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Neptunas vs Lietkabelis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 14:50
Final 56-63
15-18 20-10 13-15 8-20
Position#7
Record6-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game89.4
vs
Position#3
Record6-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game83.1
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Neptunas v Lietkabelis
17 Feb 2027
NEP v LIE
upcoming
23 Jan 2027
NEP v LIE
upcoming
11 Jun 2026
NEP66
LIE63
06 Jun 2026
NEP86
LIE73
28 Mar 2026
NEP96
LIE87
22 Feb 2026
NEP73
LIE94
24 Jan 2026
NEP97
LIE87
02 Mar 2025
NEP72
LIE91
11 Jan 2025
NEP56
LIE63
13 Apr 2024
NEP88
LIE84
03 Jan 2024
NEP91
LIE89
16 Sep 2023
NEP91
LIE81
03 Apr 2023
NEP73
LIE86
05 Mar 2022
NEP73
LIE83
05 Jan 2022
NEP69
LIE73
06 Oct 2021
NEP53
LIE81
16 May 2021
NEP78
LIE94
01 May 2021
NEP83
LIE73
05 Dec 2020
NEP80
LIE90
29 Feb 2020
NEP78
LIE84
09 Nov 2019
NEP78
LIE74
17 Mar 2019
NEP72
LIE74
30 Sep 2018
NEP76
LIE89
15 Jun 2018
NEP79
LIE71
10 Jun 2018
NEP69
LIE83
27 Jan 2018
NEP83
LIE78
02 Dec 2017
NEP86
LIE76
15 Jan 2017
NEP86
LIE61
19 Nov 2016
NEP67
LIE77
16 Jan 2016
NEP70
LIE74
22 Nov 2015
NEP73
LIE65
01 Feb 2015
NEP102
LIE76
16 Nov 2014
NEP98
LIE86
09 Oct 2013
NEP84
LIE79
03 Oct 2012
NEP84
LIE78
01 Oct 2011
NEP80
LIE60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lietkabelis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
83-74
83
74
+9
76avg 81
A16/11
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
101-104 OT
101
104
-3
94avg 81
H27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
63-74
63
74
-11
59avg 81
H30/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
102-101
102
101
+1
98avg 81
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
L
86-102
86
102
-16
76avg 81
A07/12
LKL
Juventus
#10
W
93-82
93
82
+11
86avg 81
A12/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-91
75
91
-16
68avg 81
A15/12
LKL
Rytas
#7
L
67-78
67
78
-11
53avg 81
H21/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#5
L
82-86
82
86
-4
69avg 81
A28/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
76-94
76
94
-18
65avg 81
H04/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
31-26
16-16
18-14
22-22
22-23
30-24
17-22
19-15
13-22
20-16
11-21
14-25
22-29
31-23
35-24
14-36
25-24
7-20
40-22
23-17
20-28
31-18
19-19
14-25
23-23
20-21
18-22
16-24
22-19
18-15
11-20
18-20
20-21
30-23
14-22
26-21
18-29
17-22
15-22
171.4Avg total
82.8Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)85.189.4174.4-4.343%
Season at home (5)77.685.2162.8-7.640%
Season away (9)89.291.7180.9-2.444%
Last 10 (10)82.888.6171.4-5.830%
Last 5 (5)78.686.2164.8-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)80.286.5166.6-6.338%
vs Similar (5)87.489.4176.8-2.040%
vs Weaker (12)93.789.6183.2+4.150%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#8
L
93-98
93
98
-5
88avg 78
H04/12
Eurocup
Siauliai
#8
W
93-76
93
76
+17
89avg 78
H07/12
LKL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
93-87
93
87
+6
72avg 78
A11/12
Eurocup
Mazeikiai
#10
L
87-93
87
93
-6
82avg 78
A14/12
LKL
Aris
#19
L
66-81
66
81
-15
58avg 78
A17/12
Eurocup
Valencia
#1
W
107-106 OT
107
106
+1
99avg 78
A20/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#5
L
78-79
78
79
-1
78avg 78
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
78-90
78
90
-12
70avg 78
A28/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
85-89
85
89
-4
80avg 78
H05/01
LKL
JL Bourg
#12
L
66-79
66
79
-13
57avg 78
A07/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
29-25
24-18
19-32
21-13
31-17
17-12
24-34
18-17
31-24
20-28
24-18
14-22
22-22
12-19
39-30
19-18
15-14
20-24
12-25
24-26
21-31
34-15
18-25
23-17
20-21
14-20
21-21
23-20
17-27
21-17
17-26
24-24
22-19
15-25
24-21
14-17
22-17
16-23
14-22
172.4Avg total
84.6Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.483.1165.4-0.743%
Season at home (7)83.482.7166.1+0.757%
Season away (7)81.383.4164.7-2.129%
Last 10 (10)84.687.8172.4-3.230%
Last 5 (5)82.888.6171.4-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)82.987.4170.3-4.631%
vs Similar (5)86.077.6163.6+8.480%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)81.884.3166.1-2.633%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -4.2-4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -4.2-4.2
NeptunasLietkabelis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A16/11
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H30/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A07/12
LKL
Juventus
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A12/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A15/12
LKL
Rytas
#7
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H21/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#5
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A28/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H04/01
LKL
86.7Avg total
40.0Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.242.986.1+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.742.285.9+1.554%-
Last 30 away (17)42.843.486.2-0.647%-
Last 10 (10)40.046.786.7-6.710%-
Last 5 (5)40.045.485.4-5.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)40.244.484.5-4.238%-
vs Similar (5)46.042.088.0+4.060%-
vs Weaker (12)45.241.786.9+3.658%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#8
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H04/12
Eurocup
Siauliai
#8
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H07/12
LKL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A11/12
Eurocup
Mazeikiai
#10
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A14/12
LKL
Aris
#19
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A17/12
Eurocup
Valencia
#1
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A20/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#5
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A28/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H05/01
LKL
JL Bourg
#12
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A07/01
Eurocup
84.5Avg total
43.1Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.341.482.7-0.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.140.483.5+2.864%-
Last 30 away (16)39.842.382.1-2.644%-
Last 10 (10)43.141.484.5+1.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.043.885.8-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)40.443.884.2-3.444%-
vs Similar (5)46.037.483.4+8.680%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.339.379.7+1.056%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.2
54.3%
55.6%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.88.8
29.5%
35.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.214.8
73.3%
75.0%14.8
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.321.5
56.1%
55.6%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.1
35.4%
35.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.116.3
77.3%
75.0%16.3
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LLLLWLWLLW
Lietkabelis
LLLLWLLWWL
#7
League position
#3
-8.1
Net rating
-4.7
107.1
Offensive rating
109.6
115.2
Defensive rating
114.3
49.9%
Effective FG%
55.0%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
17.9%
Turnover %
19.2%
35.1%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
29.5%
3-point %
35.4%
68.3%
Assist %
62.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 109.6Defence115.2 · 114.3Shooting49.9% · 55.0%3-point %29.5% · 35.4%Ball care17.9% · 19.2%Off. rebounds35.1% · 27.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Neptunas   ■ Lietkabelis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Neptunas wins
4
Lietkabelis wins
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25HRytas76-94
28/12/24AJonava82-86
21/12/24HRytas67-78
15/12/24AZalgiris Kaunas75-91
12/12/24AJuventus93-82
07/12/24ABC Wolves86-102
04/12/24ANevezis102-101
30/11/24HJuventus63-74
27/11/24HSiauliai101-104 OT
16/11/24ANevezis83-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/25AJL Bourg66-79
05/01/25HZalgiris Kaunas85-89
28/12/24ARytas78-90
23/12/24ANevezis78-79
20/12/24AValencia107-106 OT
17/12/24AAris66-81
14/12/24AMazeikiai87-93
11/12/24AHapoel Jerusalem93-87
07/12/24HSiauliai93-76
04/12/24HTurk Telekom93-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL43%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayWWLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1459
Win %43%40%44%
Points / game85.177.689.2
Allowed / game89.485.291.7
Point differential-4.3-7.6-2.4
Avg total174.4162.8180.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %7%0%11%
Lietkabelis
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeLLWWL57%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%57%29%
Points / game82.483.481.3
Allowed / game83.182.783.4
Point differential-0.7+0.7-2.1
Avg total165.4166.1164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1412286%91.872.1+19.7
2 Rytas1411379%90.282.4+7.9
3 BC Wolves1310377%92.787.2+5.5
4 Juventus147750%83.485.4-2.0
5 Jonava147750%87.090.4-3.4
6 Lietkabelis146843%82.483.1-0.7
7 Neptunas146843%85.189.4-4.3
8 Siauliai135838%92.899.1-6.2
9 Nevezis1431121%86.089.8-3.8
10 Mazeikiai1421214%81.694.4-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas152013856
Lietkabelis1810152063
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