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Lietkabelis vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 77-67
19-14 20-17 24-22 14-14
Position#6
Record0-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#5
Record6-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game88.6
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas CupKing Mindaugas Cup - Quarter-finals· Kalnapilio arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Nevezis
27 Apr 2027
LIE v NEV
upcoming
13 Dec 2026
LIE v NEV
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
LIE105
NEV72
28 Sep 2025
LIE100
NEV76
22 Apr 2025
LIE71
NEV79
19 Jan 2025
LIE77
NEV67
01 Dec 2024
LIE93
NEV82
06 May 2024
LIE92
NEV93
30 Sep 2023
LIE100
NEV79
14 Feb 2023
LIE111
NEV108
07 Nov 2021
LIE60
NEV67
01 Feb 2020
LIE85
NEV69
17 Nov 2019
LIE75
NEV51
14 Apr 2019
LIE101
NEV60
03 Nov 2018
LIE87
NEV66
10 Feb 2018
LIE82
NEV72
15 Oct 2017
LIE83
NEV69
19 Mar 2017
LIE100
NEV69
25 Sep 2016
LIE85
NEV81
09 Mar 2016
LIE64
NEV59
24 Jan 2016
LIE76
NEV66
23 Dec 2015
LIE96
NEV75
14 Oct 2015
LIE78
NEV71
27 Feb 2015
LIE88
NEV71
28 Nov 2014
LIE97
NEV67
18 Mar 2014
LIE96
NEV69
30 Nov 2013
LIE77
NEV82
15 Oct 2013
LIE71
NEV100
04 Oct 2012
LIE76
NEV62
07 Jan 2012
LIE100
NEV58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#10
L
87-93
87
93
-6
82avg 78
A14/12
LKL
Aris
#19
L
66-81
66
81
-15
58avg 78
A17/12
Eurocup
Valencia
#1
W
107-106 OT
107
106
+1
99avg 78
A20/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#5
L
78-79
78
79
-1
78avg 78
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
78-90
78
90
-12
70avg 78
A28/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
85-89
85
89
-4
80avg 78
H05/01
LKL
JL Bourg
#12
L
66-79
66
79
-13
57avg 78
A07/01
Eurocup
Neptunas
#7
W
63-56
63
56
+7
51avg 78
A11/01
LKL
Valencia
#1
L
91-96
91
96
-5
87avg 78
H14/01
Eurocup
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
L
78-88
78
88
-10
71avg 78
H16/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
22-22
12-19
39-30
19-18
15-14
20-24
12-25
24-26
21-31
34-15
18-25
23-17
20-21
14-20
21-21
23-20
17-27
21-17
17-26
24-24
22-19
15-25
24-21
14-17
22-17
16-23
14-22
18-15
10-20
15-13
20-8
21-28
25-24
28-21
17-23
18-16
22-29
19-22
19-21
165.6Avg total
79.9Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)78.079.0157.0-1.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)78.079.0157.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)79.985.7165.6-5.820%
Last 5 (5)76.681.6158.2-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)81.688.2169.9-6.619%
vs Similar ◀ (5)86.077.6163.6+8.480%
vs Weaker (9)79.781.9161.6-2.233%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#9
L
85-89
85
89
-4
76avg 79
A27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
82-93
82
93
-11
69avg 79
A01/12
LKL
Neptunas
#2
L
101-102
101
102
-1
97avg 79
H04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#10
W
93-87
93
87
+6
90avg 79
H07/12
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
109-88
109
88
+21
104avg 79
A11/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
69-89
69
89
-20
53avg 79
A14/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
79-78
79
78
+1
73avg 79
H23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
W
106-90
106
90
+16
112avg 79
H29/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
102-103
102
103
-1
97avg 79
A05/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
86-88
86
88
-2
78avg 79
A12/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
21-19
19-21
26-28
16-23
18-24
17-26
31-20
25-14
29-22
23-31
24-35
23-18
30-16
17-21
23-32
24-22
24-24
34-23
27-19
21-24
16-20
17-23
15-22
17-23
21-20
20-14
21-21
24-22
30-25
23-10
29-33
23-29
22-26
38-19
19-29
21-26
24-23
20-18
21-21
181.9Avg total
91.2Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)89.988.6178.5+1.355%
Season at home (6)92.288.7180.8+3.567%
Season away (5)87.288.6175.8-1.440%
Last 10 (10)91.290.7181.9+0.540%
Last 5 (5)88.489.6178.0-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)85.191.1176.2-6.033%
vs Similar ◀ (14)88.190.1178.2-2.136%
vs Weaker (7)90.984.6175.4+6.357%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.4-2.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.4-2.4
LietkabelisNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#10
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A14/12
LKL
Aris
#19
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A17/12
Eurocup
Valencia
#1
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A20/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#5
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A28/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H05/01
LKL
JL Bourg
#12
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A07/01
Eurocup
Neptunas
#7
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A11/01
LKL
Valencia
#1
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H14/01
Eurocup
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H16/01
Eurocup
82.1Avg total
39.4Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.641.482.0-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.841.284.0+1.657%-
Last 30 away (16)38.741.680.3-2.944%-
Last 10 (10)39.442.782.1-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.881.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)40.043.883.8-3.844%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)46.037.483.4+8.680%-
vs Weaker (9)38.739.478.1-0.844%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#9
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A01/12
LKL
Neptunas
#2
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#10
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H07/12
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A11/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A14/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H29/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A05/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A12/01
LKL
88.9Avg total
44.8Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.245.689.8-1.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.945.491.3+0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)42.545.888.3-3.327%-
Last 10 (10)44.844.188.9+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.847.691.4-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)43.048.191.1-5.111%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.645.288.8-1.643%-
vs Weaker (7)47.143.190.3+4.043%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
44%
35%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.5
53.7%
55.0%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.4
31.6%
36.6%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.315.7
73.7%
74.4%15.7
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
44%
35%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.216.8
52.2%
55.0%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.612.7
41.5%
36.6%38.1
🏀 Free throws25.918.5
71.4%
74.4%18.5
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
LLWLLLLWLL
Nevezis
LLWWLWWLLL
#6
League position
#5
-8.5
Net rating
-0.1
104.2
Offensive rating
116.8
112.7
Defensive rating
117.0
51.3%
Effective FG%
57.1%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
58.1%
18.6%
Turnover %
17.8%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.41
31.6%
3-point %
41.5%
64.5%
Assist %
70.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 116.8Defence112.7 · 117.0Shooting51.3% · 57.1%3-point %31.6% · 41.5%Ball care18.6% · 17.8%Off. rebounds27.4% · 29.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Lietkabelis wins
3
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
23/12/24Nevezis v Lietkabelis79-78
01/12/24Lietkabelis v Nevezis93-82
05/10/24Nevezis v Lietkabelis78-85
06/05/24Lietkabelis v Nevezis92-93
17/12/23Nevezis v Lietkabelis106-94
30/09/23Lietkabelis v Nevezis100-79
19/03/23Nevezis v Lietkabelis77-90
14/02/23Lietkabelis v Nevezis111-108
05/11/22Nevezis v Lietkabelis73-78
27/04/22Nevezis v Lietkabelis60-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/25HCedevita Olimpija78-88
14/01/25HValencia91-96
11/01/25ANeptunas63-56
07/01/25AJL Bourg66-79
05/01/25HZalgiris Kaunas85-89
28/12/24ARytas78-90
23/12/24ANevezis78-79
20/12/24AValencia107-106 OT
17/12/24AAris66-81
14/12/24AMazeikiai87-93
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25AZalgiris Kaunas86-88
05/01/25ABC Wolves102-103
29/12/24HSiauliai106-90
23/12/24HLietkabelis79-78
14/12/24ARytas69-89
11/12/24ASiauliai109-88
07/12/24HMazeikiai93-87
04/12/24HNeptunas101-102
01/12/24ALietkabelis82-93
27/11/24AMazeikiai85-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
King Mindaugas Cup 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game78.0-78.0
Allowed / game79.0-79.0
Point differential-1.0--1.0
Avg total157.0-157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Nevezis
King Mindaugas Cup 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW55%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%67%40%
Points / game89.992.287.2
Allowed / game88.688.788.6
Point differential+1.3+3.5-1.4
Avg total178.5180.8175.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas110100%107.088.0+19.0
2 BC Wolves220100%90.074.5+15.5
3 Neptunas127558%93.387.1+6.2
4 Nevezis116555%89.988.6+1.3
5 Siauliai116555%95.997.5-1.5
6 Jonava126650%88.487.4+1.0
7 Rytas21150%77.579.5-2.0
8 Mazeikiai104640%79.689.4-9.8
9 Juventus103730%87.490.5-3.1
10 Lietkabelis1010%78.079.0-1.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis1920241477
Nevezis1417221467
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