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Venezia vs Pistoia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 29 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 16:15
Postponed
Position#7
Record11-10
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game75.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
6.6/10
Above normal
Position#16
Record7-15
FormLLWWL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game83.3
ItalyLega ARound 28
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Venezia v Pistoia
27 Apr 2025
VEN90
PIS93
14 Feb 2024
VEN86
PIS71
11 Feb 2024
VEN96
PIS69
29 Mar 2020
VEN v PIS
upcoming
27 Jan 2019
VEN95
PIS72
18 Nov 2017
VEN84
PIS80
15 May 2017
VEN72
PIS68
13 May 2017
VEN84
PIS71
13 Nov 2016
VEN74
PIS62
18 Apr 2016
VEN74
PIS68
23 Nov 2014
VEN66
PIS63
06 Apr 2014
VEN70
PIS74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Venezia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
70-71
70
71
-1
no box
H15/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
104-85
104
85
+19
no box
A22/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
79-77
79
77
+2
70avg 85
H26/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
98-92
98
92
+6
91avg 85
H29/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
64-70
64
70
-6
55avg 85
A04/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
81-72
81
72
+9
76avg 85
A12/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
80-70
80
70
+10
71avg 85
H18/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
71-83
71
83
-12
62avg 85
H25/01
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
77-81
77
81
-4
69avg 85
A02/02
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
79-73
79
73
+6
76avg 85
H09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
22-21
13-18
16-12
30-29
28-23
21-18
25-15
10-17
30-26
18-21
21-13
28-28
26-21
20-18
24-25
14-10
18-15
15-16
17-29
17-23
23-8
21-17
20-24
21-17
15-20
20-14
24-19
21-21
18-23
16-19
16-20
21-22
20-17
16-21
20-21
25-23
13-14
15-14
26-22
157.7Avg total
80.3Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.075.3153.3+2.752%
Season at home (11)75.669.4145.0+6.382%
Season away (10)80.681.9162.5-1.320%
Last 10 (10)80.377.4157.7+2.960%
Last 5 (5)77.675.8153.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.070.5135.5-5.525%
vs Similar (8)79.081.2160.2-2.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)79.974.7154.7+5.272%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Cremona
#6
W
84-71
84
71
+13
80avg 70
H15/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
91-79
91
79
+12
81avg 70
H22/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
60-91
60
91
-31
41avg 70
A26/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
70-78
70
78
-8
56avg 70
H04/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
71-74
71
74
-3
60avg 70
H12/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
60-90
60
90
-30
48avg 70
A18/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
75-86
75
86
-11
no box
H26/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
81-80
81
80
+1
71avg 70
A02/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
86-79
86
79
+7
76avg 70
H09/02
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
80-97
80
97
-17
69avg 70
A07/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-15
11-20
15-23
29-13
27-26
14-20
27-20
23-13
14-26
19-18
15-24
12-23
15-20
24-12
13-23
18-23
22-24
9-18
17-15
23-17
8-19
20-27
20-16
12-28
13-29
20-20
24-9
18-28
21-21
15-27
25-14
20-18
22-20
15-21
26-11
23-27
20-25
19-25
22-22
19-25
158.3Avg total
75.8Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)74.583.3157.8-8.832%
Season at home (11)78.578.5157.1+0.055%
Season away (11)70.588.0158.5-17.59%
Last 10 (10)75.882.5158.3-6.740%
Last 5 (5)76.486.4162.8-10.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)74.183.7157.8-9.622%
vs Similar (2)74.080.5154.5-6.550%
vs Weaker (1)91.079.0170.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.8-1.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.8-1.8
VeneziaPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H15/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A22/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H26/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H29/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A04/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A12/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H18/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H25/01
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A02/02
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H09/02
Lega A
81.7Avg total
41.9Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.338.677.9+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.536.875.2+1.850%-
Last 30 away (14)40.240.680.9-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.881.7+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.676.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.832.568.2+3.275%-
vs Similar (8)40.643.684.2-3.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)39.537.777.2+1.856%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#6
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H15/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H22/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A26/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H04/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H12/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A18/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H26/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A02/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H09/02
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A07/03
Lega A
79.0Avg total
35.7Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.241.878.0-5.617%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.940.877.7-3.913%-
Last 30 away (15)35.542.878.3-7.320%-
Last 10 (10)35.743.379.0-7.620%-
Last 5 (5)34.646.881.4-12.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)36.141.477.5-5.419%-
vs Similar (2)35.544.580.0-9.00%-
vs Weaker (1)41.046.087.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.3
50.8%
52.0%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.3
36.7%
35.1%30.9
🏀 Free throws16.712.2
73.1%
73.6%12.2
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.518.5
48.1%
52.0%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.2
28.1%
35.1%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.916.4
74.9%
73.6%16.4
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Venezia
WLLWWLWWWL
Pistoia
LWWLLLLLWW
#7
League position
#16
+4.4
Net rating
-9.3
113.4
Offensive rating
107.0
109.0
Defensive rating
116.3
52.7%
Effective FG%
45.7%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
17.3%
Turnover %
15.6%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
34.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.7%
3-point %
28.1%
55.6%
Assist %
49.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 107.0Defence109.0 · 116.3Shooting52.7% · 45.7%3-point %36.7% · 28.1%Ball care17.3% · 15.6%Off. rebounds33.7% · 34.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Venezia   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Venezia wins
3
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
01/12/19Pistoia v Venezia89-87
27/01/19Venezia v Pistoia95-72
14/10/18Pistoia v Venezia69-97
25/03/18Pistoia v Venezia93-83
18/11/17Venezia v Pistoia84-80
19/05/17Pistoia v Venezia79-92
17/05/17Pistoia v Venezia89-75
15/05/17Venezia v Pistoia72-68
13/05/17Venezia v Pistoia84-71
12/03/17Pistoia v Venezia71-78
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20HTreviso79-73
02/02/20ACantu77-81
25/01/20HVirtus Bologna71-83
18/01/20HFortitudo Bologna80-70
12/01/20ATrieste81-72
04/01/20ABrescia64-70
29/12/19HPesaro98-92
26/12/19HVirtus Roma79-77
22/12/19AReggiana104-85
15/12/19HOlimpia Milano70-71
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20ATrieste80-97
09/02/20HReggiana86-79
02/02/20AVirtus Roma81-80
26/01/20HTreviso75-86
18/01/20AVirtus Bologna60-90
12/01/20HTrento71-74
04/01/20HSassari70-78
26/12/19AVarese60-91
22/12/19HPesaro91-79
15/12/19HCremona84-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Venezia
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW52%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayLWLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %52%82%20%
Points / game78.075.680.6
Allowed / game75.369.481.9
Point differential+2.7+6.3-1.3
Avg total153.3145.0162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%36%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)75% (4)0% (5)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Pistoia
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL32%
HomeWLLLW55%
AwayLLLWL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %32%55%9%
Points / game74.578.570.5
Allowed / game83.378.588.0
Point differential-8.8+0.0-17.5
Avg total157.8157.1158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2116576%85.575.9+9.6
3 Brescia2114767%81.374.0+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano2114767%80.374.0+6.3
5 Brindisi2113862%84.680.8+3.8
6 Cremona2012860%81.380.8+0.5
7 Venezia21111052%78.075.3+2.7
8 Trento21111052%77.979.3-1.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna21111052%77.379.5-2.2
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu2091145%76.779.0-2.4
12 Reggiana2191243%82.984.0-1.0
13 Treviso2181338%77.179.2-2.1
14 Trieste2271532%76.080.5-4.5
15 Virtus Roma2271532%78.585.5-7.0
16 Pistoia2271532%74.583.3-8.8
17 Pesaro201195%79.292.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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