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Ventspils vs Keila KK Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 117-93
24-21 35-20 22-19 36-33
Position#6
Record8-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game82.7
vs
Position#12
Record2-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game98.2
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Olimpiskais centrs Ventspils
Other2025
Meetings · Ventspils v Keila KK
12 Mar 2027
VET v KEIL
upcoming
12 Dec 2025
VET117
KEIL93
08 Oct 2024
VET116
KEIL78
12 Jan 2024
VET116
KEIL87
23 Nov 2022
VET93
KEIL86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ventspils winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keila KK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VentspilsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVentspils
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#7
L
80-84
80
84
-4
65avg 81
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
69-76
69
76
-7
64avg 81
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
105-88
105
88
+17
101avg 81
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#8
W
71-70
71
70
+1
57avg 81
A31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
W
113-88
113
88
+25
106avg 81
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
W
99-93
99
93
+6
90avg 81
A12/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
104-69
104
69
+35
103avg 81
H16/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
L
80-86
80
86
-6
66avg 81
A21/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
81-80
81
80
+1
66avg 81
A05/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
W
99-92 OT
99
92
+7
92avg 81
A06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
21-24
18-14
23-27
16-21
20-19
10-16
23-20
22-20
36-20
21-26
26-22
12-15
23-21
14-18
22-16
31-17
31-16
28-25
23-30
24-21
19-21
37-29
19-22
26-15
30-10
25-23
23-21
13-14
21-19
20-26
26-27
25-25
19-18
17-20
20-17
29-23
21-30
24-11
13-23
172.7Avg total
90.1Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)88.882.7171.5+6.267%
Season at home (5)95.482.8178.2+12.660%
Season away (7)84.182.6166.7+1.671%
Last 10 (10)90.182.6172.7+7.570%
Last 5 (5)92.684.0176.6+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)85.690.5176.1-4.925%
vs Similar (8)86.683.6170.2+3.062%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)94.980.5175.4+14.490%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#11
L
79-89
79
89
-10
60avg 64
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
73-108
73
108
-35
58avg 64
A18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#8
L
74-90
74
90
-16
55avg 64
H25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
70-117
70
117
-47
47avg 64
A01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
96-90
96
90
+6
86avg 64
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
L
82-110
82
110
-28
70avg 64
A12/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
80-105
80
105
-25
63avg 64
H15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
81-86
81
86
-5
66avg 64
A21/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#9
L
70-97
70
97
-27
49avg 64
H06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
103-75
103
75
+28
101avg 64
A09/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
20-17
20-28
20-21
27-23
18-27
15-26
13-32
28-29
21-17
9-18
16-26
25-20
13-31
15-33
17-33
28-19
19-20
29-29
20-22
11-27
27-24
23-29
21-30
14-31
21-20
15-37
30-17
25-21
19-22
16-20
21-23
19-16
17-38
24-22
10-21
31-20
26-20
19-20
27-15
177.5Avg total
80.8Scored
96.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.498.2178.6-17.817%
Season at home (5)79.894.2174.0-14.420%
Season away (7)80.9101.0181.9-20.114%
Last 10 (10)80.896.7177.5-15.920%
Last 5 (5)83.294.6177.8-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)75.995.9171.8-20.08%
vs Similar (4)91.882.0173.8+9.875%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -7.7-7.7Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -4.5-4.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -7.7-7.7Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -4.5-4.5
VentspilsKeila KK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#7
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#8
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
W
62-33
62
33
+29
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A12/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
56-25
56
25
+31
H16/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A21/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A05/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
84.5Avg total
45.7Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.642.088.7+4.653%-
Last 30 at home (13)50.541.792.2+8.862%-
Last 30 away (17)43.742.386.0+1.447%-
Last 10 (10)45.738.884.5+6.960%-
Last 5 (5)45.439.284.6+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)44.345.089.3-0.733%-
vs Similar (8)45.841.987.6+3.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)50.138.688.7+11.580%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#11
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#8
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A12/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A21/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#9
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A09/12
Latvia-Estonian League
89.3Avg total
42.8Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.147.988.1-7.833%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.445.285.6-4.850%-
Last 30 away (16)39.950.390.2-10.419%-
Last 10 (10)42.846.589.3-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)42.047.889.8-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)38.548.787.2-10.223%-
vs Similar (4)50.843.294.0+7.5100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ventspilstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ventspils: 88.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.5
55.4%
53.1%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.110.4
31.4%
32.4%31.2
🏀 Free throws23.316.7
71.7%
69.8%16.7
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.423.7
52.2%
53.1%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.56.3
26.8%
32.4%18.9
🏀 Free throws22.414.4
64.3%
69.8%14.4
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ventspils
WWLWWWWWLL
Keila KK
WLLLLWLLLL
#6
League position
#12
+9.1
Net rating
-18.6
114.0
Offensive rating
97.5
104.9
Defensive rating
116.1
51.5%
Effective FG%
48.1%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
13.9%
Turnover %
15.8%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
22.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.4%
3-point %
26.8%
55.3%
Assist %
44.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 97.5Defence104.9 · 116.1Shooting51.5% · 48.1%3-point %31.4% · 26.8%Ball care13.9% · 15.8%Off. rebounds32.9% · 22.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Ventspils   ■ Keila KK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Ventspils wins
0
Keila KK wins
DateGameScore
22/02/25Keila KK v Ventspils71-77
08/10/24Ventspils v Keila KK116-78
12/01/24Ventspils v Keila KK116-87
19/11/23Keila KK v Ventspils93-103
27/01/23Keila KK v Ventspils75-86
23/11/22Ventspils v Keila KK93-86
Ventspilslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25ABC Kalev/Cramo99-92 OT
05/12/25AKeila Coolbet81-80
21/11/25ATal Tech80-86
16/11/25HBK Liepaja104-69
12/11/25AValmiera Glass Via99-93
07/11/25HViimsi113-88
31/10/25ABK Ogre71-70
24/10/25HLatvijas Universitate105-88
21/10/25AVEF Riga69-76
17/10/25HTal Tech80-84
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/25ALatvijas Universitate103-75
06/12/25HParnu70-97
21/11/25AValmiera Glass Via81-86
15/11/25HVEF Riga80-105
12/11/25ATal Tech82-110
04/11/25HKeila Coolbet96-90
01/11/25ABC Kalev/Cramo70-117
25/10/25HBK Ogre74-90
18/10/25ARigas Zelli73-108
11/10/25HBK Liepaja79-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ventspils
Latvia-Estonian League 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayWWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %67%60%71%
Points / game88.895.484.1
Allowed / game82.782.882.6
Point differential+6.2+12.6+1.6
Avg total171.5178.2166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Keila KK
Latvia-Estonian League 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeLLWLL20%
AwayLLLLW14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %17%20%14%
Points / game80.479.880.9
Allowed / game98.294.2101.0
Point differential-17.8-14.4-20.1
Avg total178.6174.0181.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tartu Ulikool11110100%86.776.6+10.1
2 Rigas Zelli1211192%94.275.3+18.9
3 VEF Riga1311285%90.778.5+12.2
4 Valmiera Glass Via129375%87.976.5+11.4
5 Ventspils128467%88.882.7+6.2
6 BC Kalev/Cramo106460%93.680.6+13.0
7 Tal Tech127558%84.683.7+0.9
8 BK Ogre135838%76.576.6-0.2
9 Parnu93633%78.879.2-0.4
10 BK Liepaja113827%78.887.5-8.6
11 Keila Coolbet102820%82.594.2-11.7
12 Viimsi1221017%75.892.8-17.0
13 Keila KK1221017%80.498.2-17.8
14 Latvijas Universitate110110%75.594.9-19.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ventspils24352236117
Keila KK2120193393
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