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Verona vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 81-77
14-20 22-18 20-17 25-22
Position#16
Record5-9
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game86.9
Verona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#8
Record7-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game83.5
ItalyLega ARound 15
Domestic2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Verona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeronaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVerona
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
54-78
54
78
-24
40avg 68
A30/10
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
86-92 OT
86
92
-6
no box
H06/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
70-65
70
65
+5
68avg 68
A19/11
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
91-98
91
98
-7
85avg 68
H27/11
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
80-102
80
102
-22
72avg 68
H03/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
79-77
79
77
+2
73avg 68
A11/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
90-94
90
94
-4
78avg 68
H18/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
80-74
80
74
+6
79avg 68
A26/12
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
88-81
88
81
+7
76avg 68
H02/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
57-80
57
80
-23
52avg 68
A08/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
6-23
21-18
16-19
11-18
30-24
20-15
12-23
15-15
25-20
12-11
13-13
20-21
30-34
19-25
21-19
21-20
14-25
30-13
17-30
19-34
22-26
21-13
17-18
19-20
23-25
25-22
21-22
21-25
21-20
18-16
13-21
28-17
23-25
24-17
27-24
14-15
11-19
17-18
19-22
10-21
161.6Avg total
77.5Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.686.9165.5-8.236%
Season at home (7)85.092.7177.7-7.729%
Season away (7)72.381.0153.3-8.743%
Last 10 (10)77.584.1161.6-6.640%
Last 5 (5)78.881.2160.0-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)76.489.0165.4-12.620%
vs Similar (15)76.771.5148.2+5.367%
vs Weaker (5)66.263.2129.4+3.060%
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#9
L
70-79
70
79
-9
66avg 79
A07/12
Eurocup
Venezia
#6
L
79-82
79
82
-3
no box
A10/12
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
W
83-80
83
80
+3
no box
A14/12
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
77-89
77
89
-12
72avg 79
H18/12
Lega A
Bursaspor
#15
W
110-74
110
74
+36
113avg 79
H20/12
Eurocup
Tennessee State
#151
L
83-98
83
98
-15
no box
A20/12
NCAA
Reggiana
#14
W
84-77
84
77
+7
73avg 79
H26/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
94-92 OT
94
92
+2
no box
A02/01
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
73-78
73
78
-5
67avg 79
H07/01
Lega A
Joventut Badalona
#4
W
85-75
85
75
+10
82avg 79
H10/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
22-17
20-14
14-22
25-20
22-24
17-14
15-24
29-20
14-24
17-18
23-18
19-25
13-24
26-18
19-22
25-22
26-21
31-16
28-15
0-0
50-55
0-0
33-43
21-18
24-15
20-19
19-25
21-17
23-23
13-29
27-15
20-25
12-25
17-13
24-15
25-17
19-20
16-18
25-20
166.2Avg total
83.8Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)85.283.5168.7+1.750%
Season at home (8)84.980.8165.6+4.162%
Season away (6)85.787.2172.8-1.533%
Last 10 (10)83.882.4166.2+1.450%
Last 5 (5)83.884.0167.8-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.489.2163.7-14.822%
vs Similar (15)82.382.2164.5+0.147%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)90.788.3179.0+2.350%
This opponent (Verona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +0.8+0.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +0.8+0.8
VeronaBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeronaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A30/10
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H06/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A19/11
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
49-59
49
59
-10
H27/11
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H03/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A11/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H18/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A26/12
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H02/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A08/01
Lega A
82.1Avg total
41.2Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.238.376.5-0.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.737.678.3+3.167%-
Last 30 away (15)35.739.074.7-3.347%-
Last 10 (10)41.240.982.1+0.370%-
Last 5 (5)41.040.281.2+0.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.742.082.7-1.340%-
vs Similar (15)38.236.875.0+1.473%-
vs Weaker (5)33.035.468.4-2.440%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#9
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A07/12
Eurocup
Venezia
#6
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A10/12
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A14/12
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H18/12
Lega A
Bursaspor
#15
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H20/12
Eurocup
Tennessee State
#151
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A20/12
NCAA
Reggiana
#14
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H26/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A02/01
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H07/01
Lega A
Joventut Badalona
#4
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H10/01
Eurocup
86.2Avg total
42.4Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.643.983.6-4.337%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.241.681.8-1.454%-
Last 30 away (17)39.245.784.9-6.524%-
Last 10 (10)42.443.886.2-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)43.043.086.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.244.679.8-9.322%-
vs Similar (15)40.343.183.4-2.947%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)44.745.089.7-0.333%-
This opponent (Verona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veronatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Verona: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.719.0
54.8%
51.3%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.9
32.2%
36.4%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.014.5
72.5%
76.1%14.5
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.5
50.7%
51.3%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.69.5
38.6%
36.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.816.0
80.8%
76.1%16.0
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Verona
LWWLWLLWLL
Brescia
WLWWLWLWLL
#16
League position
#8
-10.0
Net rating
+5.5
104.9
Offensive rating
115.0
114.9
Defensive rating
109.5
52.1%
Effective FG%
53.6%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
18.8%
Turnover %
17.1%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
33.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.2%
3-point %
38.6%
58.0%
Assist %
64.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 115.0Defence114.9 · 109.5Shooting52.1% · 53.6%3-point %32.2% · 38.6%Ball care18.8% · 17.1%Off. rebounds29.2% · 33.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Verona   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Verona wins
0
Brescia wins
No previous meetings.
Veronalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/23AVenezia57-80
02/01/23HTrieste88-81
26/12/22ABasket Napoli80-74
18/12/22HPesaro90-94
11/12/22ATreviso79-77
03/12/22HTortona80-102
27/11/22HVarese91-98
19/11/22AReggiana70-65
06/11/22HTrento86-92 OT
30/10/22AOlimpia Milano54-78
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/23HJoventut Badalona85-75
07/01/23HTrento73-78
02/01/23ASassari94-92 OT
26/12/22HReggiana84-77
20/12/22ATennessee State83-98
20/12/22HBursaspor110-74
18/12/22HVirtus Bologna77-89
14/12/22ACedevita Olimpija83-80
10/12/22AVenezia79-82
07/12/22ALietkabelis70-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Verona
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL36%
HomeLLLLW29%
AwayLWWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%29%43%
Points / game78.685.072.3
Allowed / game86.992.781.0
Point differential-8.2-7.7-8.7
Avg total165.5177.7153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %14%29%0%
Brescia
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWWLWL62%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %50%62%33%
Points / game85.284.985.7
Allowed / game83.580.887.2
Point differential+1.7+4.1-1.5
Avg total168.7165.6172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %21%12%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1512380%83.973.3+10.7
2 Virtus Bologna1512380%84.977.3+7.5
3 Tortona1510567%80.976.1+4.8
4 Pesaro159660%88.183.9+4.2
5 Varese159660%93.791.0+2.7
6 Venezia158753%82.979.1+3.7
7 Trento158753%73.775.3-1.6
8 Brescia147750%85.283.5+1.7
9 Sassari157847%82.880.9+1.9
10 Scafati156940%76.777.5-0.8
11 Brindisi156940%80.184.8-4.7
12 Trieste156940%79.384.5-5.3
13 Verona145936%78.686.9-8.2
14 Treviso1551033%78.185.1-7.0
15 Basket Napoli1551033%76.784.3-7.7
16 Reggiana1541127%75.978.4-2.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Verona1422202581
Brescia2018172277
← all games of the day
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