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Ventspils vs Keila KK Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 12 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 16:30
Scheduled
Position#6
Record6-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game83.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.5/10
Above normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Position#9
Record5-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game81.6
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Olimpiskais centrs Ventspils
Other2026
Meetings · Ventspils v Keila KK
12 Mar 2027
VET v KEIL
upcoming
12 Dec 2025
VET117
KEIL93
08 Oct 2024
VET116
KEIL78
12 Jan 2024
VET116
KEIL87
23 Nov 2022
VET93
KEIL86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ventspils win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Keila KK win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VentspilsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVentspils
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
76-98
76
98
-22
65avg 74
A25/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
108-92
108
92
+16
106avg 74
A28/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
W
92-85
92
85
+7
87avg 74
H02/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
W
86-73
86
73
+13
83avg 74
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
85-68
85
68
+17
78avg 74
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#5
L
82-85
82
85
-3
78avg 74
H16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#10
W
92-88
92
88
+4
83avg 74
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
75-60
75
60
+15
65avg 74
H30/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
80-89
80
89
-9
no box
A07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
85-96
85
96
-11
no box
H14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
21-23
19-24
16-22
27-24
26-19
34-22
21-27
25-23
27-32
20-13
20-17
14-24
26-18
24-18
22-13
28-13
15-16
27-21
15-18
17-17
22-16
17-28
26-24
23-29
29-22
23-19
17-18
20-12
21-14
15-13
19-21
17-23
22-22
21-20
20-24
26-26
19-22
13-21
27-27
169.5Avg total
86.1Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.183.4169.5+2.760%
Season at home (4)83.581.5165.0+2.050%
Season away (6)87.884.7172.5+3.267%
Last 10 (10)86.183.4169.5+2.760%
Last 5 (5)82.883.6166.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.590.4167.9-12.920%
vs Similar (6)85.884.2170.0+1.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)91.380.4171.7+10.985%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#2
L
60-90
60
90
-30
43avg 62
A29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
82-106
82
106
-24
77avg 62
H03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
75-70
75
70
+5
68avg 62
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
L
71-89
71
89
-18
56avg 62
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
81-60
81
60
+21
80avg 62
H20/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
70-103
70
103
-33
58avg 62
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
78-72
78
72
+6
74avg 62
H27/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#5
L
58-79
58
79
-21
43avg 62
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
79-66
79
66
+13
no box
A05/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#10
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
A13/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-33
10-21
10-17
19-19
30-38
17-22
16-18
19-28
21-24
19-12
20-11
15-23
19-19
21-23
9-26
22-21
22-19
17-20
25-11
17-10
18-25
21-27
14-26
17-25
28-19
24-27
12-11
14-15
17-20
19-21
12-16
10-22
22-17
17-19
27-18
13-12
23-21
18-17
28-15
20-28
155.9Avg total
74.3Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)74.381.6155.9-7.350%
Season at home (5)74.081.2155.2-7.240%
Season away (5)74.682.0156.6-7.460%
Last 10 (10)74.381.6155.9-7.350%
Last 5 (5)74.880.2155.0-5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)77.992.8170.7-14.914%
vs Similar (7)90.787.3178.0+3.471%
vs Weaker (2)79.566.0145.5+13.5100%
This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -3.7-3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -3.7-3.7
VentspilsKeila KK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A25/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A28/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H02/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#5
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#10
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H30/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
86.9Avg total
44.5Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.342.487.7+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.941.585.4+2.347%-
Last 30 away (15)46.843.390.1+3.567%-
Last 10 (10)44.542.486.9+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.240.683.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.346.287.5-4.920%-
vs Similar (6)45.244.589.7+0.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)46.839.586.2+7.385%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#2
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H20/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H27/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A05/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A13/11
Latvia-Estonian League
84.8Avg total
40.4Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.146.188.2-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.546.487.9-4.925%-
Last 30 away (14)42.745.888.5-3.143%-
Last 10 (10)40.444.484.8-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.684.0-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)40.747.588.2-6.824%-
vs Similar (7)45.143.088.1+2.157%-
vs Weaker (2)45.542.588.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ventspilstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ventspils: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.2
53.0%
52.5%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.19.5
31.6%
31.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.816.7
73.2%
68.3%16.7
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.816.9
47.2%
52.5%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.6
33.9%
31.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.812.4
62.6%
68.3%12.4
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ventspils
LLWWLWWWWL
Keila KK
WWLWLWLWLL
#6
League position
#9
+3.4
Net rating
-15.2
93.8
Offensive rating
79.3
90.5
Defensive rating
94.5
50.5%
Effective FG%
48.7%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
15.7%
Turnover %
20.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.6%
3-point %
33.9%
62.7%
Assist %
56.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.8 · 79.3Defence90.5 · 94.5Shooting50.5% · 48.7%3-point %31.6% · 33.9%Ball care15.7% · 20.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Ventspils   ■ Keila KK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Ventspils wins
0
Keila KK wins
DateGameScore
07/02/26Keila KK v Ventspils80-84
12/12/25Ventspils v Keila KK117-93
22/02/25Keila KK v Ventspils71-77
08/10/24Ventspils v Keila KK116-78
12/01/24Ventspils v Keila KK116-87
19/11/23Keila KK v Ventspils93-103
27/01/23Keila KK v Ventspils75-86
23/11/22Ventspils v Keila KK93-86
Ventspilslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HVEF Riga85-96
07/11/26AParnu80-89
30/10/26HViimsi75-60
24/10/26ABK Ogre92-88
16/10/26HTal Tech82-85
11/10/26AKeila Coolbet85-68
10/10/26ABC Kalev/Cramo86-73
02/10/26HTartu Ulikool92-85
28/09/26ALatvijas Universitate108-92
25/09/26AValmiera Glass Via76-98
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ABK Ogre89-81
05/11/26ARigas Juniori79-66
31/10/26HTal Tech58-79
27/10/26HViimsi78-72
24/10/26ARigas Zelli70-103
20/10/26HKeila Coolbet81-60
17/10/26HTartu Ulikool71-89
10/10/26AParnu75-70
03/10/26HValmiera Glass Via82-106
29/09/26AVEF Riga60-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ventspils
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL60%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game86.183.587.8
Allowed / game83.481.584.7
Point differential+2.7+2.0+3.2
Avg total169.5165.0172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keila KK
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%40%60%
Points / game74.374.074.6
Allowed / game81.681.282.0
Point differential-7.3-7.2-7.4
Avg total155.9155.2156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rigas Zelli990100%93.774.1+19.6
2 VEF Riga108280%90.276.0+14.2
3 Valmiera Glass Via108280%89.876.4+13.4
4 Tartu Ulikool96367%81.375.3+6.0
5 Tal Tech117464%75.872.2+3.6
6 Ventspils106460%86.183.4+2.7
7 BC Kalev/Cramo95456%85.181.9+3.2
8 Parnu84450%77.477.1+0.2
9 Keila KK105550%74.381.6-7.3
10 BK Ogre94544%86.786.7+0.0
11 BK Liepaja104640%82.477.3+5.1
12 Rigas Juniori83538%80.088.5-8.5
13 Viimsi112918%74.386.8-12.5
14 Latvijas Universitate101910%76.891.6-14.8
15 Keila Coolbet100100%68.991.7-22.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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