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Caserta vs Capo d'Orlando Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 91-86
25-19 22-18 11-22 33-27
Position#13
Record5-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game80.6
Caserta 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#8
Record4-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game76.4
ItalyLega ARound 8
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Caserta v Capo d'Orlando
20 Nov 2016
KAS91
KDO86
08 Nov 2015
KAS78
KDO66
08 Mar 2015
KAS70
KDO83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caserta winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Capo d'Orlando winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CasertaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCaserta
Date
Competition
Avellino
#3
L
87-92
87
92
-5
no box
H17/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
55-73
55
73
-18
no box
A24/04
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
73-70
73
70
+3
no box
H04/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
78-75
78
75
+3
105avg 107
H02/10
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
74-93
74
93
-19
103avg 107
A09/10
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
95-82
95
82
+13
119avg 107
A16/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
74-65
74
65
+9
98avg 107
H24/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
80-100
80
100
-20
107avg 107
A30/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
84-67
84
67
+17
108avg 107
H06/11
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
83-82
83
82
+1
111avg 107
A13/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
17-25
24-7
26-34
13-19
11-9
15-17
16-28
20-15
11-19
21-10
21-26
18-14
22-23
20-26
18-12
23-20
12-23
19-27
20-23
13-19
19-25
32-14
31-24
22-13
19-18
13-19
20-15
12-28
24-27
25-20
19-25
23-17
18-19
22-13
21-18
24-28
17-18
12-13
30-23
158.2Avg total
78.3Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.180.6161.7+0.671%
Season at home (3)78.769.0147.7+9.7100%
Season away (4)83.089.2172.2-6.250%
Last 10 (10)78.379.9158.2-1.660%
Last 5 (5)83.279.2162.4+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)74.380.9155.2-6.621%
vs Similar ◀ (16)74.875.6150.4-0.962%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capo d'OrlandoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formd'Orlando
Date
Competition
Trento
#9
L
81-82
81
82
-1
no box
H17/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
69-85
69
85
-16
no box
A24/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
58-65
58
65
-7
no box
H04/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
65-71
65
71
-6
89avg 109
H02/10
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
69-84
69
84
-15
92avg 109
A09/10
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
90-77
90
77
+13
124avg 109
H17/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
76-85
76
85
-9
no box
A23/10
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
96-53
96
53
+43
133avg 109
H30/10
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
no box
A05/11
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
79-76
79
76
+3
108avg 109
H13/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
21-21
28-20
15-25
24-23
14-21
13-20
18-21
13-16
18-14
11-12
16-23
20-11
21-22
12-20
12-18
15-23
22-15
12-24
20-22
23-26
25-13
16-17
26-21
25-31
14-14
15-16
22-24
25-17
23-14
21-13
27-9
25-18
18-24
16-20
19-16
21-18
10-10
25-20
23-28
154.0Avg total
77.3Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.776.4157.1+4.357%
Season at home (4)82.569.2151.8+13.275%
Season away (3)78.386.0164.3-7.733%
Last 10 (10)77.376.7154.0+0.640%
Last 5 (5)86.276.0162.2+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)65.277.6142.8-12.413%
vs Similar ◀ (15)77.373.0150.3+4.367%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
CasertaCapo d'Orlando
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#3
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H17/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A24/04
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H04/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H02/10
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A09/10
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A16/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H24/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A30/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H06/11
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A13/11
Lega A
76.3Avg total
35.8Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.240.076.3-3.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.938.176.1-0.253%-
Last 30 away (15)34.541.976.5-7.420%-
Last 10 (10)35.840.576.3-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)38.242.480.6-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.043.279.2-7.221%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)36.437.273.7-0.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capo d'OrlandoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H17/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A24/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H04/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H02/10
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A09/10
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H17/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A23/10
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H30/10
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A05/11
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H13/11
Lega A
76.1Avg total
39.4Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.637.574.1-0.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.134.971.0+1.160%-
Last 30 away (15)37.240.077.2-2.847%-
Last 10 (10)39.436.776.1+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)41.837.078.8+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)34.137.471.5-3.340%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.137.576.7+1.667%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Casertatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caserta: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.7 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.621.9
50.2%
51.1%43.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.9
36.7%
35.7%23.6
🏀 Free throws17.313.0
75.2%
74.0%13.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Capo d'Orlandotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Capo d'Orlando: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.3 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.522.2
52.2%
51.1%44.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.37.3
34.4%
35.7%22.0
🏀 Free throws15.712.2
77.7%
74.0%12.2
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/6 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caserta
WWLWWLWWLL
Capo d'Orlando
WWWLWLLLLL
#13
League position
#8
+0.7
Net rating
+6.5
103.2
Offensive rating
106.1
102.5
Defensive rating
99.6
51.8%
Effective FG%
52.0%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
17.7%
Turnover %
17.7%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.7%
3-point %
34.4%
51.0%
Assist %
62.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.2 · 106.1Defence102.5 · 99.6Shooting51.8% · 52.0%3-point %36.7% · 34.4%Ball care17.7% · 17.7%Off. rebounds25.6% · 27.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Caserta   ■ Capo d'Orlando
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Caserta wins
3
Capo d'Orlando wins
DateGameScore
28/02/16Capo d'Orlando v Caserta65-59
08/11/15Caserta v Capo d'Orlando78-66
08/03/15Caserta v Capo d'Orlando70-83
16/11/14Capo d'Orlando v Caserta68-64
Casertalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/16ACantu83-82
06/11/16HTrento84-67
30/10/16AOlimpia Milano80-100
24/10/16HPistoia74-65
16/10/16ACremona95-82
09/10/16AVarese74-93
02/10/16HReggiana78-75
04/05/16HTrento73-70
24/04/16ABrindisi55-73
17/04/16HAvellino87-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/16HCremona79-76
05/11/16ABrescia90-89 OT
30/10/16HCantu96-53
23/10/16ATrento76-85
17/10/16HTorino90-77
09/10/16AVenezia69-84
02/10/16HOlimpia Milano65-71
04/05/16HPistoia58-65
24/04/16AAvellino69-85
17/04/16HTrento81-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caserta
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game81.178.783.0
Allowed / game80.669.089.2
Point differential+0.6+9.7-6.2
Avg total161.7147.7172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Capo d'Orlando
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW57%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game80.782.578.3
Allowed / game76.469.286.0
Point differential+4.3+13.2-7.7
Avg total157.1151.8164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano770100%88.678.7+9.9
2 Reggiana76186%84.079.0+5.0
3 Avellino86275%79.675.5+4.1
4 Caserta75271%81.180.6+0.6
5 Capo d'Orlando74357%80.776.4+4.3
6 Venezia74357%79.177.3+1.9
7 Sassari84450%78.176.1+2.0
8 Trento73443%75.674.7+0.9
9 Brindisi73443%80.480.3+0.1
10 Torino73443%82.684.9-2.3
11 Varese83538%77.980.6-2.8
12 Brescia83538%78.182.2-4.1
13 Pistoia72529%73.676.0-2.4
14 Pesaro72529%72.076.3-4.3
15 Cantu72529%75.383.0-7.7
16 Cremona71614%78.083.0-5.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caserta2522113391
Capo d'Orlando1918222786
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