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Ventspils vs Keila KK Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 116-87
38-20 27-29 32-21 19-17
Position#4
Record11-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game91.6
Allowed / game84.6
vs
Position#12
Record7-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game84.3
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Olimpiskais centrs Ventspils (Ventspils)
Other2023
Meetings · Ventspils v Keila KK
12 Mar 2027
VET v KEIL
upcoming
12 Dec 2025
VET117
KEIL93
08 Oct 2024
VET116
KEIL78
12 Jan 2024
VET116
KEIL87
23 Nov 2022
VET93
KEIL86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ventspils winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keila KK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VentspilsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVentspils
Date
Competition
Rapla
#10
W
88-78
88
78
+10
83avg 84
H03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
93-66
93
66
+27
89avg 84
H10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
103-93
103
93
+10
98avg 84
A19/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
97-71
97
71
+26
96avg 84
A25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
80-77
80
77
+3
69avg 84
A02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
84-78
84
78
+6
64avg 84
H08/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
91-84
91
84
+7
86avg 84
H19/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
94-96
94
96
-2
85avg 84
H30/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#7
W
103-85
103
85
+18
no box
A05/01
Latvian Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
103-81
103
81
+22
103avg 84
H09/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
24-14
17-21
28-24
25-18
21-10
30-23
17-15
27-22
33-26
18-26
25-19
26-18
20-9
23-22
28-22
29-19
16-19
18-26
17-13
23-15
17-28
23-13
21-22
21-18
15-22
29-22
26-22
32-21
18-31
16-23
28-21
28-24
15-23
30-15
30-23
26-19
18-21
36-18
23-23
174.5Avg total
93.6Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)91.684.6176.2+6.969%
Season at home (8)89.686.5176.1+3.162%
Season away (8)93.582.8176.2+10.875%
Last 10 (10)93.680.9174.5+12.790%
Last 5 (5)95.084.8179.8+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.190.9168.0-13.812%
vs Similar (10)85.082.5167.5+2.560%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)95.782.2177.8+13.583%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#3
L
60-81
60
81
-21
48avg 67
A25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Liege
#9
L
92-96
92
96
-4
75avg 67
H28/11
ENBL
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
101-91
101
91
+10
88avg 67
A03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
71-115
71
115
-44
56avg 67
H08/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
73-77
73
77
-4
66avg 67
A12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
L
75-86
75
86
-11
65avg 67
H15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Brno
#14
W
93-73
93
73
+20
92avg 67
A18/12
ENBL
Viimsi
#15
W
82-80
82
80
+2
59avg 67
H22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
72-83
72
83
-11
63avg 67
A06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Siauliai
#4
L
79-107
79
107
-28
70avg 67
A10/01
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-18
10-28
22-17
15-18
20-20
22-29
16-18
34-29
17-18
32-18
30-33
22-22
19-28
17-33
18-32
17-22
14-18
17-18
17-22
25-19
17-21
22-30
19-18
17-17
20-20
29-20
20-18
24-15
23-28
15-15
25-21
19-16
14-23
20-17
19-17
19-26
20-27
21-28
23-25
15-27
168.7Avg total
79.8Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.384.3163.6-5.139%
Season at home (9)81.286.1167.3-4.944%
Season away (9)77.382.6159.9-5.233%
Last 10 (10)79.888.9168.7-9.130%
Last 5 (5)80.285.8166.0-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)72.484.8157.2-12.320%
vs Similar (3)84.388.3172.7-4.033%
vs Weaker (7)93.181.0174.1+12.1100%
This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -0.4-0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -0.4-0.4
VentspilsKeila KK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rapla
#10
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A19/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
46-27
46
27
+19
A25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H08/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H19/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H30/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A05/01
Latvian Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H09/01
Latvia-Estonian League
84.9Avg total
45.3Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.242.886.0+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.244.386.5-2.138%-
Last 30 away (17)43.941.785.6+2.253%-
Last 10 (10)45.339.684.9+5.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.644.487.0-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.147.886.9-8.60%-
vs Similar (10)44.342.787.0+1.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.939.784.6+5.267%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#3
L
23-46
23
46
-23
A25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Liege
#9
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H28/11
ENBL
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
36-61
36
61
-25
H08/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Brno
#14
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A18/12
ENBL
Viimsi
#15
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Siauliai
#4
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A10/01
ENBL
83.9Avg total
38.2Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.641.681.1-2.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.141.781.9-1.650%-
Last 30 away (16)39.141.480.5-2.438%-
Last 10 (10)38.245.783.9-7.520%-
Last 5 (5)40.245.886.0-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)36.541.477.8-4.935%-
vs Similar (3)40.746.387.0-5.733%-
vs Weaker (7)48.040.188.1+7.971%-
This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ventspilstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ventspils: 91.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.320.9
49.4%
50.5%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.510.1
38.1%
32.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws24.719.2
77.7%
70.5%19.2
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.516.9
45.1%
50.5%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.4
33.2%
32.1%28.2
🏀 Free throws24.116.8
69.7%
70.5%16.8
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ventspils
WWLWWWWWWW
Keila KK
LLWWLLLWLL
#4
League position
#12
+13.6
Net rating
-12.6
112.6
Offensive rating
101.2
99.0
Defensive rating
113.8
52.4%
Effective FG%
47.1%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
17.5%
Turnover %
17.1%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.37
38.1%
3-point %
33.2%
61.6%
Assist %
68.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence112.6 · 101.2Defence99.0 · 113.8Shooting52.4% · 47.1%3-point %38.1% · 33.2%Ball care17.5% · 17.1%Off. rebounds32.7% · 29.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Ventspils   ■ Keila KK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ventspils wins
0
Keila KK wins
DateGameScore
19/11/23Keila KK v Ventspils93-103
27/01/23Keila KK v Ventspils75-86
23/11/22Ventspils v Keila KK93-86
Ventspilslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/24HLatvijas Universitate103-81
05/01/24ALatvijas Universitate103-85
30/12/23HPrometey94-96
19/12/23HParnu91-84
08/12/23HBK Ogre84-78
02/12/23AParnu80-77
25/11/23ALatvijas Universitate97-71
19/11/23AKeila KK103-93
10/11/23HTallinna Kalev93-66
03/11/23HRapla88-78
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/24ASiauliai79-107
06/01/24ATal Tech72-83
22/12/23HViimsi82-80
18/12/23ABrno93-73
15/12/23HRapla75-86
12/12/23ATartu Ulikool73-77
08/12/23HBC Kalev/Cramo71-115
03/12/23ATallinna Kalev101-91
28/11/23HLiege92-96
25/11/23AVEF Riga60-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ventspils
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW69%
HomeWWWLW62%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %69%62%75%
Points / game91.689.693.5
Allowed / game84.686.582.8
Point differential+6.9+3.1+10.8
Avg total176.2176.1176.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%38%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %19%12%25%
Keila KK
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL39%
HomeWLLLW44%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %39%44%33%
Points / game79.381.277.3
Allowed / game84.386.182.6
Point differential-5.1-4.9-5.2
Avg total163.6167.3159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%11%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo1716194%87.168.7+18.4
2 Prometey1715288%91.668.2+23.5
3 VEF Riga1813572%86.171.1+14.9
4 Ventspils1611569%91.684.6+6.9
5 Rigas Zelli1913668%80.771.2+9.5
6 Tartu Ulikool1711665%77.572.4+5.1
7 Tal Tech1810856%78.977.5+1.4
8 BK Ogre179853%79.977.8+2.1
9 BK Liepaja179853%79.679.5+0.1
10 Rapla1871139%75.177.5-2.4
11 Keila KK1871139%79.384.3-5.1
12 Parnu1661038%76.177.9-1.8
13 Viimsi1951426%69.285.3-16.1
14 Valmiera Glass Via1741324%74.885.8-11.1
15 Latvijas Universitate2031715%67.886.2-18.4
16 Tallinna Kalev1821611%67.189.2-22.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ventspils38273219116
Keila KK2029211787
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