PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Ventspils vs Rapla Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-78
19-19 24-14 17-21 28-24
Position#4
Record3-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Position#10
Record3-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game75.4
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Olimpiskais centrs Ventspils (Ventspils)
Other2023
Meetings · Ventspils v Rapla
14 Jan 2025
VET90
RAPL76
03 Nov 2023
VET88
RAPL78
23 Dec 2022
VET82
RAPL74
11 Mar 2022
VET91
RAPL81
08 Apr 2021
VET69
RAPL79
27 Oct 2018
VET100
RAPL61
03 Feb 2015
VET105
RAPL75
01 Dec 2012
VET76
RAPL57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ventspils winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rapla winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VentspilsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVentspils
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#1
L
69-84
69
84
-15
no box
A11/05
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
L
74-89
74
89
-15
no box
H14/05
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
L
61-79
61
79
-18
no box
A16/05
LBL
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
88-83 OT
88
83
+5
78avg 82
A29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
96-102 OT
96
102
-6
82avg 82
H06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
98-100 OT
98
100
-2
90avg 82
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
104-75
104
75
+29
105avg 82
A15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
68-107
68
107
-39
51avg 82
H21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
92-74
92
74
+18
88avg 82
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
86-89
86
89
-3
81avg 82
A29/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-17
20-25
18-18
22-24
18-24
16-20
15-24
25-21
17-18
16-20
13-21
15-20
16-19
17-23
18-18
25-16
23-28
18-22
23-14
23-23
19-22
19-26
22-18
26-20
19-27
31-13
26-21
28-14
22-25
11-30
21-25
14-27
24-14
23-23
23-22
22-15
28-23
14-18
23-25
21-23
171.8Avg total
83.6Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.390.0180.3+0.343%
Season at home (2)82.0104.5186.5-22.50%
Season away (5)93.684.2177.8+9.460%
Last 10 (10)83.688.2171.8-4.630%
Last 5 (5)89.689.0178.6+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.190.4167.6-13.322%
vs Similar (9)85.183.0168.1+2.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)93.782.2175.8+11.567%
This opponent (Rapla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
Parnu
#3
L
65-78
65
78
-13
55avg 64
H28/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#16
L
72-78
72
78
-6
57avg 64
H22/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
61avg 64
A29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
70avg 64
A06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
66-90
66
90
-24
55avg 64
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
71-63
71
63
+8
68avg 64
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
88-67
88
67
+21
92avg 64
A22/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
79-86
79
86
-7
72avg 64
A25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
67-71
67
71
-4
55avg 64
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
65-72
65
72
-7
56avg 64
A02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
14-21
20-16
17-20
9-27
21-14
22-22
20-15
23-13
11-25
18-12
14-16
21-20
19-14
14-19
14-15
8-28
18-22
25-21
15-19
20-16
22-18
23-17
6-12
26-13
16-27
23-12
23-15
32-16
15-28
21-21
11-21
16-16
18-19
13-15
20-21
21-21
22-19
12-16
10-16
148.2Avg total
72.5Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)73.375.4148.8-2.133%
Season at home (3)70.070.7140.7-0.733%
Season away (6)75.077.8152.8-2.833%
Last 10 (10)72.575.7148.2-3.230%
Last 5 (5)74.071.8145.8+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)73.482.4155.9-9.022%
vs Similar (10)74.179.6153.7-5.520%
vs Weaker (11)83.268.8152.0+14.482%
This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -2.0-2.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -2.0-2.0
VentspilsRapla
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#1
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A11/05
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H14/05
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A16/05
LBL
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
33-55
33
55
-22
H21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A29/10
Latvia-Estonian League
81.7Avg total
38.0Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.842.584.3-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (11)42.443.585.9-1.255%-
Last 30 away (19)41.541.983.4-0.437%-
Last 10 (10)38.043.781.7-5.730%-
Last 5 (5)42.044.286.2-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.346.685.9-7.211%-
vs Similar (9)44.842.787.4+2.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.439.380.8+2.150%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parnu
#3
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H28/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#16
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H22/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
26-50
26
50
-24
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A22/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
76.4Avg total
36.6Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.339.777.0-2.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.940.676.5-4.733%-
Last 30 away (15)38.738.777.4-0.160%-
Last 10 (10)36.639.876.4-3.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.680.2+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.841.975.7-8.111%-
vs Similar (10)36.941.778.6-4.840%-
vs Weaker (11)40.536.076.5+4.582%-
This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ventspilstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ventspils: 88.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.9 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.323.4
50.6%
50.5%46.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.3
31.9%
32.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws22.117.1
77.4%
70.5%17.1
They take 72.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.4
49.4%
50.5%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.97.1
27.4%
32.1%21.3
🏀 Free throws14.99.4
63.1%
70.5%9.4
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/10 games with a box score before 03 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ventspils
LWLWLLWLLL
Rapla
LLLWWLLWLL
#4
League position
#10
-0.7
Net rating
-4.9
104.8
Offensive rating
95.0
105.5
Defensive rating
100.0
49.6%
Effective FG%
46.2%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
20.9%
Turnover %
18.7%
36.0%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.22
31.9%
3-point %
27.4%
57.7%
Assist %
65.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 95.0Defence105.5 · 100.0Shooting49.6% · 46.2%3-point %31.9% · 27.4%Ball care20.9% · 18.7%Off. rebounds36.0% · 29.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Ventspils   ■ Rapla
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Ventspils wins
1
Rapla wins
DateGameScore
23/12/22Ventspils v Rapla82-74
22/10/22Rapla v Ventspils78-87
11/03/22Ventspils v Rapla91-81
20/11/21Rapla v Ventspils82-94
08/04/21Ventspils v Rapla69-79
02/03/19Rapla v Ventspils72-93
27/10/18Ventspils v Rapla100-61
10/02/15Rapla v Ventspils55-70
03/02/15Ventspils v Rapla105-75
01/12/12Ventspils v Rapla76-57
Ventspilslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/23ARigas Zelli86-89
24/10/23AValmiera Glass Via92-74
21/10/23HVEF Riga68-107
15/10/23AViimsi104-75
14/10/23ATal Tech98-100 OT
06/10/23HBK Liepaja96-102 OT
29/09/23ATartu Ulikool88-83 OT
16/05/23AVEF Riga61-79
14/05/23HVEF Riga74-89
11/05/23AVEF Riga69-84
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/23ABK Liepaja65-72
28/10/23HBC Kalev/Cramo67-71
25/10/23ATal Tech79-86
22/10/23AViimsi88-67
17/10/23HLatvijas Universitate71-63
14/10/23APrometey66-90
06/10/23AValmiera Glass Via75-77 OT
29/09/23ABK Ogre77-75 OT
22/09/23HTallinna Kalev72-78
28/04/23HParnu65-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ventspils
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL43%
HomeLL0%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %43%0%60%
Points / game90.382.093.6
Allowed / game90.0104.584.2
Point differential+0.3-22.5+9.4
Avg total180.3186.5177.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %43%50%40%
Rapla
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL33%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game73.370.075.0
Allowed / game75.470.777.8
Point differential-2.1-0.7-2.8
Avg total148.8140.7152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %22%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Prometey550100%91.667.4+24.2
2 BC Kalev/Cramo660100%91.367.2+24.2
3 Tal Tech76186%86.477.9+8.6
4 Rigas Zelli65183%77.564.7+12.8
5 Tartu Ulikool75271%76.969.9+7.0
6 Parnu64267%74.768.3+6.3
7 BK Liepaja74357%83.985.9-2.0
8 VEF Riga63350%82.871.7+11.2
9 BK Ogre84450%79.273.6+5.6
10 Ventspils73443%90.390.0+0.3
11 Rapla93633%73.375.4-2.1
12 Keila KK72529%76.482.4-6.0
13 Tallinna Kalev72529%65.479.3-13.9
14 Valmiera Glass Via82625%74.286.1-11.9
15 Latvijas Universitate81712%66.185.1-19.0
16 Viimsi81712%65.688.8-23.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ventspils1924172888
Rapla1914212478
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.