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Ventspils vs Tallinna Kalev Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 93-66
25-18 21-10 30-23 17-15
Position#4
Record4-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game88.5
vs
Position#16
Record2-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game65.1
Allowed / game80.2
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Olimpiskais centrs Ventspils (Ventspils)
Other2023
Meetings · Ventspils v Tallinna Kalev
10 Nov 2023
VET93
TALL66
28 Oct 2022
VET90
TALL76
18 Mar 2022
VET93
TALL54
15 Dec 2018
VET80
TALL68
15 Oct 2010
VET86
TALL62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ventspils winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tallinna Kalev winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VentspilsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVentspils
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#1
L
74-89
74
89
-15
no box
H14/05
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
L
61-79
61
79
-18
no box
A16/05
LBL
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
88-83 OT
88
83
+5
78avg 82
A29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
96-102 OT
96
102
-6
82avg 82
H06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
98-100 OT
98
100
-2
90avg 82
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
104-75
104
75
+29
105avg 82
A15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
68-107
68
107
-39
51avg 82
H21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
92-74
92
74
+18
88avg 82
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
86-89
86
89
-3
81avg 82
A29/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
88-78
88
78
+10
83avg 82
H03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
16-20
15-24
25-21
17-18
16-20
13-21
15-20
16-19
17-23
18-18
25-16
23-28
18-22
23-14
23-23
19-22
19-26
22-18
26-20
19-27
31-13
26-21
28-14
22-25
11-30
21-25
14-27
24-14
23-23
23-22
22-15
28-23
14-18
23-25
21-23
19-19
24-14
17-21
28-24
173.1Avg total
85.5Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)90.088.5178.5+1.550%
Season at home (3)84.095.7179.7-11.733%
Season away (5)93.684.2177.8+9.460%
Last 10 (10)85.587.6173.1-2.140%
Last 5 (5)87.684.6172.2+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.190.4167.6-13.322%
vs Similar (9)85.183.0168.1+2.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)92.883.8176.6+9.167%
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tallinna KalevLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKalev
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
64-92
64
92
-28
54avg 54
H19/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
38-84
38
84
-46
27avg 54
A22/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#10
W
78-72
78
72
+6
80avg 54
A22/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
87-79
87
79
+8
75avg 54
H30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
L
56-69
56
69
-13
50avg 54
H08/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
51-98
51
98
-47
33avg 54
A13/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
50-78
50
78
-28
41avg 54
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
73-82
73
82
-9
63avg 54
H29/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
63-77
63
77
-14
57avg 54
H01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
63-87
63
87
-24
50avg 54
A09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
18-22
10-22
20-24
9-21
11-21
7-21
11-21
27-9
14-21
22-22
15-20
25-21
14-19
25-23
23-16
18-18
14-17
16-11
8-23
16-24
13-28
14-23
8-23
12-16
6-15
12-24
20-23
21-22
25-19
10-17
17-24
12-21
19-17
19-20
13-19
16-29
15-20
20-18
12-20
144.1Avg total
62.3Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)65.180.2145.4-15.125%
Season at home (4)69.876.8146.5-7.025%
Season away (4)60.583.8144.2-23.225%
Last 10 (10)62.381.8144.1-19.520%
Last 5 (5)60.084.4144.4-24.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)66.583.1149.6-16.614%
vs Similar (6)79.882.7162.5-2.817%
vs Weaker (3)91.376.3167.7+15.067%
This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -6.6-6.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -6.6-6.6
VentspilsTallinna Kalev
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H14/05
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A16/05
LBL
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
33-55
33
55
-22
H21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A29/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
82.2Avg total
39.4Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.942.684.4-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (11)42.543.786.3-1.255%-
Last 30 away (19)41.541.983.4-0.437%-
Last 10 (10)39.442.882.2-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)43.041.284.2+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.346.685.9-7.211%-
vs Similar (9)44.842.787.4+2.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.639.581.1+2.150%-
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tallinna KalevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H19/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
20-42
20
42
-22
A22/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#10
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A22/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H08/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A13/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
18-31
18
31
-13
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H29/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
72.5Avg total
32.1Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.439.975.3-4.527%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.939.176.1-2.227%-
Last 30 away (15)33.840.774.5-6.927%-
Last 10 (10)32.140.472.5-8.320%-
Last 5 (5)31.042.273.2-11.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)32.540.573.0-8.019%-
vs Similar (6)42.039.081.0+3.033%-
vs Weaker (3)42.037.779.7+4.367%-
This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ventspilstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ventspils: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.423.5
51.8%
50.5%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.1
32.2%
32.1%24.4
🏀 Free throws22.517.4
77.2%
70.5%17.4
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tallinna Kalevtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tallinna Kalev: 61.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.714.7
42.4%
50.5%29.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.96.5
26.1%
32.1%19.5
🏀 Free throws18.112.5
69.1%
70.5%12.5
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ventspils
WLWLWLLWLL
Tallinna Kalev
LLLLLLWWLL
#4
League position
#16
+1.2
Net rating
-27.3
105.0
Offensive rating
83.9
103.8
Defensive rating
111.2
50.5%
Effective FG%
41.0%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
21.1%
Turnover %
23.0%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.2%
3-point %
26.1%
56.9%
Assist %
61.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 83.9Defence103.8 · 111.2Shooting50.5% · 41.0%3-point %32.2% · 26.1%Ball care21.1% · 23.0%Off. rebounds34.6% · 28.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Ventspils   ■ Tallinna Kalev
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Ventspils wins
0
Tallinna Kalev wins
Ventspilslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/23HRapla88-78
29/10/23ARigas Zelli86-89
24/10/23AValmiera Glass Via92-74
21/10/23HVEF Riga68-107
15/10/23AViimsi104-75
14/10/23ATal Tech98-100 OT
06/10/23HBK Liepaja96-102 OT
29/09/23ATartu Ulikool88-83 OT
16/05/23AVEF Riga61-79
14/05/23HVEF Riga74-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/23ABK Liepaja63-87
01/11/23HTartu Ulikool63-77
29/10/23HTal Tech73-82
21/10/23ARigas Zelli50-78
13/10/23ABC Kalev/Cramo51-98
08/10/23HViimsi56-69
30/09/23HValmiera Glass Via87-79
22/09/23ARapla78-72
22/04/23ABC Kalev/Cramo38-84
19/04/23HBC Kalev/Cramo64-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ventspils
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%33%60%
Points / game90.084.093.6
Allowed / game88.595.784.2
Point differential+1.5-11.7+9.4
Avg total178.5179.7177.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%33%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %38%33%40%
Tallinna Kalev
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game65.169.860.5
Allowed / game80.276.883.8
Point differential-15.1-7.0-23.2
Avg total145.4146.5144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo880100%94.265.5+28.8
2 Rigas Zelli76186%78.062.7+15.3
3 Prometey65183%89.070.3+18.7
4 Tartu Ulikool86275%78.970.0+8.9
5 Tal Tech96367%81.078.6+2.4
6 BK Liepaja85362%84.283.0+1.2
7 VEF Riga74357%84.768.0+16.7
8 Parnu74357%74.072.9+1.1
9 Ventspils84450%90.088.5+1.5
10 BK Ogre105550%77.077.1-0.1
11 Keila KK83538%78.881.1-2.4
12 Rapla103730%73.876.7-2.9
13 Tallinna Kalev82625%65.180.2-15.1
14 Valmiera Glass Via92722%73.986.9-13.0
15 Latvijas Universitate102820%68.284.9-16.7
16 Viimsi91811%63.489.6-26.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ventspils2521301793
Tallinna Kalev1810231566
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