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Hamburg vs Lietkabelis Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 84-77
19-29 23-18 13-16 29-14
Position#17
Record3-12
FormWLWLL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game89.3
Hamburg 🏆
vs
Position#18
Record4-11
FormLWLLW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game87.8
EuropeEurocupRound 16· Edel-optics.de Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Hamburg v Lietkabelis
21 Jan 2025
HAM84
LIE77
04 Apr 2022
HAM72
LIE87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
82-80
82
80
+2
75avg 72
H17/12
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
66-73
66
73
-7
69avg 72
H21/12
BBL
Rostock
#12
L
78-92
78
92
-14
67avg 72
A26/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
86-91
86
91
-5
82avg 72
H30/12
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
83-104
83
104
-21
68avg 72
A03/01
Eurocup
Bamberg
#15
W
83-80
83
80
+3
82avg 72
A06/01
BBL
Venezia
#11
L
77-90
77
90
-13
68avg 72
H08/01
Eurocup
Bonn
#14
W
91-84
91
84
+7
87avg 72
H10/01
BBL
Turk Telekom
#8
L
65-77
65
77
-12
55avg 72
A15/01
Eurocup
Chemnitz
#7
L
60-69
60
69
-9
38avg 72
A17/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
22-21
19-17
20-20
12-15
17-20
22-16
15-22
20-30
23-20
15-21
20-21
24-22
20-25
26-27
16-17
22-30
13-15
21-37
27-22
13-15
16-19
35-15
19-31
17-30
19-27
29-19
12-14
24-19
15-24
25-18
27-23
11-23
20-23
19-11
15-20
12-15
11-16
16-22
21-16
161.1Avg total
77.1Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)76.889.3166.1-12.520%
Season at home (7)80.986.4167.3-5.643%
Season away (8)73.291.8165.0-18.50%
Last 10 (10)77.184.0161.1-6.930%
Last 5 (5)75.280.0155.2-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)78.089.0167.0-11.018%
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.880.4158.2-2.742%
vs Weaker (1)91.078.0169.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Aris
#19
L
66-81
66
81
-15
58avg 78
A17/12
Eurocup
Valencia
#1
W
107-106 OT
107
106
+1
99avg 78
A20/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#5
L
78-79
78
79
-1
78avg 78
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
78-90
78
90
-12
70avg 78
A28/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
85-89
85
89
-4
80avg 78
H05/01
LKL
JL Bourg
#12
L
66-79
66
79
-13
57avg 78
A07/01
Eurocup
Neptunas
#7
W
63-56
63
56
+7
51avg 78
A11/01
LKL
Valencia
#1
L
91-96
91
96
-5
87avg 78
H14/01
Eurocup
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
L
78-88
78
88
-10
71avg 78
H16/01
Eurocup
Nevezis
#5
W
77-67
77
67
+10
70avg 78
H19/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
15-14
20-24
12-25
24-26
21-31
34-15
18-25
23-17
20-21
14-20
21-21
23-20
17-27
21-17
17-26
24-24
22-19
15-25
24-21
14-17
22-17
16-23
14-22
18-15
10-20
15-13
20-8
21-28
25-24
28-21
17-23
18-16
22-29
19-22
19-21
19-14
20-17
24-22
14-14
162.0Avg total
78.9Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.787.8170.5-5.127%
Season at home (8)84.889.5174.2-4.825%
Season away (7)80.485.9166.3-5.429%
Last 10 (10)78.983.1162.0-4.230%
Last 5 (5)75.077.2152.2-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)82.789.3172.0-6.720%
vs Similar ◀ (6)84.575.8160.3+8.783%
vs Weaker (9)79.781.9161.6-2.233%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -3.0-3.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -3.0-3.0
HamburgLietkabelis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H17/12
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H21/12
BBL
Rostock
#12
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A26/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H30/12
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A03/01
Eurocup
Bamberg
#15
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A06/01
BBL
Venezia
#11
L
36-57
36
57
-21
H08/01
Eurocup
Bonn
#14
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H10/01
BBL
Turk Telekom
#8
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A15/01
Eurocup
Chemnitz
#7
L
23-31
23
31
-8
A17/01
BBL
78.3Avg total
35.2Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.444.282.6-5.820%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.245.785.9-5.529%-
Last 30 away (16)36.842.979.8-6.112%-
Last 10 (10)35.243.178.3-7.90%-
Last 5 (5)31.642.273.8-10.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)39.546.986.4-7.518%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.240.877.0-4.717%-
vs Weaker (1)47.039.086.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#19
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A17/12
Eurocup
Valencia
#1
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A20/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#5
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A28/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H05/01
LKL
JL Bourg
#12
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A07/01
Eurocup
Neptunas
#7
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A11/01
LKL
Valencia
#1
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H14/01
Eurocup
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H16/01
Eurocup
Nevezis
#5
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H19/01
King Mindaugas Cup
81.1Avg total
39.7Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.841.382.1-0.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.540.583.1+2.060%-
Last 30 away (15)39.042.181.1-3.147%-
Last 10 (10)39.741.481.1-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.839.477.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)40.444.484.8-4.047%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)44.836.381.2+8.583%-
vs Weaker (9)38.739.478.1-0.844%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.4
52.6%
53.5%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.38.0
27.3%
34.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.515.5
75.6%
76.0%15.5
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.7
55.3%
53.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.2
29.9%
34.3%21.6
🏀 Free throws20.915.1
72.2%
76.0%15.1
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamburg
LLWLWLLLLW
Lietkabelis
WLLWLLLLWL
#17
League position
#18
-9.3
Net rating
-5.8
99.9
Offensive rating
103.6
109.2
Defensive rating
109.5
47.3%
Effective FG%
51.2%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
21.5%
Turnover %
18.6%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.34
27.3%
3-point %
29.9%
63.3%
Assist %
63.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence99.9 · 103.6Defence109.2 · 109.5Shooting47.3% · 51.2%3-point %27.3% · 29.9%Ball care21.5% · 18.6%Off. rebounds33.7% · 26.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Hamburg   ■ Lietkabelis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hamburg wins
2
Lietkabelis wins
DateGameScore
06/11/24Lietkabelis v Hamburg91-68
04/04/22Hamburg v Lietkabelis72-87
10/11/21Lietkabelis v Hamburg96-100
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/25AChemnitz60-69
15/01/25ATurk Telekom65-77
10/01/25HBonn91-84
08/01/25HVenezia77-90
06/01/25ABamberg83-80
03/01/25ACluj-Napoca83-104
30/12/24HBasketball Braunschweig86-91
26/12/24ARostock78-92
21/12/24HLudwigsburg66-73
17/12/24HHapoel Jerusalem82-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/25HNevezis77-67
16/01/25HCedevita Olimpija78-88
14/01/25HValencia91-96
11/01/25ANeptunas63-56
07/01/25AJL Bourg66-79
05/01/25HZalgiris Kaunas85-89
28/12/24ARytas78-90
23/12/24ANevezis78-79
20/12/24AValencia107-106 OT
17/12/24AAris66-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeWWLWL43%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %20%43%0%
Points / game76.880.973.2
Allowed / game89.386.491.8
Point differential-12.5-5.6-18.5
Avg total166.1167.3165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lietkabelis
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL27%
HomeWLLLL25%
AwayLWLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %27%25%29%
Points / game82.784.880.4
Allowed / game87.889.585.9
Point differential-5.1-4.8-5.4
Avg total170.5174.2166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %13%12%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia1513287%97.182.7+14.4
2 Bahcesehir Kol.1513287%83.974.1+9.8
3 Gran Canaria1510567%79.174.9+4.2
4 Cedevita Olimpija1510567%84.482.1+2.3
5 Hapoel Tel-Aviv159660%88.579.5+8.9
6 Hapoel Jerusalem159660%84.579.3+5.2
7 Ulm159660%87.889.0-1.2
8 Cluj-Napoca169756%88.987.5+1.4
9 Turk Telekom169756%80.482.1-1.6
10 JL Bourg158753%87.281.4+5.8
11 Besiktas158753%85.885.5+0.3
12 Venezia158753%82.183.7-1.6
13 Buducnost157847%86.386.4-0.1
14 BC Wolves157847%83.486.9-3.5
15 Joventut Badalona156940%80.183.5-3.5
16 Trento1551033%78.784.3-5.5
17 Lietkabelis1541127%82.787.8-5.1
18 Aris1531220%74.582.8-8.3
19 Hamburg1531220%76.889.3-12.5
20 Trefl Sopot151147%77.186.5-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hamburg1923132984
Lietkabelis2918161477
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