PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Ventspils vs Usak Sportif Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 97-86
21-21 27-24 31-21 18-20
Position#23
Record4-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game72.1
vs
Position#33
Record5-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game75.1
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 10
European cup2016
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ventspils winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Usak Sportif winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VentspilsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#38
W
91-66
91
66
+25
H09/11
Champions League
BK Liepaja
#6
W
82-66
82
66
+16
H12/11
LBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
L
68-83
68
83
-15
A15/11
Champions League
Latvijas Universitate
#10
W
100-64
100
64
+36
A19/11
LBL
Neptunas
#6
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H22/11
Champions League
PAOK
#22
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
A30/11
Champions League
Valmiera/ORDO
#3
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H03/12
LBL
Oldenburg
#12
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A07/12
Champions League
Latvijas Universitate
#10
W
91-72
91
72
+19
H10/12
LBL
HydroTruck Radom
#44
W
79-63
79
63
+16
A14/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
28-19
13-16
23-12
20-16
21-18
23-18
18-14
19-25
17-8
13-23
19-27
24-20
32-16
20-13
24-15
17-14
16-14
14-20
19-13
24-16
12-23
14-10
21-22
22-12
14-20
19-14
26-29
13-26
21-25
19-16
20-20
28-11
25-18
16-20
22-23
12-16
17-21
30-11
20-15
153.4Avg total
81.2Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.272.1147.3+3.144%
Season at home (4)76.864.2141.0+12.575%
Season away (5)74.078.4152.4-4.420%
Last 10 (10)81.272.2153.4+9.070%
Last 5 (5)81.076.4157.4+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.877.0147.8-6.225%
vs Similar ◀ (2)75.079.5154.5-4.50%
vs Weaker (24)88.072.8160.8+15.283%
This opponent (Usak Sportif) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Usak SportifLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#12
L
60-65
60
65
-5
H16/11
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#8
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A19/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Varese
#38
W
87-64
87
64
+23
H22/11
Champions League
Darussafaka
#3
L
65-90
65
90
-25
H28/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
L
69-83
69
83
-14
A30/11
Champions League
Galatasaray
#6
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Neptunas
#6
L
88-103
88
103
-15
A06/12
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H11/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
PAOK
#22
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H14/12
Champions League
Best Balikesir
#15
W
78-75 OT
78
75
+3
A18/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
4-16
9-20
27-16
22-18
16-21
15-21
22-25
14-17
26-9
22-18
25-20
14-25
19-16
12-25
20-24
13-20
18-17
17-24
21-22
16-21
20-27
20-19
17-16
26-22
18-38
19-18
25-25
19-15
20-22
16-23
21-11
21-18
18-18
23-21
16-20
16-16
16-21
13-11
19-16
154.5Avg total
74.9Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.375.1150.4+0.245%
Season at home (6)76.272.0148.2+4.267%
Season away (5)74.278.8153.0-4.620%
Last 10 (10)74.979.6154.5-4.740%
Last 5 (5)78.681.8160.4-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)72.980.9153.8-7.921%
vs Similar ◀ (8)74.675.5150.1-0.950%
vs Weaker (6)86.072.3158.3+13.767%
This opponent (Ventspils) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +1.8+1.8
VentspilsUsak Sportif
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#38
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H09/11
Champions League
BK Liepaja
#6
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H12/11
LBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A15/11
Champions League
Latvijas Universitate
#10
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A19/11
LBL
Neptunas
#6
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H22/11
Champions League
PAOK
#22
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A30/11
Champions League
Valmiera/ORDO
#3
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H03/12
LBL
Oldenburg
#12
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A07/12
Champions League
Latvijas Universitate
#10
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H10/12
LBL
HydroTruck Radom
#44
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A14/12
Champions League
76.6Avg total
40.9Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.037.679.6+4.467%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.735.276.9+6.481%-
Last 30 away (14)42.440.382.6+2.150%-
Last 10 (10)40.935.776.6+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)37.637.675.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.835.868.5-3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)40.043.583.5-3.50%-
vs Weaker (24)43.737.481.1+6.375%-
This opponent (Usak Sportif) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Usak SportifLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#12
L
24-29
24
29
-5
H16/11
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#8
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A19/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Varese
#38
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H22/11
Champions League
Darussafaka
#3
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H28/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A30/11
Champions League
Galatasaray
#6
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Neptunas
#6
L
44-60
44
60
-16
A06/12
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H11/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
PAOK
#22
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H14/12
Champions League
Best Balikesir
#15
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A18/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
74.6Avg total
35.6Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)36.039.075.0-2.939%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.737.575.2+0.257%-
Last 30 away (14)34.440.474.8-6.121%-
Last 10 (10)35.639.074.6-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.043.681.6-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.241.176.4-5.921%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)35.038.673.6-3.650%-
vs Weaker (6)39.334.373.7+5.067%-
This opponent (Ventspils) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ventspils wins
1
Usak Sportif wins
DateGameScore
02/11/16Usak Sportif v Ventspils74-69
Ventspilslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/16AHydroTruck Radom79-63
10/12/16HLatvijas Universitate91-72
07/12/16AOldenburg73-87
03/12/16HValmiera/ORDO81-75
30/11/16APAOK81-85 OT
22/11/16HNeptunas66-61
19/11/16ALatvijas Universitate100-64
15/11/16ALyon-Villeurbanne68-83
12/11/16HBK Liepaja82-66
09/11/16HVarese91-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/16ABest Balikesir78-75 OT
14/12/16HPAOK78-77
11/12/16HBuyukcekmece76-71
06/12/16ANeptunas88-103
04/12/16AGalatasaray73-83
30/11/16ALyon-Villeurbanne69-83
28/11/16HDarussafaka65-90
22/11/16HVarese87-64
19/11/16AKarsiyaka75-85
16/11/16HOldenburg60-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ventspils
Champions League 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW44%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%75%20%
Points / game75.276.874.0
Allowed / game72.164.278.4
Point differential+3.1+12.5-4.4
Avg total147.3141.0152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Usak Sportif
Champions League 2016
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW45%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%67%20%
Points / game75.376.274.2
Allowed / game75.172.078.8
Point differential+0.2+4.2-4.6
Avg total150.4148.2153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)60% (5)-
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco98189%71.762.3+9.3
2 Neptunas108280%75.467.0+8.4
3 Banvit108280%80.672.7+7.9
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne108280%77.670.7+6.9
5 Tenerife97278%83.767.9+15.8
6 Besiktas97278%80.974.4+6.4
7 Juventus118373%78.777.3+1.5
8 Aris107370%77.767.4+10.3
9 Nymburk107370%81.572.7+8.8
10 Ludwigsburg107370%83.074.4+8.6
11 Le Mans107370%73.965.9+8.0
12 Venezia107370%73.870.3+3.5
13 AEK Athens96367%82.169.9+12.2
14 Strasbourg96367%77.269.4+7.8
15 Karsiyaka96367%75.368.0+7.3
16 Avellino96367%76.771.2+5.4
17 Partizan106460%74.674.8-0.2
18 Kataja127558%79.576.4+3.1
19 CSM Oradea148657%68.469.6-1.2
20 Oldenburg95456%72.070.4+1.6
21 Cluj Napoca42250%75.271.0+4.2
22 Minsk42250%69.865.8+4.0
23 Benfica21150%72.072.5-0.5
24 Academic21150%66.571.0-4.5
25 Igokea21150%65.576.0-10.5
26 Sodertalje21150%62.078.0-16.0
27 Usak Sportif115645%75.375.1+0.2
28 Ventspils94544%75.272.1+3.1
29 PAOK94544%72.471.3+1.1
30 Oostende94544%71.270.9+0.3
31 Ironi Nahariya125742%71.174.3-3.2
32 Saratov104640%85.785.0+0.7
33 Sassari104640%77.277.0+0.2
34 Zielona Gora104640%73.275.7-2.5
35 Spirou Charleroi104640%73.379.0-5.7
36 Maccabi Rishon93633%70.073.3-3.3
37 Cibona93633%80.686.6-6.0
38 Frankfurt93633%65.271.6-6.3
39 HydroTruck Radom93633%68.875.7-6.9
40 Mornar Bar113827%70.581.3-10.7
41 Varese113827%69.480.5-11.1
42 Bakken Bears113827%69.984.2-14.3
43 Tartu Ulikool41325%69.572.8-3.2
44 Mega Bemax92722%71.779.1-7.4
45 Helios Domzale91811%58.366.3-8.0
46 Khimik101910%64.576.9-12.4
47 Szolnoki Olaj101910%68.986.1-17.2
48 Donar Groningen2020%66.570.5-4.0
49 BC Prievidza2020%65.572.0-6.5
50 FC Porto2020%70.080.0-10.0
51 Rilski Sportist2020%61.073.0-12.0
52 AEK Larnaca2020%53.072.5-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ventspils2127311897
Usak Sportif2124212086
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.