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Ventspils vs Rapla Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 90-76
24-14 24-25 21-14 21-23
Position#8
Record7-10
FormWLLWL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game87.9
vs
Position#9
Record7-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game82.2
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Olimpiskais centrs Ventspils
Other2024
Meetings · Ventspils v Rapla
14 Jan 2025
VET90
RAPL76
03 Nov 2023
VET88
RAPL78
23 Dec 2022
VET82
RAPL74
11 Mar 2022
VET91
RAPL81
08 Apr 2021
VET69
RAPL79
27 Oct 2018
VET100
RAPL61
03 Feb 2015
VET105
RAPL75
01 Dec 2012
VET76
RAPL57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ventspils winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rapla winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VentspilsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVentspils
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#1
L
63-71
63
71
-8
58avg 80
A17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
L
75-82
75
82
-7
62avg 80
A27/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
W
101-81
101
81
+20
96avg 80
H06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
95-92 OT
95
92
+3
85avg 80
H10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
81-95
81
95
-14
70avg 80
H13/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Saldus
#14
W
98-50
98
50
+48
no box
A22/12
Latvian Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
81-89
81
89
-8
80avg 80
A30/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
77-91
77
91
-14
63avg 80
A04/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
90-70
90
70
+20
91avg 80
H07/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
74-89
74
89
-15
64avg 80
H11/01
Latvian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
14-12
15-17
9-24
21-18
20-26
16-23
18-15
27-20
24-30
35-21
15-10
28-13
17-24
27-26
13-22
15-24
24-27
20-25
22-19
25-16
22-4
22-16
29-14
25-19
25-28
18-19
13-23
23-18
15-29
21-22
18-22
27-24
31-17
23-18
9-11
18-21
26-20
15-26
15-22
164.5Avg total
83.5Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)88.087.9175.9+0.141%
Season at home (8)93.986.0179.9+7.962%
Season away (9)82.889.7172.4-6.922%
Last 10 (10)83.581.0164.5+2.540%
Last 5 (5)84.077.8161.8+6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.481.9157.3-6.429%
vs Similar ◀ (12)86.492.2178.7-5.817%
vs Weaker (10)91.882.0173.8+9.880%
This opponent (Rapla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#8
W
110-104 OT
110
104
+6
100avg 66
H05/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
84-90 OT
84
90
-6
76avg 66
A13/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
75-87
75
87
-12
63avg 66
H16/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
93-91
93
91
+2
83avg 66
H30/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
80-78
80
78
+2
70avg 66
A03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
58-73
58
73
-15
54avg 66
A07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
L
77-80
77
80
-3
69avg 66
A11/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
91-86
91
86
+5
85avg 66
H15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
57-71
57
71
-14
45avg 66
A18/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
77-82
77
82
-5
68avg 66
A28/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
24-23
19-20
20-20
14-17
24-16
14-22
21-18
18-27
19-22
22-15
16-23
15-17
27-27
25-27
26-20
17-22
17-19
24-24
22-13
11-23
17-12
20-22
10-16
27-18
20-22
6-16
24-24
33-21
20-17
19-20
19-28
22-25
13-23
12-6
10-17
23-21
27-22
13-27
14-12
164.4Avg total
80.2Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.782.2160.9-3.544%
Season at home (7)87.785.3173.0+2.471%
Season away (9)71.779.8151.4-8.122%
Last 10 (10)80.284.2164.4-4.040%
Last 5 (5)72.078.4150.4-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)70.382.5152.8-12.133%
vs Similar ◀ (4)86.089.0175.0-3.050%
vs Weaker (5)84.274.2158.4+10.080%
This opponent (Ventspils) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -0.9-0.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -0.9-0.9
VentspilsRapla
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#1
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A27/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H13/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Saldus
#14
W
47-20
47
20
+27
A22/12
Latvian Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A30/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A04/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
58-41
58
41
+17
H07/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H11/01
Latvian Cup
86.0Avg total
45.2Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.441.185.5+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.842.490.2+5.471%-
Last 30 away (16)41.440.081.4+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)45.240.886.0+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)47.439.286.6+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)43.138.681.7+4.671%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.545.588.0-3.042%-
vs Weaker (10)47.339.887.1+7.570%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#8
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H05/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A13/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H16/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H30/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A11/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A18/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A28/12
Latvia-Estonian League
82.6Avg total
41.0Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.741.078.8-3.340%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.141.881.8-1.746%-
Last 30 away (17)35.940.576.4-4.535%-
Last 10 (10)41.041.682.6-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)42.640.883.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)35.841.076.9-5.229%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)40.242.582.8-2.250%-
vs Weaker (5)43.839.883.6+4.080%-
This opponent (Ventspils) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ventspilstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ventspils: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.3
54.7%
51.9%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.6
32.8%
32.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws25.219.0
75.4%
70.6%19.0
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.620.9
49.1%
51.9%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.7
30.8%
32.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws20.714.1
68.1%
70.6%14.1
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ventspils
LWLLWLWWLL
Rapla
LLWLLWWLLW
#8
League position
#9
-1.0
Net rating
-5.7
107.7
Offensive rating
101.7
108.7
Defensive rating
107.4
52.4%
Effective FG%
48.0%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
18.6%
Turnover %
15.2%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.8%
3-point %
30.8%
60.9%
Assist %
65.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.7 · 101.7Defence108.7 · 107.4Shooting52.4% · 48.0%3-point %32.8% · 30.8%Ball care18.6% · 15.2%Off. rebounds26.5% · 27.0%Free throws0.41 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Ventspils   ■ Rapla
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Ventspils wins
2
Rapla wins
DateGameScore
05/11/24Rapla v Ventspils110-104 OT
05/03/24Rapla v Ventspils72-76
03/11/23Ventspils v Rapla88-78
23/12/22Ventspils v Rapla82-74
22/10/22Rapla v Ventspils78-87
11/03/22Ventspils v Rapla91-81
20/11/21Rapla v Ventspils82-94
08/04/21Ventspils v Rapla69-79
02/03/19Rapla v Ventspils72-93
27/10/18Ventspils v Rapla100-61
Ventspilslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25HValmiera Glass Via74-89
07/01/25HLatvijas Universitate90-70
04/01/25AValmiera Glass Via77-91
30/12/24ABC Kalev/Cramo81-89
22/12/24ASaldus98-50
13/12/24HBK Ogre81-95
10/12/24HParnu95-92 OT
06/12/24HBK Liepaja101-81
27/11/24AKeila Coolbet75-82
17/11/24AVEF Riga63-71
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/24ABC Kalev/Cramo77-82
18/12/24ABK Ogre57-71
15/12/24HValmiera Glass Via91-86
11/12/24AKeila Coolbet77-80
07/12/24ARigas Zelli58-73
03/12/24AParnu80-78
30/11/24HTal Tech93-91
16/11/24HBC Kalev/Cramo75-87
13/11/24ATartu Ulikool84-90 OT
05/11/24HVentspils110-104 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ventspils
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW41%
HomeLWWLW62%
AwayWLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %41%62%22%
Points / game88.093.982.8
Allowed / game87.986.089.7
Point differential+0.1+7.9-6.9
Avg total175.9179.9172.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %12%12%11%
Rapla
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL44%
HomeLWLWW71%
AwayWLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %44%71%22%
Points / game78.787.771.7
Allowed / game82.285.379.8
Point differential-3.5+2.4-8.1
Avg total160.9173.0151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %12%14%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga1715288%81.867.3+14.5
2 BC Kalev/Cramo1613381%87.272.0+15.2
3 Rigas Zelli1915479%83.369.5+13.8
4 Valmiera Glass Via1812667%82.275.5+6.7
5 Tartu Ulikool1711665%81.880.2+1.6
6 BK Ogre1811761%80.378.1+2.2
7 BK Liepaja179853%79.879.1+0.6
8 Tal Tech1991047%78.682.9-4.3
9 Rapla167944%78.782.2-3.5
10 Ventspils1771041%88.087.9+0.1
11 Parnu1771041%80.280.3-0.1
12 Keila Coolbet1771041%79.982.4-2.5
13 Viimsi1841422%72.383.6-11.3
14 Latvijas Universitate1821611%70.683.6-13.0
15 Keila KK161156%71.992.7-20.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ventspils2424212190
Rapla1425142376
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