Avellino vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Feb 2016

Tip-off: 11:00

Final 84-76

22-19 21-14 22-23 19-20

Position#3

Record10-8

FormWWWWW

Points / game76.5

Allowed / game76.4

Avellino 🏆

Pistoia

Position#7

Record12-6

FormLWWWL

Points / game77.7

Allowed / game75.6

Lega ARound 19

Domestic2015-16

Meetings · Avellino v Pistoia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pistoia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

#14

66-81

-15

A28/11

Lega A

Varese

93-81

+12

A07/12

Lega A

Torino

#15

86-79

H13/12

Lega A

Cremona

58-64

-6

A20/12

Lega A

Caserta

#13

62-70

-8

H23/12

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#16

73-55

+18

A27/12

Lega A

Venezia

88-76

+12

H03/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#12

88-82

A18/01

Lega A

Reggiana

75-67

H23/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

81-80

A31/01

Lega A

11-19

20-26

20-15

15-21

31-22

24-24

20-13

18-22

20-14

21-19

20-23

25-23

16-15

15-13

11-21

24-10

20-13

9-29

9-18

12-16

20-16

15-14

26-9

18-14

20-26

21-17

29-19

24-26

17-18

28-20

19-18

19-16

26-19

10-11

20-21

22-17

15-19

24-23

150.5Avg total

77.0Scored

73.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	76.5	76.4	152.9	+0.1	56%
Season at home (9)	77.6	76.1	153.7	+1.4	67%
Season away (9)	75.4	76.7	152.1	-1.2	44%
Last 10 (10)	77.0	73.5	150.5	+3.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	81.0	72.0	153.0	+9.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	71.0	89.5	160.5	-18.5	0%
vs Similar (18)	75.8	77.4	153.2	-1.6	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	77.6	75.3	152.9	+2.2	67%

This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pistoia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Reggiana

77-80

-3

H29/11

Lega A

Torino

#15

88-87 OT

A07/12

Lega A

Varese

67-65

H13/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#14

72-76

-4

A20/12

Lega A

Venezia

70-68

H23/12

Lega A

Sassari

75-80

-5

A27/12

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#16

103-75

103

+28

H03/01

Lega A

Brindisi

#10

71-67

A17/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#12

77-75

H25/01

Lega A

Trento

64-69

-5

H31/01

Lega A

25-16

20-27

15-21

17-16

19-26

24-20

24-16

15-20

11-15

18-18

12-16

26-16

12-12

22-22

15-17

23-25

25-22

19-21

15-13

11-12

21-25

24-20

20-15

10-20

30-15

21-24

29-18

23-18

17-19

23-13

20-15

11-20

11-22

17-20

28-19

21-14

21-24

15-18

14-13

14-14

150.6Avg total

76.4Scored

74.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	77.7	75.6	153.3	+2.1	67%
Season at home (10)	80.7	75.3	156.0	+5.4	80%
Season away (8)	73.9	76.0	149.9	-2.1	50%
Last 10 (10)	76.4	74.2	150.6	+2.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	73.2	151.2	+4.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	76.6	81.4	158.0	-4.8	20%
vs Similar (23)	79.3	76.8	156.1	+2.4	65%
vs Weaker (2)	76.5	86.0	162.5	-9.5	50%

This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AvellinoPistoia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	17.9	37.3	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	19.8	39.9	+0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	17.3	36.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.6	37.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	24.5	46.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Similar (18)	18.9	19.4	38.4	-0.5	39%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	21.2	17.0	38.2	+4.2	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.1	39.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	19.2	40.9	+2.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.5	21.1	37.6	-4.6	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.6	38.8	-0.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	24.0	23.6	47.6	+0.4	40%	-
vs Similar (23)	18.6	19.4	38.0	-0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	16.0	19.0	35.0	-3.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.3	38.0	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	18.7	38.5	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	19.9	37.6	-2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.3	39.9	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.2	40.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	13.0	20.0	33.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (18)	19.7	18.9	38.6	+0.8	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	18.9	20.0	38.9	-1.1	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.9	39.8	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.0	21.7	40.7	-2.7	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	17.8	38.9	+3.3	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.3	40.6	+0.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	40%	-
vs Similar (23)	19.7	19.7	39.3	+0.0	35%	-
vs Weaker (2)	26.0	22.0	48.0	+4.0	100%	-

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

#14

31-45

-14

A28/11

Lega A

Varese

55-46

A07/12

Lega A

Torino

#15

41-33

H13/12

Lega A

Cremona

32-30

A20/12

Lega A

Caserta

#13

44-23

+21

H23/12

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#16

32-32

A27/12

Lega A

Venezia

38-40

-2

H03/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#12

41-44

-3

A18/01

Lega A

Reggiana

45-35

+10

H23/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

42-38

A31/01

Lega A

76.7Avg total

40.1Scored

36.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	38.1	76.6	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.1	36.6	75.7	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.9	39.7	77.5	-1.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	36.6	76.7	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	37.8	77.4	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	34.5	44.5	79.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (18)	38.7	38.3	77.0	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	40.1	37.0	77.1	+3.1	56%	-

This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Reggiana

45-43

H29/11

Lega A

Torino

#15

43-46

-3

A07/12

Lega A

Varese

29-33

-4

H13/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#14

34-34

A20/12

Lega A

Venezia

44-43

H23/12

Lega A

Sassari

45-45

A27/12

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#16

51-39

+12

H03/01

Lega A

Brindisi

#10

40-32

A17/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#12

28-42

-14

H25/01

Lega A

Trento

36-42

-6

H31/01

Lega A

79.4Avg total

39.5Scored

39.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	40.0	79.2	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.8	40.9	81.6	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.6	38.9	76.5	-1.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	39.9	79.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	40.0	80.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	43.0	43.6	86.6	-0.6	20%	-
vs Similar (23)	38.2	39.1	77.3	-0.9	39%	-
vs Weaker (2)	42.0	41.0	83.0	+1.0	100%	-

This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	17.7	36.2	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	17.7	36.6	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	17.7	35.9	+0.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	17.4	34.7	-0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	16.2	34.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.5	23.5	44.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (18)	18.8	17.3	36.1	+1.4	61%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	18.0	17.9	35.9	+0.1	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	17.9	36.5	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	17.7	36.8	+1.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.0	18.1	36.1	-0.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	16.3	35.5	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	16.0	38.2	+6.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	16.6	17.4	34.0	-0.8	40%	-
vs Similar (23)	19.2	17.5	36.7	+1.7	61%	-
vs Weaker (2)	16.0	23.5	39.5	-7.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	20.9	38.9	-2.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	21.5	39.8	-3.1	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	20.4	38.1	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.5	39.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	18.0	41.6	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.0	21.5	37.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Similar (18)	18.3	21.7	40.1	-3.4	28%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	18.3	19.6	37.9	-1.2	44%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.7	39.5	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	19.1	40.8	+2.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	20.4	38.0	-2.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	17.5	34.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	17.2	33.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	17.0	20.4	37.4	-3.4	20%	-
vs Similar (23)	20.5	19.4	39.9	+1.1	48%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	21.5	40.0	-3.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.6	38.6	75.2	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.3	39.1	76.4	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.9	38.1	73.9	-2.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	36.9	73.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	34.2	75.6	+7.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	36.5	45.0	81.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar (18)	37.1	39.1	76.2	-1.9	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	36.3	37.4	73.8	-1.1	44%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	37.6	76.0	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.8	36.8	77.6	+4.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.6	38.6	74.1	-3.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.3	33.8	70.1	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	33.2	71.2	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	33.6	37.8	71.4	-4.2	20%	-
vs Similar (23)	39.7	36.9	76.7	+2.8	61%	-
vs Weaker (2)	34.5	45.0	79.5	-10.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Avellino wins

Pistoia wins

Date	Game	Score
25/10/15	Pistoia v Avellino	76-70
13/04/15	Avellino v Pistoia	73-69
21/12/14	Pistoia v Avellino	61-68
26/01/14	Avellino v Pistoia	75-70
20/10/13	Pistoia v Avellino	75-83

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/01/16	A	Olimpia Milano	81-80
23/01/16	H	Reggiana	75-67
18/01/16	A	Pesaro	88-82
03/01/16	H	Venezia	88-76
27/12/15	A	Capo d'Orlando	73-55
23/12/15	H	Caserta	62-70
20/12/15	A	Cremona	58-64
13/12/15	H	Torino	86-79
07/12/15	A	Varese	93-81
28/11/15	A	Virtus Bologna	66-81

Pistoialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/01/16	H	Trento	64-69
25/01/16	H	Pesaro	77-75
17/01/16	A	Brindisi	71-67
03/01/16	H	Capo d'Orlando	103-75
27/12/15	A	Sassari	75-80
23/12/15	H	Venezia	70-68
20/12/15	A	Virtus Bologna	72-76
13/12/15	H	Varese	67-65
07/12/15	A	Torino	88-87 OT
29/11/15	H	Reggiana	77-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino

Lega A 2015-16

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	56%
Home	WWLWW	67%
Away	WLWWW	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	56%	67%	44%
Points / game	76.5	77.6	75.4
Allowed / game	76.4	76.1	76.7
Point differential	+0.1	+1.4	-1.2
Avg total	152.9	153.7	152.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	22%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	67% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	6%	11%	0%

Pistoia

Lega A 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	67%
Home	WWWWL	80%
Away	LWLLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	10	8
Win %	67%	80%	50%
Points / game	77.7	80.7	73.9
Allowed / game	75.6	75.3	76.0
Point differential	+2.1	+5.4	-2.1
Avg total	153.3	156.0	149.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	10%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (10)	60% (5)	60% (5)
Overtime %	11%	10%	12%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	18	13	5	72%	82.0	69.9	+12.1
2	Reggiana	18	13	5	72%	78.3	72.1	+6.2
3	Pistoia	18	12	6	67%	77.7	75.6	+2.1
4	Cremona	18	12	6	67%	75.4	73.6	+1.8
5	Trento	18	11	7	61%	75.9	73.4	+2.6
6	Venezia	18	10	8	56%	75.3	71.8	+3.5
7	Avellino	18	10	8	56%	76.5	76.4	+0.1
8	Sassari	18	9	9	50%	81.9	80.2	+1.7
9	Cantu	18	8	10	44%	81.4	80.3	+1.1
10	Brindisi	18	8	10	44%	79.7	80.1	-0.4
11	Caserta	18	8	10	44%	71.3	73.4	-2.1
12	Varese	18	7	11	39%	72.2	78.3	-6.1
13	Pesaro	18	6	12	33%	73.5	78.5	-5.0
14	Virtus Bologna	18	6	12	33%	73.8	79.3	-5.5
15	Capo d'Orlando	18	6	12	33%	66.8	72.7	-5.9
16	Torino	18	5	13	28%	75.0	81.1	-6.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Avellino	22	21	22	19	84
Pistoia	19	14	23	20	76

← all games of the day

Avellino vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature