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Lietkabelis vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 14:50
Final 85-89
24-24 22-19 15-25 24-21
Position#3
Record6-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game82.6
vs
Position#1
Record11-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game71.1
LithuaniaLKL· Kalnapilio arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Zalgiris Kaunas
07 Mar 2027
LIE v ZAL
upcoming
22 Nov 2026
LIE v ZAL
upcoming
28 May 2026
LIE75
ZAL95
04 Apr 2026
LIE82
ZAL94
23 Nov 2025
LIE77
ZAL81
03 May 2025
LIE76
ZAL88
05 Jan 2025
LIE85
ZAL89
23 May 2024
LIE89
ZAL90
01 Apr 2024
LIE77
ZAL83
03 Dec 2023
LIE68
ZAL80
28 May 2023
LIE66
ZAL95
24 May 2023
LIE83
ZAL86
09 May 2023
LIE87
ZAL85
18 Feb 2023
LIE67
ZAL77
09 Oct 2022
LIE66
ZAL74
21 May 2022
LIE86
ZAL75
16 May 2022
LIE79
ZAL55
24 Apr 2022
LIE85
ZAL67
27 Sep 2021
LIE69
ZAL73
06 Apr 2021
LIE88
ZAL94
20 Dec 2020
LIE77
ZAL82
19 Apr 2020
LIE v ZAL
upcoming
05 Jan 2020
LIE83
ZAL72
23 May 2019
LIE v ZAL
upcoming
04 May 2019
LIE76
ZAL81
13 Jan 2019
LIE69
ZAL73
31 May 2018
LIE79
ZAL94
02 May 2018
LIE74
ZAL81
19 Nov 2017
LIE66
ZAL70
06 Jun 2017
LIE59
ZAL72
31 May 2017
LIE86
ZAL83
30 Jan 2017
LIE79
ZAL77
22 Sep 2016
LIE90
ZAL86
14 Mar 2016
LIE70
ZAL90
16 Nov 2015
LIE69
ZAL95
02 May 2015
LIE67
ZAL73
04 Jan 2015
LIE63
ZAL82
02 Oct 2014
LIE70
ZAL88
13 Apr 2014
LIE64
ZAL76
28 Jan 2013
LIE61
ZAL113
26 Nov 2011
LIE79
ZAL89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Venezia
#11
L
93-100 OT
93
100
-7
82avg 78
H28/11
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
93-82
93
82
+11
98avg 78
H01/12
LKL
Turk Telekom
#8
L
93-98
93
98
-5
88avg 78
H04/12
Eurocup
Siauliai
#8
W
93-76
93
76
+17
89avg 78
H07/12
LKL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
93-87
93
87
+6
72avg 78
A11/12
Eurocup
Mazeikiai
#10
L
87-93
87
93
-6
82avg 78
A14/12
LKL
Aris
#19
L
66-81
66
81
-15
58avg 78
A17/12
Eurocup
Valencia
#1
W
107-106 OT
107
106
+1
99avg 78
A20/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#5
L
78-79
78
79
-1
78avg 78
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
78-90
78
90
-12
70avg 78
A28/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-20
17-20
23-22
16-24
23-16
24-18
26-17
20-31
21-23
29-25
24-18
19-32
21-13
31-17
17-12
24-34
18-17
31-24
20-28
24-18
14-22
22-22
12-19
39-30
19-18
15-14
20-24
12-25
24-26
21-31
34-15
18-25
23-17
20-21
14-20
21-21
23-20
17-27
21-17
17-26
177.3Avg total
88.1Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)82.282.6164.8-0.546%
Season at home (6)83.281.7164.8+1.567%
Season away (7)81.383.4164.7-2.129%
Last 10 (10)88.189.2177.3-1.140%
Last 5 (5)83.289.8173.0-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)83.487.2170.6-3.938%
vs Similar (5)86.077.6163.6+8.480%
vs Weaker (9)81.884.3166.1-2.633%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
85-72
85
72
+13
73avg 81
H05/12
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
78-67
78
67
+11
71avg 81
H08/12
LKL
Real Madrid
#8
W
92-83
92
83
+9
82avg 81
A12/12
Euroleague
Neptunas
#7
W
91-75
91
75
+16
93avg 81
H15/12
LKL
Alba Berlin
#18
W
86-66
86
66
+20
84avg 81
A17/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
72-78
72
78
-6
68avg 81
H20/12
Euroleague
Siauliai
#8
W
107-88
107
88
+19
99avg 81
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
78-95
78
95
-17
70avg 81
A26/12
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
128-67
128
67
+61
132avg 81
A29/12
LKL
Olympiacos
#2
L
85-92
85
92
-7
83avg 81
H02/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
21-13
15-23
22-19
19-21
20-11
18-16
21-19
24-19
30-19
18-22
20-23
25-14
23-23
21-20
22-18
24-10
21-20
24-16
17-20
16-21
20-22
17-13
19-22
34-19
23-26
21-22
29-21
19-26
19-24
18-21
22-24
29-11
33-17
34-19
32-20
22-18
30-22
19-27
14-25
168.5Avg total
90.2Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)92.071.1163.1+20.985%
Season at home (6)88.064.2152.2+23.8100%
Season away (7)95.477.0172.4+18.471%
Last 10 (10)90.278.3168.5+11.970%
Last 5 (5)94.084.0178.0+10.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.973.7148.6+1.157%
vs Similar (11)78.380.0158.3-1.745%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)93.072.2165.2+20.883%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: +0.7+0.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: +0.7+0.7
LietkabelisZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#11
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H28/11
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H01/12
LKL
Turk Telekom
#8
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H04/12
Eurocup
Siauliai
#8
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H07/12
LKL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A11/12
Eurocup
Mazeikiai
#10
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A14/12
LKL
Aris
#19
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A17/12
Eurocup
Valencia
#1
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A20/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#5
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A28/12
LKL
85.4Avg total
44.3Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.941.882.7-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.140.282.3+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)39.943.283.1-3.338%-
Last 10 (10)44.341.185.4+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)39.643.683.2-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)39.644.684.2-4.931%-
vs Similar (5)46.037.483.4+8.680%-
vs Weaker (9)40.339.379.7+1.056%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H05/12
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H08/12
LKL
Real Madrid
#8
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A12/12
Euroleague
Neptunas
#7
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H15/12
LKL
Alba Berlin
#18
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A17/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H20/12
Euroleague
Siauliai
#8
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A26/12
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
62-28
62
28
+34
A29/12
LKL
Olympiacos
#2
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H02/01
Euroleague
85.2Avg total
47.9Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.136.278.3+5.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.233.175.3+9.281%-
Last 30 away (14)41.939.981.7+2.043%-
Last 10 (10)47.937.385.2+10.680%-
Last 5 (5)49.041.290.2+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.435.174.6+4.371%-
vs Similar (11)40.138.578.6+1.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)45.434.880.2+10.775%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.1
54.8%
55.6%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.29.4
38.8%
35.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws21.116.9
80.1%
75.0%16.9
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 89.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.316.4
56.0%
55.6%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.913.8
41.9%
35.9%41.4
🏀 Free throws20.515.2
74.1%
75.0%15.2
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
LLWLLWWLWL
Zalgiris Kaunas
LWLWLWWWWW
#3
League position
#1
-1.4
Net rating
+16.2
112.3
Offensive rating
121.9
113.7
Defensive rating
105.6
56.1%
Effective FG%
59.6%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
19.8%
Turnover %
17.7%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.8%
3-point %
41.9%
63.6%
Assist %
64.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 121.9Defence113.7 · 105.6Shooting56.1% · 59.6%3-point %38.8% · 41.9%Ball care19.8% · 17.7%Off. rebounds30.2% · 31.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Lietkabelis wins
9
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/24ARytas78-90
23/12/24ANevezis78-79
20/12/24AValencia107-106 OT
17/12/24AAris66-81
14/12/24AMazeikiai87-93
11/12/24AHapoel Jerusalem93-87
07/12/24HSiauliai93-76
04/12/24HTurk Telekom93-98
01/12/24HNevezis93-82
28/11/24HVenezia93-100 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/25HOlympiacos85-92
29/12/24AJuventus128-67
26/12/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv78-95
23/12/24ASiauliai107-88
20/12/24HLyon-Villeurbanne72-78
17/12/24AAlba Berlin86-66
15/12/24HNeptunas91-75
12/12/24AReal Madrid92-83
08/12/24HRytas78-67
05/12/24HAnadolu Efes85-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL46%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%67%29%
Points / game82.283.281.3
Allowed / game82.681.783.4
Point differential-0.5+1.5-2.1
Avg total164.8164.8164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW85%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %85%100%71%
Points / game92.088.095.4
Allowed / game71.164.277.0
Point differential+20.9+23.8+18.4
Avg total163.1152.2172.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+77%83%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1311285%92.071.1+20.9
2 Rytas1411379%90.282.4+7.9
3 BC Wolves129375%91.885.9+5.9
4 Juventus147750%83.485.4-2.0
5 Lietkabelis136746%82.282.6-0.5
6 Jonava136746%87.391.8-4.5
7 Neptunas146843%85.189.4-4.3
8 Siauliai135838%92.899.1-6.2
9 Nevezis1331023%84.888.8-4.0
10 Mazeikiai1321115%82.495.2-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis2422152485
Zalgiris Kaunas2419252189
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