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Vermont vs Liberty Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 24 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 73-79
32-40 41-39
Position#85
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game76.4
vs
Liberty 🏆
USA
Position#26
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game61.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vermont winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liberty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VermontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NJIT
#353
W
71-61
71
61
+10
A28/02
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#280
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A01/03
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#197
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H05/03
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#342
W
64-57
64
57
+7
H08/03
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#135
L
42-57
42
57
-15
H11/03
NCAA
Western New England
#385
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H04/11
NCAA
Plattsburgh
#633
W
113-62
113
62
+51
H06/11
NCAA
Brown
#319
W
89-84 OT
89
84
+5
A09/11
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
W
85-74
85
74
+11
A15/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
90-94
90
94
-4
A18/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-30
42-31
41-39
38-30
30-29
49-42
26-34
38-23
19-27
23-30
37-27
38-41
44-31
69-31
24-32
41-33
30-33
55-41
43-40
47-54
148.4Avg total
78.7Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)90.476.4166.8+14.080%
Season at home (2)94.065.0159.0+29.0100%
Season away (3)88.084.0172.0+4.067%
Last 10 (10)78.769.7148.4+9.080%
Last 5 (5)90.476.4166.8+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)59.265.0124.2-5.850%
vs Similar ◀ (14)66.367.1133.4-0.957%
vs Weaker (9)73.364.2137.6+9.189%
This opponent (Liberty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A07/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
90-61
90
61
+29
A08/03
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
81-60
81
60
+21
H12/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H14/03
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H16/03
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
52-81
52
81
-29
A22/03
NCAA
Kentucky Christian
#583
W
98-57
98
57
+41
H04/11
NCAA
Charleston
#80
W
90-75
90
75
+15
H07/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
88-68
88
68
+20
H09/11
NCAA
Carolina University
#612
W
98-46
98
46
+52
H18/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-37
44-44
49-22
41-39
36-26
45-34
31-40
50-39
37-33
42-34
20-44
32-37
45-27
53-30
39-34
51-41
48-30
40-38
49-19
49-27
151.8Avg total
84.3Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)93.561.5155.0+32.0100%
Season at home (4)93.561.5155.0+32.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.367.5151.8+16.890%
Last 5 (5)85.265.4150.6+19.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (1)88.068.0156.0+20.0100%
vs Weaker (29)77.964.6142.4+13.379%
This opponent (Vermont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: +8.4+8.42nd half2nd half: +8.4+8.42nd half: +8.4+8.4
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: +8.4+8.42nd half2nd half: +8.4+8.42nd half: +8.4+8.4
VermontLiberty
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VermontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NJIT
#353
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A28/02
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#280
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A01/03
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#197
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H05/03
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#342
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H08/03
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#135
L
19-27
19
27
-8
H11/03
NCAA
Western New England
#385
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H04/11
NCAA
Plattsburgh
#633
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H06/11
NCAA
Brown
#319
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A09/11
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A15/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A18/11
NCAA
64.5Avg total
32.3Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.830.663.5+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.328.964.2+6.469%-
Last 30 away (14)30.032.662.6-2.643%-
Last 10 (10)32.332.264.5+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)35.632.668.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.030.061.0+1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)31.231.963.1-0.657%-
vs Weaker (9)31.629.961.4+1.744%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A07/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
49-22
49
22
+27
A08/03
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H12/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H14/03
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H16/03
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
20-44
20
44
-24
A22/03
NCAA
Kentucky Christian
#583
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H04/11
NCAA
Charleston
#80
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H07/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H09/11
NCAA
Carolina University
#612
W
49-19
49
19
+30
H18/11
NCAA
70.8Avg total
39.6Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.928.466.3+9.583%-
Last 30 at home (20)39.026.965.9+12.190%-
Last 30 away (10)35.531.466.9+4.170%-
Last 10 (10)39.631.270.8+8.480%-
Last 5 (5)40.230.871.0+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (1)48.030.078.0+18.0100%-
vs Weaker (29)37.528.365.9+9.283%-
This opponent (Vermont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Vermont wins
1
Liberty wins
DateGameScore
19/11/23Liberty v Vermont71-61
Vermontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/25ABuffalo90-94
15/11/25ANortheastern85-74
09/11/25ABrown89-84 OT
06/11/25HPlattsburgh113-62
04/11/25HWestern New England75-68
11/03/25HMaine Black Bears42-57
08/03/25HNew Hampshire Wildcats64-57
05/03/25HAlbany Great Danes79-71
01/03/25AUMBC Retrievers79-69
28/02/25ANJIT71-61
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/25HCarolina University98-46
09/11/25HFlorida Atlantic88-68
07/11/25HCharleston90-75
04/11/25HKentucky Christian98-57
22/03/25AOregon52-81
16/03/25HJacksonville State79-67
14/03/25HKennesaw State81-79
12/03/25HUTEP81-60
08/03/25AWestern Kentucky90-61
07/03/25AMiddle Tenn. St.86-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vermont
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game90.494.088.0
Allowed / game76.465.084.0
Point differential+14.0+29.0+4.0
Avg total166.8159.0172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Liberty
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game93.593.5-
Allowed / game61.561.5-
Point differential+32.0+32.0-
Avg total155.0155.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vermont54180%90.476.4+14.0
2 UMBC Retrievers53260%69.873.6-3.8
3 NJIT63350%66.273.5-7.3
4 Binghamton82625%63.972.1-8.2
5 Bryant University61517%58.874.8-16.0
6 UMass Lowell71614%73.084.0-11.0
7 Maine Black Bears6060%58.268.3-10.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty440100%93.561.5+32.0
2 Western Kentucky440100%90.274.5+15.8
3 New Mexico State440100%78.567.5+11.0
4 Middle Tenn. St.54180%87.470.4+17.0
5 Jacksonville State43175%92.560.0+32.5
6 Kennesaw State43175%99.267.5+31.8
7 Sam Houston St.53260%86.873.2+13.6
8 Missouri State53260%80.469.4+11.0
9 UTEP53260%79.671.0+8.6
10 Louisiana Tech42250%65.555.8+9.8
11 Florida International42250%88.080.8+7.2
12 Delaware51420%68.076.6-8.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Vermont324173
Liberty403979
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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