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Ventspils vs Prometey Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 94-96
32-21 18-31 16-23 28-21
Position#4
Record10-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game84.1
vs
Position#2
Record12-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game68.2
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Olimpiskais centrs Ventspils (Ventspils)
Other2023
Meetings · Ventspils v Prometey
30 Dec 2023
VET94
PRM96
26 Nov 2022
VET83
PRM90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ventspils winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Prometey winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VentspilsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVentspils
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#3
L
68-107
68
107
-39
51avg 83
H21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
92-74
92
74
+18
88avg 83
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
86-89
86
89
-3
81avg 83
A29/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
88-78
88
78
+10
83avg 83
H03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
93-66
93
66
+27
89avg 83
H10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
103-93
103
93
+10
98avg 83
A19/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
97-71
97
71
+26
96avg 83
A25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
80-77
80
77
+3
69avg 83
A02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
84-78
84
78
+6
64avg 83
H08/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
91-84
91
84
+7
86avg 83
H19/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
11-30
21-25
14-27
24-14
23-23
23-22
22-15
28-23
14-18
23-25
21-23
19-19
24-14
17-21
28-24
25-18
21-10
30-23
17-15
27-22
33-26
18-26
25-19
26-18
20-9
23-22
28-22
29-19
16-19
18-26
17-13
23-15
17-28
23-13
21-22
21-18
15-22
29-22
26-22
169.9Avg total
88.2Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)90.684.1174.6+6.571%
Season at home (6)86.785.8172.5+0.867%
Season away (8)93.582.8176.2+10.875%
Last 10 (10)88.281.7169.9+6.580%
Last 5 (5)91.080.6171.6+10.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)77.890.4168.1-12.625%
vs Similar (10)85.082.5167.5+2.560%
vs Weaker (12)93.283.5176.8+9.875%
This opponent (Prometey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrometeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrometey
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
W
103-72
103
72
+31
104avg 83
H25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Joventut Badalona
#8
L
76-79
76
79
-3
65avg 83
A29/11
Eurocup
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
93-71
93
71
+22
89avg 83
H02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Hamburg
#19
W
97-83
97
83
+14
90avg 83
A05/12
Eurocup
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
106-60
106
60
+46
109avg 83
A10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Besiktas
#10
W
89-70
89
70
+19
84avg 83
H13/12
Eurocup
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
107-62
107
62
+45
113avg 83
H16/12
Latvia-Estonian League
London Lions
#5
L
88-89
88
89
-1
77avg 83
A20/12
Eurocup
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
91-71
91
71
+20
89avg 83
A23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Cedevita Olimpija
#20
W
105-100
105
100
+5
97avg 83
H27/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-8
21-24
26-17
21-23
26-15
15-18
20-29
15-17
25-23
23-17
19-11
26-20
26-19
26-16
22-19
23-29
25-15
31-13
27-16
23-16
26-14
19-26
27-10
17-20
30-19
26-12
23-14
28-17
25-28
17-23
22-14
24-24
18-23
28-13
23-17
22-18
24-30
36-25
18-22
27-23
171.2Avg total
95.5Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)92.868.2160.9+24.692%
Season at home (9)93.370.2163.6+23.189%
Season away (4)91.563.5155.0+28.0100%
Last 10 (10)95.575.7171.2+19.880%
Last 5 (5)96.078.4174.4+17.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)88.592.5181.0-4.050%
vs Similar (7)81.983.9165.7-2.029%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)91.072.0163.0+19.090%
This opponent (Ventspils) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +6.6+6.6Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +1.9+1.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +6.6+6.6Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +1.9+1.9
VentspilsPrometey
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#3
L
33-55
33
55
-22
H21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A29/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A19/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
46-27
46
27
+19
A25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H08/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H19/12
Latvia-Estonian League
82.8Avg total
43.8Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.242.285.4+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.143.585.6-1.546%-
Last 30 away (17)44.041.285.2+2.859%-
Last 10 (10)43.839.082.8+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)45.439.284.6+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.247.086.2-7.812%-
vs Similar (10)44.342.787.0+1.660%-
vs Weaker (12)44.838.783.5+6.275%-
This opponent (Prometey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrometeyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Joventut Badalona
#8
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A29/11
Eurocup
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Hamburg
#19
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A05/12
Eurocup
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
56-28
56
28
+28
A10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Besiktas
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H13/12
Eurocup
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H16/12
Latvia-Estonian League
London Lions
#5
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A20/12
Eurocup
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Cedevita Olimpija
#20
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H27/12
Eurocup
88.3Avg total
50.2Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.937.783.6+8.373%-
Last 30 at home (20)47.138.385.4+8.970%-
Last 30 away (10)43.536.479.9+7.180%-
Last 10 (10)50.238.188.3+12.190%-
Last 5 (5)49.842.692.4+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.548.593.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (7)40.743.384.0-2.629%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)47.834.882.6+13.095%-
This opponent (Ventspils) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ventspilstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ventspils: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.520.8
48.9%
50.5%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.2
35.8%
32.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.918.2
76.2%
70.5%18.2
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Prometeytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prometey: 95.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.726.1
57.1%
50.5%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.5
36.0%
32.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.011.3
70.6%
70.5%11.3
They take 74.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ventspils
WWWWWWWLWL
Prometey
WWLWWWWWLW
#4
League position
#2
+8.3
Net rating
+25.7
108.8
Offensive rating
120.3
100.5
Defensive rating
94.6
50.7%
Effective FG%
55.9%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
46.0%
18.5%
Turnover %
12.4%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.21
35.8%
3-point %
36.0%
58.0%
Assist %
63.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 120.3Defence100.5 · 94.6Shooting50.7% · 55.9%3-point %35.8% · 36.0%Ball care18.5% · 12.4%Off. rebounds33.3% · 32.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Ventspils   ■ Prometey
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ventspils wins
2
Prometey wins
DateGameScore
18/03/23Prometey v Ventspils101-94
26/11/22Ventspils v Prometey83-90
Ventspilslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/23HParnu91-84
08/12/23HBK Ogre84-78
02/12/23AParnu80-77
25/11/23ALatvijas Universitate97-71
19/11/23AKeila KK103-93
10/11/23HTallinna Kalev93-66
03/11/23HRapla88-78
29/10/23ARigas Zelli86-89
24/10/23AValmiera Glass Via92-74
21/10/23HVEF Riga68-107
Prometeylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/23HCedevita Olimpija105-100
23/12/23AValmiera Glass Via91-71
20/12/23ALondon Lions88-89
16/12/23HTallinna Kalev107-62
13/12/23HBesiktas89-70
10/12/23ALatvijas Universitate106-60
05/12/23AHamburg97-83
02/12/23HTartu Ulikool93-71
29/11/23AJoventut Badalona76-79
25/11/23HBC Kalev/Cramo103-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ventspils
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game90.686.793.5
Allowed / game84.185.882.8
Point differential+6.5+0.8+10.8
Avg total174.6172.5176.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)-50% (4)
Overtime %21%17%25%
Prometey
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeLWWWW89%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %92%89%100%
Points / game92.893.391.5
Allowed / game68.270.263.5
Point differential+24.6+23.1+28.0
Avg total160.9163.6155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+85%78%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo1615194%87.568.9+18.6
2 Prometey1312192%92.868.2+24.6
3 Ventspils1410471%90.684.1+6.5
4 VEF Riga1712571%85.971.0+14.9
5 Tartu Ulikool1611569%77.871.4+6.4
6 Rigas Zelli1812667%80.371.6+8.7
7 BK Ogre169756%81.178.0+3.1
8 Tal Tech168850%78.178.3-0.2
9 BK Liepaja168850%79.980.7-0.8
10 Keila KK1771041%79.784.4-4.7
11 Parnu1661038%76.177.9-1.8
12 Rapla1761135%74.578.3-3.8
13 Viimsi1751229%69.585.2-15.7
14 Valmiera Glass Via1741324%74.885.8-11.1
15 Latvijas Universitate1831517%68.385.6-17.3
16 Tallinna Kalev1621412%68.287.9-19.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ventspils3218162894
Prometey2131232196
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