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Parnu vs Ventspils Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 77-80
19-29 19-16 26-18 13-17
Position#8
Record5-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game75.6
vs
Position#4
Record7-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game92.1
Allowed / game85.3
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Parnu Spordihall (Parnu)
Other2023
Meetings · Parnu v Ventspils
07 Nov 2026
PAR89
VET80
17 Dec 2025
PAR73
VET82
01 Feb 2025
PAR100
VET90
02 Dec 2023
PAR77
VET80
03 Dec 2022
PAR81
VET75
09 Feb 2022
PAR94
VET79
28 Mar 2019
PAR80
VET83
10 Feb 2019
PAR72
VET82
22 Nov 2013
PAR51
VET81
25 Jan 2013
PAR58
VET70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ventspils winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#19
L
62-69
62
69
-7
56avg 66
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trepca
#25
L
67-77
67
77
-10
56avg 66
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#3
L
64-80
64
80
-16
59avg 66
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
68-70
68
70
-2
56avg 66
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
77-56
77
56
+21
79avg 66
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
79-63
79
63
+16
81avg 66
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
70-100
70
100
-30
59avg 66
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
89-81 OT
89
81
+8
75avg 66
A11/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
49-80
49
80
-31
35avg 66
H18/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
81-85
81
85
-4
69avg 66
A25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-13
16-13
14-19
13-24
15-11
20-21
19-26
13-19
13-17
16-11
15-33
20-19
16-15
8-19
26-20
18-16
24-15
19-16
21-12
13-13
22-24
18-13
20-15
19-11
27-24
8-26
25-29
10-21
26-16
15-24
19-16
13-17
16-17
8-20
8-20
17-23
29-19
16-20
15-25
21-21
146.7Avg total
70.6Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)73.775.6149.3-1.950%
Season at home (5)69.875.8145.6-6.040%
Season away (5)77.675.4153.0+2.260%
Last 10 (10)70.676.1146.7-5.530%
Last 5 (5)73.681.8155.4-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)67.382.8150.2-15.50%
vs Similar (19)77.777.6155.4+0.153%
vs Weaker (5)76.869.6146.4+7.260%
This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VentspilsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVentspils
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#11
L
96-102 OT
96
102
-6
82avg 86
H06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
98-100 OT
98
100
-2
90avg 86
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
104-75
104
75
+29
105avg 86
A15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
68-107
68
107
-39
51avg 86
H21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
92-74
92
74
+18
88avg 86
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
86-89
86
89
-3
81avg 86
A29/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
88-78
88
78
+10
83avg 86
H03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
93-66
93
66
+27
89avg 86
H10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
103-93
103
93
+10
98avg 86
A19/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
97-71
97
71
+26
96avg 86
A25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
18-22
23-14
23-23
19-22
19-26
22-18
26-20
19-27
31-13
26-21
28-14
22-25
11-30
21-25
14-27
24-14
23-23
23-22
22-15
28-23
14-18
23-25
21-23
19-19
24-14
17-21
28-24
25-18
21-10
30-23
17-15
27-22
33-26
18-26
25-19
26-18
20-9
23-22
28-22
178.0Avg total
92.5Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)92.185.3177.4+6.864%
Season at home (4)86.288.2174.5-2.050%
Season away (7)95.483.6179.0+11.971%
Last 10 (10)92.585.5178.0+7.060%
Last 5 (5)93.479.4172.8+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.190.4167.6-13.322%
vs Similar (9)85.183.0168.1+2.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)95.181.4176.5+13.775%
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +3.0+3.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +3.0+3.0
ParnuVentspils
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#19
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trepca
#25
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#3
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A11/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
24-37
24
37
-13
H18/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
70.5Avg total
35.1Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.436.974.3+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.439.775.1-4.343%-
Last 30 away (16)39.234.473.6+4.869%-
Last 10 (10)35.135.470.5-0.370%-
Last 5 (5)37.040.677.6-3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)33.038.071.0-5.050%-
vs Similar (19)38.837.576.3+1.453%-
vs Weaker (5)37.433.470.8+4.080%-
This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#11
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
33-55
33
55
-22
H21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A29/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A19/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
46-27
46
27
+19
A25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
85.3Avg total
44.6Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.241.985.1+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.842.485.2+0.458%-
Last 30 away (18)43.441.685.1+1.850%-
Last 10 (10)44.640.785.3+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)47.435.482.8+12.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.346.685.9-7.211%-
vs Similar (9)44.842.787.4+2.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.937.982.8+7.075%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.818.8
49.7%
50.5%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.96.8
29.7%
32.1%20.4
🏀 Free throws18.512.0
64.9%
70.5%12.0
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ventspilstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ventspils: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.023.2
52.7%
50.5%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.3
35.8%
32.1%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.917.2
78.5%
70.5%17.2
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parnu
LLWLWWLLLL
Ventspils
WWWWLWLWLL
#8
League position
#4
-6.8
Net rating
+8.1
93.8
Offensive rating
109.6
100.6
Defensive rating
101.5
47.8%
Effective FG%
53.1%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
20.4%
Turnover %
20.4%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
34.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.7%
3-point %
35.8%
62.5%
Assist %
57.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence93.8 · 109.6Defence100.6 · 101.5Shooting47.8% · 53.1%3-point %29.7% · 35.8%Ball care20.4% · 20.4%Off. rebounds24.9% · 34.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Parnu   ■ Ventspils
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Parnu wins
8
Ventspils wins
DateGameScore
08/03/23Ventspils v Parnu91-84
03/12/22Parnu v Ventspils81-75
09/02/22Parnu v Ventspils94-79
11/12/21Ventspils v Parnu81-72
31/03/19Ventspils v Parnu94-80
28/03/19Parnu v Ventspils80-83
10/02/19Parnu v Ventspils72-82
03/10/18Ventspils v Parnu97-62
05/02/14Ventspils v Parnu89-66
22/11/13Parnu v Ventspils51-81
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23ARigas Zelli81-85
18/11/23HPrometey49-80
11/11/23ARapla89-81 OT
04/11/23HBC Kalev/Cramo70-100
28/10/23HViimsi79-63
21/10/23ALatvijas Universitate77-56
14/10/23HValmiera Glass Via68-70
11/10/23AVEF Riga64-80
05/10/23ATrepca67-77
03/10/23HTindastoll62-69
Ventspilslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23ALatvijas Universitate97-71
19/11/23AKeila KK103-93
10/11/23HTallinna Kalev93-66
03/11/23HRapla88-78
29/10/23ARigas Zelli86-89
24/10/23AValmiera Glass Via92-74
21/10/23HVEF Riga68-107
15/10/23AViimsi104-75
14/10/23ATal Tech98-100 OT
06/10/23HBK Liepaja96-102 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%40%60%
Points / game73.769.877.6
Allowed / game75.675.875.4
Point differential-1.9-6.0+2.2
Avg total149.3145.6153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Ventspils
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW64%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %64%50%71%
Points / game92.186.295.4
Allowed / game85.388.283.6
Point differential+6.8-2.0+11.9
Avg total177.4174.5179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%50%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %27%25%29%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo109190%89.969.3+20.6
2 Prometey98189%89.969.1+20.8
3 Rigas Zelli129375%79.969.0+10.9
4 Tal Tech118373%81.076.4+4.6
5 VEF Riga139469%84.670.4+14.2
6 Tartu Ulikool117464%78.170.4+7.7
7 Ventspils117464%92.185.3+6.8
8 BK Ogre127558%79.976.2+3.7
9 BK Liepaja126650%81.881.8+0.0
10 Parnu105550%73.775.6-1.9
11 Keila KK125742%79.482.2-2.8
12 Rapla134931%74.878.2-3.5
13 Viimsi1331023%66.287.0-20.8
14 Latvijas Universitate1431121%69.185.3-16.2
15 Tallinna Kalev1221017%67.683.4-15.8
16 Valmiera Glass Via1321115%74.888.6-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Parnu1919261377
Ventspils2916181780
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