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Venezia vs Lietkabelis Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 91-77
18-14 28-19 17-24 28-20
Position#11
Record9-8
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game83.2
Venezia 🏆
vs
Position#18
Record5-12
FormWLWWL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game87.8
EuropeEurocupRound 18· Palasport Giuseppe Taliercio
European cup2024
Meetings · Venezia v Lietkabelis
04 Feb 2025
VEN91
LIE77
22 Nov 2022
VEN74
LIE71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Venezia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeneziaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Valencia
#1
W
81-74
81
74
+7
68avg 75
H02/01
Eurocup
Trapani
#3
W
91-82
91
82
+9
88avg 75
H05/01
Lega A
Hamburg
#17
W
90-77
90
77
+13
90avg 75
A08/01
Eurocup
Cremona
#13
W
86-78
86
78
+8
85avg 75
A12/01
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
77-88
77
88
-11
62avg 75
H15/01
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
85-72
85
72
+13
78avg 75
H19/01
Lega A
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
76-75
76
75
+1
75avg 75
H22/01
Eurocup
Trento
#4
L
70-74
70
74
-4
61avg 75
H26/01
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#8
L
81-84
81
84
-3
75avg 75
A29/01
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
74-85
74
85
-11
70avg 75
A02/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
31-12
16-22
13-22
26-31
30-21
14-18
21-12
30-17
27-19
19-29
14-12
21-26
25-9
16-22
24-21
14-22
15-20
31-18
17-28
21-22
28-21
18-19
18-10
17-17
21-20
23-21
15-17
18-26
26-13
13-16
13-19
18-13
23-18
19-18
21-35
13-21
21-16
19-20
21-28
160.0Avg total
81.1Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.683.2164.8-1.553%
Season at home (8)78.176.9155.0+1.262%
Season away (9)84.888.8173.6-4.044%
Last 10 (10)81.178.9160.0+2.260%
Last 5 (5)77.278.0155.2-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.186.2166.4-6.150%
vs Similar (12)77.178.4155.5-1.325%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)83.476.4159.8+7.090%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
85-89
85
89
-4
80avg 78
H05/01
LKL
JL Bourg
#12
L
66-79
66
79
-13
57avg 78
A07/01
Eurocup
Neptunas
#7
W
63-56
63
56
+7
51avg 78
A11/01
LKL
Valencia
#1
L
91-96
91
96
-5
87avg 78
H14/01
Eurocup
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
L
78-88
78
88
-10
71avg 78
H16/01
Eurocup
Nevezis
#5
W
77-67
77
67
+10
70avg 78
H19/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Hamburg
#17
L
77-84
77
84
-7
70avg 78
A21/01
Eurocup
BC Wolves
#4
W
97-82
97
82
+15
95avg 78
A25/01
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#6
W
92-91
92
91
+1
87avg 78
H29/01
Eurocup
Juventus
#6
L
90-98
90
98
-8
83avg 78
H01/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
22-19
15-25
24-21
14-17
22-17
16-23
14-22
18-15
10-20
15-13
20-8
21-28
25-24
28-21
17-23
18-16
22-29
19-22
19-21
19-14
20-17
24-22
14-14
29-19
18-23
16-13
14-29
16-17
31-24
25-22
25-19
22-20
18-27
26-25
26-19
19-24
23-23
19-22
29-29
164.6Avg total
81.6Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.987.8170.7-4.829%
Season at home (9)85.689.7175.2-4.133%
Season away (8)80.085.6165.6-5.625%
Last 10 (10)81.683.0164.6-1.440%
Last 5 (5)86.684.4171.0+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)83.989.1173.0-5.327%
vs Similar (6)85.577.0162.5+8.567%
vs Weaker (9)81.482.6164.0-1.133%
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +7.8+7.8Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -0.3-0.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +7.8+7.8Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -0.3-0.3
VeneziaLietkabelis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#1
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H02/01
Eurocup
Trapani
#3
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H05/01
Lega A
Hamburg
#17
W
57-36
57
36
+21
A08/01
Eurocup
Cremona
#13
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A12/01
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H15/01
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H19/01
Lega A
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H22/01
Eurocup
Trento
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H26/01
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#8
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A29/01
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A02/02
Lega A
82.8Avg total
44.6Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.181.0+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.139.179.2+0.957%-
Last 30 away (16)41.740.982.6+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)44.638.282.8+6.480%-
Last 5 (5)41.237.478.6+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.844.286.0-2.538%-
vs Similar (12)38.838.076.8+0.858%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.839.382.1+3.560%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H05/01
LKL
JL Bourg
#12
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A07/01
Eurocup
Neptunas
#7
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A11/01
LKL
Valencia
#1
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H14/01
Eurocup
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H16/01
Eurocup
Nevezis
#5
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H19/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Hamburg
#17
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A21/01
Eurocup
BC Wolves
#4
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A25/01
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H29/01
Eurocup
Juventus
#6
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H01/02
LKL
82.8Avg total
41.1Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.341.582.8-0.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.941.184.0+1.757%-
Last 30 away (16)39.941.881.8-1.956%-
Last 10 (10)41.141.782.8-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.041.684.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)40.744.685.3-3.947%-
vs Similar (6)45.236.081.2+9.2100%-
vs Weaker (9)39.840.079.8-0.244%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.4
51.3%
53.5%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.1
33.8%
34.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.317.2
80.8%
76.0%17.2
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.121.0
53.7%
53.5%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.6
31.3%
34.3%22.8
🏀 Free throws21.916.2
74.0%
76.0%16.2
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Venezia
LLLWWLWWWW
Lietkabelis
LWWLWLLWLL
#11
League position
#18
+3.3
Net rating
-1.3
111.3
Offensive rating
107.0
108.0
Defensive rating
108.3
51.1%
Effective FG%
51.1%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
19.1%
Turnover %
18.5%
36.8%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.8%
3-point %
31.3%
53.5%
Assist %
66.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 107.0Defence108.0 · 108.3Shooting51.1% · 51.1%3-point %33.8% · 31.3%Ball care19.1% · 18.5%Off. rebounds36.8% · 30.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Venezia   ■ Lietkabelis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Venezia wins
1
Lietkabelis wins
DateGameScore
28/11/24Lietkabelis v Venezia93-100 OT
08/02/23Lietkabelis v Venezia87-84
22/11/22Venezia v Lietkabelis74-71
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/25AVirtus Bologna74-85
29/01/25ATurk Telekom81-84
26/01/25HTrento70-74
22/01/25HHapoel Jerusalem76-75
19/01/25HOlimpia Milano85-72
15/01/25HCluj-Napoca77-88
12/01/25ACremona86-78
08/01/25AHamburg90-77
05/01/25HTrapani91-82
02/01/25HValencia81-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25HJuventus90-98
29/01/25HCluj-Napoca92-91
25/01/25ABC Wolves97-82
21/01/25AHamburg77-84
19/01/25HNevezis77-67
16/01/25HCedevita Olimpija78-88
14/01/25HValencia91-96
11/01/25ANeptunas63-56
07/01/25AJL Bourg66-79
05/01/25HZalgiris Kaunas85-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Venezia
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL53%
HomeWLWLW62%
AwayWWWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %53%62%44%
Points / game81.678.184.8
Allowed / game83.276.988.8
Point differential-1.5+1.2-4.0
Avg total164.8155.0173.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Lietkabelis
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayWLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game82.985.680.0
Allowed / game87.889.785.6
Point differential-4.8-4.1-5.6
Avg total170.7175.2165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %12%11%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia1715288%96.280.7+15.5
2 Bahcesehir Kol.1714382%83.575.1+8.5
3 Gran Canaria1812667%79.375.8+3.5
4 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1711665%88.478.9+9.4
5 Hapoel Jerusalem1710759%84.578.4+6.1
6 Cedevita Olimpija1710759%83.281.8+1.4
7 Turk Telekom1710759%80.682.0-1.4
8 JL Bourg179853%86.082.2+3.8
9 Buducnost179853%87.485.5+1.9
10 Cluj-Napoca179853%89.087.8+1.2
11 Besiktas179853%85.685.0+0.6
12 BC Wolves179853%84.485.2-0.8
13 Ulm179853%87.188.5-1.5
14 Venezia179853%81.683.2-1.5
15 Trento1761135%79.585.1-5.6
16 Joventut Badalona1761135%80.185.9-5.8
17 Lietkabelis1751229%82.987.8-4.8
18 Hamburg1751229%78.088.5-10.5
19 Aris1731418%74.884.6-9.8
20 Trefl Sopot181176%76.386.2-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Venezia1828172891
Lietkabelis1419242077
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