PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Venezia vs Olimpia Milano Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 20 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record5-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game87.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.4/10
Below normal
3.7/10
Below normal
Position#3
Record6-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game81.1
ItalyLega ARound 12· Palasport Giuseppe Taliercio
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Venezia v Olimpia Milano
20 Dec 2026
VEN v MIL
upcoming
18 Jun 2026
VEN72
MIL86
16 Jun 2026
VEN109
MIL97
26 Apr 2026
VEN85
MIL90
19 Jan 2025
VEN85
MIL72
17 Mar 2024
VEN78
MIL72
23 Oct 2022
VEN77
MIL69
08 May 2022
VEN69
MIL74
02 Jun 2021
VEN83
MIL93
28 Mar 2021
VEN69
MIL63
15 Dec 2019
VEN70
MIL71
18 Nov 2018
VEN81
MIL84
09 May 2018
VEN89
MIL86
11 Dec 2016
VEN88
MIL84
29 May 2016
VEN60
MIL68
25 May 2016
VEN80
MIL88
23 May 2016
VEN73
MIL62
13 Mar 2016
VEN81
MIL85
09 Feb 2015
VEN74
MIL84
18 Nov 2013
VEN88
MIL82
10 Mar 2013
VEN88
MIL97
22 May 2012
VEN80
MIL82
11 Dec 2011
VEN66
MIL72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Venezia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#16
W
75-65
75
65
+10
66avg 80
H14/10
Eurocup
BC Roma
#13
W
104-98
104
98
+6
98avg 80
A17/10
Lega A
Maxima Roma
#11
L
79-90
79
90
-11
72avg 80
A21/10
Eurocup
Treviso
#4
L
89-97 OT
89
97
-8
77avg 80
H25/10
Lega A
Tenerife
#5
L
80-82
80
82
-2
75avg 80
A28/10
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#2
L
81-99
81
99
-18
68avg 80
A01/11
Lega A
Siauliai
#19
W
98-77
98
77
+21
no box
H04/11
Eurocup
Reggiana
#14
W
83-78
83
78
+5
no box
A07/11
Lega A
London Lions
#9
L
76-80
76
80
-4
no box
A10/11
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#5
W
88-81
88
81
+7
no box
H15/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
19-13
18-22
18-14
24-29
22-26
24-13
34-30
18-23
27-22
12-19
22-26
21-31
22-13
17-21
20-15
25-24
16-24
25-17
14-17
16-19
22-25
20-30
23-25
25-21
27-18
22-20
24-18
18-26
21-20
20-18
24-14
19-19
16-19
20-21
21-21
26-26
36-20
6-16
20-19
170.0Avg total
85.3Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.987.6175.5+0.262%
Season at home (4)87.086.0173.0+1.050%
Season away (4)88.889.2178.0-0.575%
Last 10 (10)85.384.7170.0+0.650%
Last 5 (5)85.283.0168.2+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)85.290.0175.2-4.842%
vs Similar (12)83.484.4167.8-1.050%
vs Weaker (6)94.278.8173.0+15.383%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#2
W
98-82
98
82
+16
93avg 82
A18/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#4
L
81-89
81
89
-8
76avg 82
H22/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
94-98 OT
94
98
-4
80avg 82
H25/10
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
66avg 82
A27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
78-84
78
84
-6
75avg 82
A30/10
Euroleague
Cantu
#16
W
95-82
95
82
+13
no box
A02/11
Lega A
Valencia
#3
L
73-84
73
84
-11
no box
H05/11
Euroleague
Trento
#11
W
88-86
88
86
+2
no box
H08/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
83-86
83
86
-3
no box
H12/11
Euroleague
Udine
#9
W
83-70
83
70
+13
no box
A15/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
23-13
25-23
32-21
21-23
19-21
24-27
17-18
22-20
30-17
15-22
14-22
19-18
18-22
24-20
14-20
19-25
25-19
17-25
17-15
23-27
28-20
21-17
23-18
15-24
22-16
22-11
14-33
26-28
30-20
19-22
13-16
25-18
16-27
11-18
31-23
22-15
15-20
22-23
24-12
168.9Avg total
84.8Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.981.1171.0+8.875%
Season at home (4)92.885.0177.8+7.875%
Season away (4)87.077.2164.2+9.875%
Last 10 (10)84.884.1168.9+0.740%
Last 5 (5)84.481.6166.0+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.589.2170.8-7.80%
vs Similar (6)86.287.8174.0-1.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)89.278.9168.1+10.381%
This opponent (Venezia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.1+0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.1+0.1
VeneziaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#16
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H14/10
Eurocup
BC Roma
#13
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A17/10
Lega A
Maxima Roma
#11
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A21/10
Eurocup
Treviso
#4
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H25/10
Lega A
Tenerife
#5
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A28/10
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A01/11
Lega A
Siauliai
#19
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H04/11
Eurocup
Reggiana
#14
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A07/11
Lega A
London Lions
#9
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A10/11
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#5
W
62-46
62
46
+16
H15/11
Lega A
87.4Avg total
44.0Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.244.387.5-1.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.340.986.2+4.553%-
Last 30 away (15)41.147.788.8-6.713%-
Last 10 (10)44.043.487.4+0.630%-
Last 5 (5)45.242.687.8+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)41.648.890.3-7.28%-
vs Similar (12)42.443.285.6-0.825%-
vs Weaker (6)48.037.785.7+10.3100%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A18/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#4
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H22/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H25/10
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A30/10
Euroleague
Cantu
#16
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A02/11
Lega A
Valencia
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H05/11
Euroleague
Trento
#11
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H08/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H12/11
Euroleague
Udine
#9
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A15/11
Lega A
85.4Avg total
43.6Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.642.386.8+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.741.989.6+5.862%-
Last 30 away (14)41.042.783.7-1.736%-
Last 10 (10)43.641.885.4+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)44.443.087.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.545.586.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (6)43.242.085.2+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)47.140.887.9+6.475%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.3
53.9%
54.3%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.7
35.4%
34.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.116.0
79.6%
74.6%16.0
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.019.3
56.8%
54.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.9
36.0%
34.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.718.6
81.9%
74.6%18.6
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Venezia
WLWWLLLLWW
Olimpia Milano
WLWLWLLLLW
#7
League position
#3
+0.1
Net rating
-1.4
100.0
Offensive rating
100.0
99.9
Defensive rating
101.4
53.6%
Effective FG%
55.5%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
14.0%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.37
35.4%
3-point %
36.0%
54.5%
Assist %
66.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 100.0Defence99.9 · 101.4Shooting53.6% · 55.5%3-point %35.4% · 36.0%Ball care14.0% · 16.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Venezia   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Venezia wins
7
Olimpia Milano wins
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HMaxima Roma88-81
10/11/26ALondon Lions76-80
07/11/26AReggiana83-78
04/11/26HSiauliai98-77
01/11/26ABasket Napoli81-99
28/10/26ATenerife80-82
25/10/26HTreviso89-97 OT
21/10/26AMaxima Roma79-90
17/10/26ABC Roma104-98
14/10/26HTurk Telekom75-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AUdine83-70
12/11/26HZalgiris Kaunas83-86
08/11/26HTrento88-86
05/11/26HValencia73-84
02/11/26ACantu95-82
30/10/26AOlympiacos78-84
27/10/26APanathinaikos75-80
25/10/26HVirtus Bologna94-98 OT
22/10/26HBarcelona81-89
18/10/26ABasket Napoli98-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Venezia
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game87.987.088.8
Allowed / game87.686.089.2
Point differential+0.2+1.0-0.5
Avg total175.5173.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW75%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game89.992.887.0
Allowed / game81.185.077.2
Point differential+8.8+7.8+9.8
Avg total171.0177.8164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%25%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna87188%95.484.6+10.8
2 Basket Napoli87188%93.286.9+6.4
3 Olimpia Milano86275%89.981.1+8.8
4 Treviso86275%90.887.6+3.1
5 Maxima Roma85362%87.284.2+3.0
6 Varese85362%89.187.1+2.0
7 Venezia85362%87.987.6+0.2
8 Trieste84450%93.888.6+5.1
9 Udine84450%79.980.6-0.8
10 Verona84450%88.590.8-2.2
11 Trento83538%79.884.1-4.4
12 Tortona83538%86.591.1-4.6
13 BC Roma82625%98.698.0+0.6
14 Reggiana82625%82.085.6-3.6
15 Scafati81712%81.591.9-10.4
16 Cantu8080%78.892.8-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.