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Ventspils vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 104-69
26-15 30-10 25-23 23-21
Position#6
Record5-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game83.1
vs
Position#11
Record2-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game86.5
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Olimpiskais centrs Ventspils
Other2025
Meetings · Ventspils v BK Liepaja
26 Jan 2027
VET v BK L
upcoming
16 Nov 2025
VET104
BK L69
04 Feb 2025
VET103
BK L91
06 Dec 2024
VET101
BK L81
17 May 2024
VET88
BK L77
11 May 2024
VET101
BK L76
06 Oct 2023
VET96
BK L102
15 Feb 2023
VET102
BK L55
15 Mar 2022
VET94
BK L71
30 Mar 2021
VET78
BK L79
19 Mar 2021
VET73
BK L71
30 Oct 2020
VET73
BK L64
16 Mar 2019
VET97
BK L67
24 Mar 2018
VET107
BK L62
29 Dec 2017
VET97
BK L71
08 Apr 2017
VET90
BK L76
12 Nov 2016
VET82
BK L66
31 May 2016
VET72
BK L66
28 May 2016
VET96
BK L65
23 May 2016
VET75
BK L83
13 Apr 2016
VET100
BK L77
23 Dec 2015
VET77
BK L65
15 Nov 2014
VET76
BK L81
17 Jan 2014
VET71
BK L61
16 Oct 2013
VET75
BK L53
10 Nov 2012
VET82
BK L62
25 Apr 2012
VET77
BK L69
19 Apr 2012
VET73
BK L74
11 Oct 2011
VET88
BK L69
30 Sep 2011
VET85
BK L59
25 Feb 2011
VET95
BK L77
09 Mar 2010
VET99
BK L71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ventspils winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BK Liepaja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VentspilsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVentspils
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#1
L
68-89
68
89
-21
54avg 81
A19/05
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
L
91-93
91
93
-2
90avg 81
H22/05
LBL
Rigas Zelli
#4
W
90-81
90
81
+9
85avg 81
A04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
75-85
75
85
-10
60avg 81
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
L
80-84
80
84
-4
65avg 81
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
69-76
69
76
-7
64avg 81
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
105-88
105
88
+17
101avg 81
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#8
W
71-70
71
70
+1
57avg 81
A31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
W
113-88
113
88
+25
106avg 81
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
W
99-93
99
93
+6
90avg 81
A12/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
18-26
9-22
25-18
29-23
24-19
20-32
18-19
24-17
29-21
22-22
15-21
28-28
14-17
13-18
20-22
18-19
21-24
18-14
23-27
16-21
20-19
10-16
23-20
22-20
36-20
21-26
26-22
12-15
23-21
14-18
22-16
31-17
31-16
28-25
23-30
24-21
19-21
37-29
19-22
170.8Avg total
86.1Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.883.1170.9+4.662%
Season at home (4)93.286.2179.5+7.050%
Season away (4)82.280.0162.2+2.275%
Last 10 (10)86.184.7170.8+1.450%
Last 5 (5)91.483.0174.4+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)84.490.4174.7-6.018%
vs Similar (8)88.982.8171.6+6.175%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)96.682.2178.8+14.582%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiepaja
Date
Competition
Luxembourg U18
#2
L
64-74
64
74
-10
no box
A26/07
EuroBasket U18 C
Andorra U18
#7
W
81-77
81
77
+4
no box
A27/07
EuroBasket U18 C
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
91-88
91
88
+3
82avg 76
A04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
81-87
81
87
-6
70avg 76
H08/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
89-79
89
79
+10
87avg 76
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
L
71-80
71
80
-9
62avg 76
H15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
71-109
71
109
-38
54avg 76
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
78-83
78
83
-5
64avg 76
H29/10
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
71-83
71
83
-12
64avg 76
A04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
L
80-83
80
83
-3
66avg 76
H08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-15
10-24
13-19
30-16
18-12
23-24
19-20
21-21
27-28
22-18
24-24
18-18
27-16
21-22
18-25
15-24
23-19
17-20
28-20
21-20
28-24
12-24
16-16
15-16
15-35
24-23
23-26
9-25
12-20
19-15
31-26
16-22
13-26
26-21
14-19
18-17
24-29
17-10
16-28
23-16
162.0Avg total
77.7Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.086.5165.5-7.525%
Season at home (4)77.583.2160.8-5.80%
Season away (4)80.589.8170.2-9.250%
Last 10 (10)77.784.3162.0-6.630%
Last 5 (5)74.287.6161.8-13.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.086.5162.5-10.59%
vs Similar (7)84.789.3174.0-4.629%
vs Weaker (12)86.472.2158.7+14.283%
This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
VentspilsBK Liepaja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#1
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A19/05
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H22/05
LBL
Rigas Zelli
#4
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#8
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
W
62-33
62
33
+29
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A12/11
Latvia-Estonian League
86.3Avg total
45.5Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.242.489.6+4.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.942.892.6+7.164%-
Last 30 away (16)44.942.187.0+2.850%-
Last 10 (10)45.540.886.3+4.750%-
Last 5 (5)46.838.285.0+8.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)43.844.388.1-0.536%-
vs Similar (8)48.243.191.4+5.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)49.840.189.9+9.782%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Luxembourg U18
#2
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A26/07
EuroBasket U18 C
Andorra U18
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A27/07
EuroBasket U18 C
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H08/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H29/10
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
81.4Avg total
38.9Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.839.780.4+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.639.880.4+0.846%-
Last 30 away (17)40.939.680.5+1.365%-
Last 10 (10)38.942.581.4-3.650%-
Last 5 (5)38.045.483.4-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.942.682.5-2.727%-
vs Similar (7)40.342.482.7-2.157%-
vs Weaker (12)41.835.377.2+6.583%-
This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ventspilstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ventspils: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.818.8
55.6%
53.1%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.910.8
32.8%
32.4%32.4
🏀 Free throws23.316.5
70.8%
69.8%16.5
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Liepaja: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.320.4
54.7%
53.1%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.1
29.1%
32.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.515.6
72.6%
69.8%15.6
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ventspils
WWWWLLLWLL
BK Liepaja
LLLLLWLWWL
#6
League position
#11
+3.6
Net rating
-6.6
112.5
Offensive rating
105.1
108.8
Defensive rating
111.7
52.5%
Effective FG%
50.0%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
16.1%
Turnover %
17.2%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.8%
3-point %
29.1%
56.8%
Assist %
51.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 105.1Defence108.8 · 111.7Shooting52.5% · 50.0%3-point %32.8% · 29.1%Ball care16.1% · 17.2%Off. rebounds31.9% · 27.8%Free throws0.35 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Ventspils   ■ BK Liepaja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Ventspils wins
1
BK Liepaja wins
DateGameScore
12/02/25BK Liepaja v Ventspils79-98
04/02/25Ventspils v BK Liepaja103-91
28/01/25BK Liepaja v Ventspils64-87
06/12/24Ventspils v BK Liepaja101-81
17/05/24Ventspils v BK Liepaja88-77
14/05/24BK Liepaja v Ventspils76-83
11/05/24Ventspils v BK Liepaja101-76
24/01/24BK Liepaja v Ventspils70-90
06/10/23Ventspils v BK Liepaja96-102 OT
15/02/23Ventspils v BK Liepaja102-55
Ventspilslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25AValmiera Glass Via99-93
07/11/25HViimsi113-88
31/10/25ABK Ogre71-70
24/10/25HLatvijas Universitate105-88
21/10/25AVEF Riga69-76
17/10/25HTal Tech80-84
10/10/25HTartu Ulikool75-85
04/10/25ARigas Zelli90-81
22/05/25HVEF Riga91-93
19/05/25AVEF Riga68-89
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25HViimsi80-83
04/11/25AVEF Riga71-83
29/10/25HValmiera Glass Via78-83
24/10/25ARigas Zelli71-109
15/10/25HTal Tech71-80
11/10/25AKeila KK89-79
08/10/25HTartu Ulikool81-87
04/10/25AKeila Coolbet91-88
27/07/25AAndorra U1881-77
26/07/25ALuxembourg U1864-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ventspils
Latvia-Estonian League 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game87.893.282.2
Allowed / game83.186.280.0
Point differential+4.6+7.0+2.2
Avg total170.9179.5162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BK Liepaja
Latvia-Estonian League 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game79.077.580.5
Allowed / game86.583.289.8
Point differential-7.5-5.8-9.2
Avg total165.5160.8170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tartu Ulikool880100%86.676.5+10.1
2 Rigas Zelli87188%95.576.5+19.0
3 Valmiera Glass Via87188%89.575.1+14.4
4 VEF Riga108280%91.778.4+13.3
5 BC Kalev/Cramo86275%94.977.1+17.8
6 Ventspils85362%87.883.1+4.6
7 Tal Tech95456%87.183.4+3.7
8 BK Ogre94544%78.377.9+0.4
9 BK Liepaja82625%79.086.5-7.5
10 Keila Coolbet82625%82.895.9-13.1
11 Viimsi82625%77.993.6-15.8
12 Parnu71614%74.680.0-5.4
13 Keila KK91811%79.0102.2-23.2
14 Latvijas Universitate8080%74.093.9-19.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ventspils26302523104
BK Liepaja1510232169
← all games of the day
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