound 16· Palasport Lino Oldrini
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Varese v Venezia
22 Nov 2026
VAR v VEN
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
VAR94
VEN106
01 Dec 2024
VAR77
VEN86
14 Jan 2024
VAR92
VEN103
19 Nov 2022
VAR93
VEN90
15 Jan 2022
VAR76
VEN68
14 Apr 2021
VAR75
VEN77
17 Nov 2019
VAR93
VEN91
31 Mar 2019
VAR87
VEN79
01 Oct 2017
VAR62
VEN80
27 Dec 2016
VAR60
VEN73
10 Apr 2016
VAR79
VEN68
15 Feb 2015
VAR53
VEN67
27 Oct 2013
VAR84
VEN72
18 May 2013
VAR84
VEN75
12 May 2013
VAR81
VEN72
10 May 2013
VAR92
VEN74
13 Jan 2013
VAR85
VEN87
26 Nov 2011
VAR73
VEN67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Venezia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
73-116
73
116
-43
55avg 84
A26/11
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
68-75
68
75
-7
59avg 84
H03/12
Lega A
Chemnitz
#2
L
85-109
85
109
-24
72avg 84
A06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#15
L
81-86
81
86
-5
71avg 84
A10/12
Lega A
Leiden
#14
L
79-82
79
82
-3
74avg 84
H13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
70-74
70
74
-4
64avg 84
H17/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
88-81
88
81
+7
82avg 84
A23/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
116-93
116
93
+23
121avg 84
H29/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
101-96
101
96
+5
98avg 84
A06/01
Lega A
CSM Oradea
#17
W
100-81
100
81
+19
98avg 84
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-33
22-31
15-27
25-25
16-18
16-12
22-26
14-19
16-35
25-27
29-18
15-29
21-27
12-13
26-17
22-29
18-19
27-20
21-19
13-24
18-17
21-22
18-17
13-18
18-21
19-24
24-21
27-15
39-17
31-24
25-28
21-24
24-26
33-24
23-20
21-26
26-19
26-19
29-16
19-27
175.4Avg total
86.1Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)86.390.3176.5-4.040%
Season at home (8)85.482.6168.0+2.850%
Season away (7)87.399.0186.3-11.729%
Last 10 (10)86.189.3175.4-3.240%
Last 5 (5)95.085.0180.0+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)80.3102.3182.7-22.00%
vs Similar (17)90.488.1178.4+2.353%
vs Weaker (6)93.782.8176.5+10.883%
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
London Lions
#5
L
91-95
91
95
-4
77avg 75
H05/12
Eurocup
Scafati
#14
W
83-59
83
59
+24
79avg 75
H09/12
Lega A
Paris
#1
L
70-100
70
100
-30
61avg 75
A12/12
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
85-84 OT
85
84
+1
no box
A16/12
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
81-100
81
100
-19
71avg 75
A20/12
Eurocup
Brescia
#3
W
86-71
86
71
+15
84avg 75
H23/12
Lega A
Joventut Badalona
#8
L
81-89
81
89
-8
71avg 75
A26/12
Eurocup
Sassari
#8
W
73-62
73
62
+11
69avg 75
A30/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
81-89
81
89
-8
64avg 75
H07/01
Lega A
Besiktas
#10
W
106-96 OT
106
96
+10
102avg 75
H10/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-25
21-24
21-23
19-23
18-15
22-14
15-20
28-10
24-24
15-27
22-36
9-13
23-15
17-20
21-24
19-21
22-17
25-24
18-27
16-32
18-22
20-21
21-13
27-15
16-22
22-23
22-25
21-19
18-18
16-10
19-18
20-16
21-29
26-17
20-22
14-21
20-18
32-20
15-21
22-30
168.2Avg total
83.7Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.377.1158.5+4.273%
Season at home (8)84.573.0157.5+11.588%
Season away (7)77.781.9159.6-4.157%
Last 10 (10)83.784.5168.2-0.850%
Last 5 (5)85.481.4166.8+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.888.0167.8-8.225%
vs Similar (11)81.580.8162.4+0.745%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)84.877.5162.4+7.382%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: -0.5-0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: -0.5-0.5
VareseVenezia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
33-64
33
64
-31
A26/11
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H03/12
Lega A
Chemnitz
#2
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#15
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A10/12
Lega A
Leiden
#14
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H17/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A23/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
70-41
70
41
+29
H29/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A06/01
Lega A
CSM Oradea
#17
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
88.7Avg total
43.9Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.044.489.5+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.041.989.9+6.160%-
Last 30 away (15)42.147.089.1-4.927%-
Last 10 (10)43.944.888.7-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)51.042.693.6+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)40.554.094.5-13.50%-
vs Similar (17)45.443.789.1+1.747%-
vs Weaker (6)50.237.888.0+12.383%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
London Lions
#5
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H05/12
Eurocup
Scafati
#14
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H09/12
Lega A
Paris
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A12/12
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A16/12
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A20/12
Eurocup
Brescia
#3
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H23/12
Lega A
Joventut Badalona
#8
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A26/12
Eurocup
Sassari
#8
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A30/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H07/01
Lega A
Besiktas
#10
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H10/01
Eurocup
83.1Avg total
42.6Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.182.0+1.867%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.038.783.7+6.380%-
Last 30 away (15)38.841.580.3-2.753%-
Last 10 (10)42.640.583.1+2.170%-
Last 5 (5)41.840.081.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.142.284.4-0.162%-
vs Similar (11)40.838.078.8+2.873%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.840.683.5+2.264%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.115.8
52.5%
53.1%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.912.2
38.2%
35.7%36.6
🏀 Free throws23.117.2
74.5%
76.3%17.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.8
53.2%
53.1%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.1
33.3%
35.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.515.4
71.6%
76.3%15.4
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WWWWLLLLLL
Venezia
WLWLWLWLWL
#12
League position
#4
-3.7
Net rating
-5.3
107.9
Offensive rating
106.0
111.6
Defensive rating
111.3
55.0%
Effective FG%
51.9%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
18.5%
Turnover %
17.6%
21.4%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.2%
3-point %
33.3%
53.9%
Assist %
56.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 106.0Defence111.6 · 111.3Shooting55.0% · 51.9%3-point %38.2% · 33.3%Ball care18.5% · 17.6%Off. rebounds21.4% · 26.6%Free throws0.37 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Varese   ■ Venezia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Varese wins
4
Venezia wins
DateGameScore
29/10/23Venezia v Varese102-88
23/04/23Venezia v Varese92-81
19/11/22Varese v Venezia93-90
13/02/22Venezia v Varese82-93
15/01/22Varese v Venezia76-68
14/04/21Varese v Venezia75-77
20/12/20Venezia v Varese86-77
17/11/19Varese v Venezia93-91 OT
31/03/19Varese v Venezia87-79
09/12/18Venezia v Varese61-66
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/24HCSM Oradea100-81
06/01/24ATreviso101-96
29/12/23HReggiana116-93
23/12/23APesaro88-81
17/12/23HOlimpia Milano70-74
13/12/23HLeiden79-82
10/12/23ABrindisi81-86
06/12/23AChemnitz85-109
03/12/23HCremona68-75
26/11/23ABrescia73-116
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/24HBesiktas106-96 OT
07/01/24HBasket Napoli81-89
30/12/23ASassari73-62
26/12/23AJoventut Badalona81-89
23/12/23HBrescia86-71
20/12/23AHapoel Tel-Aviv81-100
16/12/23AVirtus Bologna85-84 OT
12/12/23AParis70-100
09/12/23HScafati83-59
05/12/23HLondon Lions91-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW40%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayLLLWW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %40%50%29%
Points / game86.385.487.3
Allowed / game90.382.699.0
Point differential-4.0+2.8-11.7
Avg total176.5168.0186.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Venezia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayLLLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %73%88%57%
Points / game81.384.577.7
Allowed / game77.173.081.9
Point differential+4.2+11.5-4.1
Avg total158.5157.5159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%62%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1511473%85.875.6+10.2
2 Venezia1511473%81.377.1+4.2
3 Virtus Bologna1510567%86.376.6+9.7
4 Olimpia Milano159660%78.774.5+4.2
5 Basket Napoli159660%85.982.3+3.6
6 Reggiana159660%83.881.7+2.1
7 Trento169756%83.782.6+1.1
8 Cremona168850%81.678.4+3.2
9 Pistoia168850%78.181.8-3.8
10 Scafati157847%84.186.8-2.7
11 Sassari167944%76.982.2-5.4
12 Tortona156940%77.980.8-2.9
13 Varese156940%86.390.3-4.0
14 Pesaro1551033%79.185.7-6.7
15 Treviso1541127%81.084.3-3.3
16 Brindisi1531220%73.082.3-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2225182792
Venezia31292617103
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