PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Venezia vs Caserta Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 98-92 (OT)
14-22 19-12 21-16 16-20 28-22
Position#1
Record5-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game78.9
Venezia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#13
Record6-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game81.2
ItalyLega ARound 9
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Venezia v Caserta
27 Nov 2016
VEN98
KAS92
29 Nov 2015
VEN65
KAS58
30 Nov 2014
VEN88
KAS76
19 Jan 2014
VEN73
KAS60
14 Apr 2013
VEN85
KAS88
03 Jan 2012
VEN79
KAS74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Venezia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caserta winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#6
L
79-85
79
85
-6
100avg 107
A23/10
Lega A
Karsiyaka
#8
W
75-61
75
61
+14
no box
H25/10
Champions League
Cremona
#16
W
81-73
81
73
+8
112avg 107
H30/10
Lega A
Khimik
#43
L
64-65
64
65
-1
no box
A02/11
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
L
78-84
78
84
-6
103avg 107
A06/11
Lega A
Maccabi Rishon
#34
W
73-61
73
61
+12
no box
H09/11
Champions League
Pistoia
#7
W
74-62
74
62
+12
no box
H13/11
Lega A
Kataja
#31
W
92-68
92
68
+24
no box
A16/11
Champions League
Torino
#12
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
no box
A20/11
Lega A
Saratov
#21
W
106-91
106
91
+15
no box
H23/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
19-21
17-25
27-20
31-14
11-17
15-11
18-19
25-18
18-16
19-21
19-18
15-19
14-14
24-16
11-16
14-17
22-24
22-16
20-27
16-18
17-14
23-22
17-7
16-19
12-18
19-12
27-13
26-18
24-9
19-17
23-24
15-24
29-20
21-23
19-17
20-23
22-23
28-24
36-21
155.5Avg total
81.5Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.978.9159.8+2.062%
Season at home (4)74.570.0144.5+4.575%
Season away (4)87.287.8175.0-0.550%
Last 10 (10)81.574.0155.5+7.570%
Last 5 (5)87.674.4162.0+13.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)69.172.5141.6-3.438%
vs Similar (14)78.372.1150.4+6.279%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)82.981.5164.4+1.450%
This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CasertaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCaserta
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#10
L
55-73
55
73
-18
no box
A24/04
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
73-70
73
70
+3
no box
H04/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
78-75
78
75
+3
105avg 108
H02/10
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
74-93
74
93
-19
103avg 108
A09/10
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
95-82
95
82
+13
119avg 108
A16/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
74-65
74
65
+9
98avg 108
H24/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
80-100
80
100
-20
107avg 108
A30/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
84-67
84
67
+17
108avg 108
H06/11
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
83-82
83
82
+1
111avg 108
A13/11
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
91-86
91
86
+5
115avg 108
H20/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
11-9
15-17
16-28
20-15
11-19
21-10
21-26
18-14
22-23
20-26
18-12
23-20
12-23
19-27
20-23
13-19
19-25
32-14
31-24
22-13
19-18
13-19
20-15
12-28
24-27
25-20
19-25
23-17
18-19
22-13
21-18
24-28
17-18
12-13
30-23
25-19
22-18
11-22
33-27
158.0Avg total
78.7Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.481.2163.6+1.175%
Season at home (4)81.873.2155.0+8.5100%
Season away (4)83.089.2172.2-6.250%
Last 10 (10)78.779.3158.0-0.670%
Last 5 (5)82.480.0162.4+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)74.581.5156.1-7.023%
vs Similar (17)75.776.2151.9-0.565%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
VeneziaCaserta
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#6
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A23/10
Lega A
Karsiyaka
#8
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H25/10
Champions League
Cremona
#16
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H30/10
Lega A
Khimik
#43
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A02/11
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A06/11
Lega A
Maccabi Rishon
#34
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H09/11
Champions League
Pistoia
#7
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H13/11
Lega A
Kataja
#31
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A16/11
Champions League
Torino
#12
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A20/11
Lega A
Saratov
#21
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H23/11
Champions League
74.7Avg total
38.2Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.636.973.6-0.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.234.972.1+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)36.139.075.1-2.913%-
Last 10 (10)38.236.574.7+1.740%-
Last 5 (5)39.437.276.6+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.237.172.4-1.925%-
vs Similar (14)36.135.671.7+0.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)38.939.178.0-0.238%-
This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#10
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A24/04
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H04/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H02/10
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A09/10
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A16/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H24/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A30/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H06/11
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A13/11
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H20/11
Lega A
75.9Avg total
36.8Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.339.876.2-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.137.775.9+0.453%-
Last 30 away (15)34.541.976.5-7.420%-
Last 10 (10)36.839.175.9-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.241.082.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.443.278.6-7.815%-
vs Similar (17)37.137.274.3-0.253%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.618.7
47.3%
51.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.79.6
38.7%
35.7%28.7
🏀 Free throws16.012.1
75.9%
74.0%12.1
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Casertatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caserta: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.9
51.1%
51.1%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.88.4
38.5%
35.7%25.1
🏀 Free throws18.614.0
75.2%
74.0%14.0
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/8 games with a box score before 27 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Venezia
WWWWWLLWWL
Caserta
WWWLWWLWWL
#1
League position
#13
+2.9
Net rating
+4.6
105.0
Offensive rating
106.8
102.2
Defensive rating
102.3
51.4%
Effective FG%
53.5%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
19.6%
Turnover %
18.7%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.7%
3-point %
38.5%
56.6%
Assist %
52.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 106.8Defence102.2 · 102.3Shooting51.4% · 53.5%3-point %38.7% · 38.5%Ball care19.6% · 18.7%Off. rebounds31.4% · 27.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Venezia   ■ Caserta
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Venezia wins
4
Caserta wins
DateGameScore
21/03/16Caserta v Venezia73-80
29/11/15Venezia v Caserta65-58
22/03/15Caserta v Venezia84-73
30/11/14Venezia v Caserta88-76
19/01/14Venezia v Caserta73-60
13/10/13Caserta v Venezia84-65
14/04/13Venezia v Caserta85-88
23/12/12Caserta v Venezia77-83 OT
25/04/12Caserta v Venezia83-80
03/01/12Venezia v Caserta79-74
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/16HSaratov106-91
20/11/16ATorino93-90 OT
16/11/16AKataja92-68
13/11/16HPistoia74-62
09/11/16HMaccabi Rishon73-61
06/11/16APesaro78-84
02/11/16AKhimik64-65
30/10/16HCremona81-73
25/10/16HKarsiyaka75-61
23/10/16AReggiana79-85
Casertalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/16HCapo d'Orlando91-86
13/11/16ACantu83-82
06/11/16HTrento84-67
30/10/16AOlimpia Milano80-100
24/10/16HPistoia74-65
16/10/16ACremona95-82
09/10/16AVarese74-93
02/10/16HReggiana78-75
04/05/16HTrento73-70
24/04/16ABrindisi55-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Venezia
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW62%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game80.974.587.2
Allowed / game78.970.087.8
Point differential+2.0+4.5-0.5
Avg total159.8144.5175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %12%0%25%
Caserta
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW75%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game82.481.883.0
Allowed / game81.273.289.2
Point differential+1.1+8.5-6.2
Avg total163.6155.0172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano880100%87.077.9+9.1
2 Reggiana87188%84.479.1+5.2
3 Avellino86275%79.675.5+4.1
4 Caserta86275%82.481.2+1.1
5 Venezia85362%80.978.9+2.0
6 Capo d'Orlando95456%80.877.4+3.3
7 Brindisi84450%81.680.5+1.1
8 Sassari94544%78.676.9+1.7
9 Trento94544%76.175.6+0.6
10 Pistoia83538%74.976.2-1.4
11 Torino83538%83.585.9-2.4
12 Brescia83538%78.182.2-4.1
13 Varese93633%77.180.1-3.0
14 Cantu82625%76.183.9-7.8
15 Cremona92722%77.982.1-4.2
16 Pesaro92722%73.077.7-4.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Venezia141921162898
Caserta221216202292
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.