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Ventspils vs Keila KK Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 08 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 116-78
31-15 23-15 33-22 29-26
Position#8
Record1-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game89.5
vs
Position#14
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Olimpiskais centrs Ventspils
Other2024
Meetings · Ventspils v Keila KK
12 Mar 2027
VET v KEIL
upcoming
12 Dec 2025
VET117
KEIL93
08 Oct 2024
VET116
KEIL78
12 Jan 2024
VET116
KEIL87
23 Nov 2022
VET93
KEIL86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ventspils winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keila KK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VentspilsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVentspils
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#3
L
76-84
76
84
-8
66avg 82
A19/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
97-100
97
100
-3
no box
H26/04
LBL
Rigas Zelli
#3
W
103-82
103
82
+21
no box
A29/04
LBL
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
81-111
81
111
-30
no box
H02/05
LBL
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
61-65
61
65
-4
no box
A04/05
LBL
BK Liepaja
#5
W
101-76
101
76
+25
no box
H11/05
LBL
BK Liepaja
#5
W
83-76
83
76
+7
no box
A14/05
LBL
BK Liepaja
#5
W
88-77
88
77
+11
no box
H17/05
LBL
Rigas Zelli
#3
W
85-84
85
84
+1
70avg 82
H26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
75-95
75
95
-20
60avg 82
A05/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
17-18
17-19
20-22
25-25
24-29
22-20
26-26
25-21
24-19
21-22
33-20
11-32
26-24
20-24
24-31
18-14
20-14
10-16
13-21
28-20
26-19
26-17
21-20
25-20
21-20
28-22
9-14
28-23
23-17
21-18
16-19
29-18
19-18
27-28
10-20
13-21
17-26
21-24
24-24
170.0Avg total
85.0Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)80.089.5169.5-9.550%
Season at home (1)85.084.0169.0+1.0100%
Season away (1)75.095.0170.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)85.085.0170.0+0.050%
Last 5 (5)86.481.6168.0+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.487.1164.5-9.730%
vs Similar (11)89.486.1175.5+3.345%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)92.977.2170.1+15.7100%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#3
L
72-77
72
77
-5
64avg 69
H06/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
L
74-79
74
79
-5
56avg 69
A09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
59-113
59
113
-54
40avg 69
A17/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
83-74
83
74
+9
79avg 69
H20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
77-80
77
80
-3
59avg 69
H24/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#6
L
71-79
71
79
-8
52avg 69
A24/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
93-69
93
69
+24
88avg 69
H26/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
53-60
53
60
-7
38avg 69
A28/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
80-79 OT
80
79
+1
76avg 69
H01/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
67-87
67
87
-20
61avg 69
A02/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-24
14-20
25-17
22-16
19-22
22-16
13-18
20-23
11-31
20-30
13-30
15-22
21-12
29-21
7-21
26-20
16-17
19-22
24-17
18-24
20-22
9-19
21-22
21-16
22-18
24-19
27-20
20-12
11-14
7-13
20-12
15-21
11-13
25-14
20-18
10-21
17-18
9-17
19-27
22-25
152.6Avg total
72.9Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.979.7152.6-6.830%
Last 5 (5)72.874.8147.6-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)76.293.6169.8-17.40%
vs Similar (9)78.679.4158.0-0.944%
vs Weaker (6)88.381.3169.7+7.083%
This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
VentspilsKeila KK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A19/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H26/04
LBL
Rigas Zelli
#3
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A29/04
LBL
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
37-56
37
56
-19
H02/05
LBL
Rigas Zelli
#3
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A04/05
LBL
BK Liepaja
#5
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H11/05
LBL
BK Liepaja
#5
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A14/05
LBL
BK Liepaja
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H17/05
LBL
Rigas Zelli
#3
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A05/10
Latvia-Estonian League
86.4Avg total
44.1Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.041.486.4+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.940.990.8+9.171%-
Last 30 away (16)40.841.982.6-1.156%-
Last 10 (10)44.142.386.4+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)45.840.486.2+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.944.986.8-3.040%-
vs Similar (11)45.041.886.8+3.264%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)48.637.085.6+11.689%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#3
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H06/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
31-61
31
61
-30
A17/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H24/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#6
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A24/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H26/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
18-27
18
27
-9
A28/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H01/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A02/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
71.9Avg total
33.7Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.844.282.9-5.427%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.843.684.4-2.831%-
Last 30 away (17)37.244.681.8-7.424%-
Last 10 (10)33.738.271.9-4.540%-
Last 5 (5)31.033.464.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)36.949.386.3-12.47%-
vs Similar (9)36.738.074.7-1.333%-
vs Weaker (6)46.540.587.0+6.067%-
This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ventspilstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ventspils: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.9
49.7%
51.9%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.49.3
29.6%
32.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.214.5
71.8%
70.6%14.5
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 71.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.514.4
43.0%
51.9%28.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.0
34.2%
32.3%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.313.1
71.6%
70.6%13.1
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ventspils
LWWWWLLWLL
Keila KK
LWLWLLWLLL
#8
League position
#14
-4.2
Net rating
-9.0
104.9
Offensive rating
94.8
109.1
Defensive rating
103.7
47.3%
Effective FG%
46.9%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
16.2%
Turnover %
17.2%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
20.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.6%
3-point %
34.2%
62.1%
Assist %
56.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 94.8Defence109.1 · 103.7Shooting47.3% · 46.9%3-point %29.6% · 34.2%Ball care16.2% · 17.2%Off. rebounds31.8% · 20.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Ventspils   ■ Keila KK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Ventspils wins
0
Keila KK wins
DateGameScore
12/01/24Ventspils v Keila KK116-87
19/11/23Keila KK v Ventspils93-103
27/01/23Keila KK v Ventspils75-86
23/11/22Ventspils v Keila KK93-86
Ventspilslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24ABK Ogre75-95
26/09/24HRigas Zelli85-84
17/05/24HBK Liepaja88-77
14/05/24ABK Liepaja83-76
11/05/24HBK Liepaja101-76
04/05/24ARigas Zelli61-65
02/05/24HRigas Zelli81-111
29/04/24ARigas Zelli103-82
26/04/24HRigas Zelli97-100
19/04/24AVEF Riga76-84
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/24AParnu67-87
01/05/24HParnu80-79 OT
28/04/24AParnu53-60
26/04/24HParnu93-69
24/04/24AParnu71-79
24/03/24HValmiera Glass Via77-80
20/03/24HTallinna Kalev83-74
17/03/24APrometey59-113
09/03/24ALatvijas Universitate74-79
06/03/24HVEF Riga72-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ventspils
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game80.085.075.0
Allowed / game89.584.095.0
Point differential-9.5+1.0-20.0
Avg total169.5169.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keila KK
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BK Ogre32167%86.776.3+10.3
2 Valmiera Glass Via32167%77.767.7+10.0
3 VEF Riga32167%80.071.7+8.3
4 Rigas Zelli32167%85.783.7+2.0
5 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%72.080.0-8.0
6 Ventspils21150%80.089.5-9.5
7 BK Liepaja31233%73.779.0-5.3
8 Latvijas Universitate3030%74.087.7-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ventspils31233329116
Keila KK1515222678
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