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Keila KK vs Ventspils Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 93-103
22-27 26-33 26-18 19-25
Position#12
Record5-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#4
Record5-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game86.0
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Keila Tervisekeskus (Keila)
Other2023
Meetings · Keila KK v Ventspils
06 Feb 2027
KEIL v VET
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
KEIL80
VET84
22 Feb 2025
KEIL71
VET77
19 Nov 2023
KEIL93
VET103
27 Jan 2023
KEIL75
VET86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keila KK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ventspils winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keila KKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
Parnu
#8
L
66-83
66
83
-17
50avg 63
A27/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
56-77
56
77
-21
40avg 63
A30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
74-89
74
89
-15
61avg 63
H06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
80-71
80
71
+9
77avg 63
H18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
81-86
81
86
-5
66avg 63
H22/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Voluntari
#3
L
53-82
53
82
-29
36avg 63
H24/10
ENBL
BK Liepaja
#11
L
88-99
88
99
-11
75avg 63
A28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
95-72
95
72
+23
90avg 63
H03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
90-80
90
80
+10
88avg 63
A10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
80-73
80
73
+7
74avg 63
H15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
20-21
9-22
22-18
12-19
17-7
9-29
18-22
11-16
15-23
25-21
23-29
18-11
22-14
21-26
19-20
16-20
30-19
14-22
21-25
13-14
12-16
14-23
14-29
21-35
24-18
18-17
25-29
23-23
24-19
21-20
27-10
19-17
19-18
22-22
30-23
27-17
12-19
23-17
18-20
157.5Avg total
76.3Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.080.2160.2-0.250%
Season at home (5)82.078.2160.2+3.860%
Season away (5)78.082.2160.2-4.240%
Last 10 (10)76.381.2157.5-4.940%
Last 5 (5)81.281.2162.4+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)70.085.4155.4-15.422%
vs Similar (4)89.091.0180.0-2.050%
vs Weaker (3)93.077.3170.3+15.7100%
This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VentspilsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVentspils
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#1
L
61-79
61
79
-18
no box
A16/05
LBL
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
88-83 OT
88
83
+5
78avg 83
A29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
96-102 OT
96
102
-6
82avg 83
H06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
98-100 OT
98
100
-2
90avg 83
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
104-75
104
75
+29
105avg 83
A15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
68-107
68
107
-39
51avg 83
H21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
92-74
92
74
+18
88avg 83
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
86-89
86
89
-3
81avg 83
A29/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
88-78
88
78
+10
83avg 83
H03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
93-66
93
66
+27
89avg 83
H10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
16-20
13-21
15-20
16-19
17-23
18-18
25-16
23-28
18-22
23-14
23-23
19-22
19-26
22-18
26-20
19-27
31-13
26-21
28-14
22-25
11-30
21-25
14-27
24-14
23-23
23-22
22-15
28-23
14-18
23-25
21-23
19-19
24-14
17-21
28-24
25-18
21-10
30-23
17-15
172.7Avg total
87.4Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)90.386.0176.3+4.356%
Season at home (4)86.288.2174.5-2.050%
Season away (5)93.684.2177.8+9.460%
Last 10 (10)87.485.3172.7+2.150%
Last 5 (5)85.482.8168.2+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.190.4167.6-13.322%
vs Similar (9)85.183.0168.1+2.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)93.483.0176.4+10.467%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +2.2+2.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +2.2+2.2
Keila KKVentspils
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parnu
#8
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A27/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H22/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Voluntari
#3
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H24/10
ENBL
BK Liepaja
#11
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
73.8Avg total
37.0Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.040.578.6-2.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.939.579.4+0.462%-
Last 30 away (14)35.941.777.6-5.836%-
Last 10 (10)37.036.873.8+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)38.839.278.0-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)36.040.776.7-4.743%-
vs Similar (4)41.542.884.2-1.250%-
vs Weaker (3)49.336.385.7+13.0100%-
This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#1
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A16/05
LBL
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
33-55
33
55
-22
H21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A29/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
81.8Avg total
40.6Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.242.284.4+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.842.485.2+0.458%-
Last 30 away (18)41.842.083.8-0.239%-
Last 10 (10)40.641.281.8-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)42.238.881.0+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.346.685.9-7.211%-
vs Similar (9)44.842.787.4+2.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.438.580.9+3.958%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.618.7
47.2%
50.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.9
32.5%
32.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws22.814.6
64.0%
70.5%14.6
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ventspilstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ventspils: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.3 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.323.7
52.2%
50.5%47.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.0
31.4%
32.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.917.9
78.2%
70.5%17.9
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keila KK
WWWLLLWLLL
Ventspils
WWLWLWLLWL
#12
League position
#4
-5.7
Net rating
+4.9
99.5
Offensive rating
106.0
105.2
Defensive rating
101.2
47.8%
Effective FG%
50.4%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
16.4%
Turnover %
20.6%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
35.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.5%
3-point %
31.4%
53.0%
Assist %
56.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.5 · 106.0Defence105.2 · 101.2Shooting47.8% · 50.4%3-point %32.5% · 31.4%Ball care16.4% · 20.6%Off. rebounds26.2% · 35.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Keila KK   ■ Ventspils
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Keila KK wins
2
Ventspils wins
DateGameScore
27/01/23Keila KK v Ventspils75-86
23/11/22Ventspils v Keila KK93-86
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/23HTartu Ulikool80-73
10/11/23AValmiera Glass Via90-80
03/11/23HLatvijas Universitate95-72
28/10/23ABK Liepaja88-99
24/10/23HVoluntari53-82
22/10/23HTal Tech81-86
18/10/23HBK Ogre80-71
06/10/23HPrometey74-89
30/09/23ARigas Zelli56-77
27/09/23AParnu66-83
Ventspilslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/23HTallinna Kalev93-66
03/11/23HRapla88-78
29/10/23ARigas Zelli86-89
24/10/23AValmiera Glass Via92-74
21/10/23HVEF Riga68-107
15/10/23AViimsi104-75
14/10/23ATal Tech98-100 OT
06/10/23HBK Liepaja96-102 OT
29/09/23ATartu Ulikool88-83 OT
16/05/23AVEF Riga61-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keila KK
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game80.082.078.0
Allowed / game80.278.282.2
Point differential-0.2+3.8-4.2
Avg total160.2160.2160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%20%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ventspils
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW56%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%50%60%
Points / game90.386.293.6
Allowed / game86.088.284.2
Point differential+4.3-2.0+9.4
Avg total176.3174.5177.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %33%25%40%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo880100%94.265.5+28.8
2 Prometey87188%88.268.8+19.5
3 Rigas Zelli108280%80.066.8+13.2
4 VEF Riga107370%84.869.7+15.1
5 Tartu Ulikool107370%79.470.1+9.3
6 Tal Tech107370%81.877.5+4.3
7 Ventspils95456%90.386.0+4.3
8 Parnu95456%72.974.6-1.7
9 BK Ogre116555%78.076.5+1.5
10 Keila KK105550%80.080.2-0.2
11 BK Liepaja115645%81.283.3-2.1
12 Rapla123925%74.278.4-4.2
13 Latvijas Universitate1331023%68.984.4-15.5
14 Tallinna Kalev102820%66.281.8-15.6
15 Valmiera Glass Via112918%74.887.2-12.4
16 Viimsi1221017%65.188.1-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keila KK2226261993
Ventspils27331825103
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