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Vigevano vs Nardo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 84-68
30-15 14-15 28-19 12-19
Position#18
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game76.8
vs
Position#19
Record1-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game87.2
ItalySerie A2Round 5· Pala Elachem
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vigevano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nardo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VigevanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVigevano
Date
Competition
Cento
#12
L
72-74
72
74
-2
67avg 70
A14/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
76-77
76
77
-1
73avg 70
H21/04
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
71-87
71
87
-16
63avg 70
A05/05
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
69-84
69
84
-15
60avg 70
A07/05
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
76-67
76
67
+9
69avg 70
H10/05
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
69-95
69
95
-26
52avg 70
H12/05
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
73-79
73
79
-6
64avg 70
H29/09
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
80-67
80
67
+13
69avg 70
A02/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
66-76
66
76
-10
59avg 70
H06/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
80-85
80
85
-5
64avg 70
A12/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-11
26-17
14-24
13-22
24-23
11-23
19-15
22-16
11-31
22-19
12-22
26-15
18-22
17-20
16-21
18-21
24-9
20-16
18-21
14-21
23-26
11-30
16-23
19-16
24-12
11-25
19-17
19-25
26-16
22-24
17-13
15-14
22-23
19-13
16-23
9-17
18-24
22-18
18-20
22-23
152.3Avg total
73.2Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.876.8151.5-2.025%
Season at home (2)69.577.5147.0-8.00%
Season away (2)80.076.0156.0+4.050%
Last 10 (10)73.279.1152.3-5.920%
Last 5 (5)73.680.4154.0-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)74.682.4157.0-7.928%
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.076.0153.0+1.042%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nardo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NardoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNardo
Date
Competition
Cento
#12
W
83-78
83
78
+5
no box
H19/05
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
L
68-81
68
81
-13
no box
A26/05
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
92-77
92
77
+15
no box
H29/05
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
85-79 OT
85
79
+6
no box
A02/06
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
71-69
71
69
+2
no box
H05/06
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
74-88
74
88
-14
no box
A09/06
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
78-86
78
86
-8
62avg 64
H29/09
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
67-95
67
95
-28
59avg 64
A02/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
72-97
72
97
-25
62avg 64
H06/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
82-71
82
71
+11
73avg 64
H13/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
24-20
14-11
25-26
8-25
10-26
25-18
25-12
28-20
22-15
19-22
23-20
20-21
24-21
14-18
18-16
21-11
20-28
25-13
5-17
16-31
16-17
23-17
19-23
16-12
11-33
28-30
23-11
17-30
16-21
20-23
14-21
15-14
15-26
27-26
15-31
20-14
21-17
22-25
19-15
159.3Avg total
77.2Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.887.2162.0-12.525%
Season at home (3)77.384.7162.0-7.333%
Season away (1)67.095.0162.0-28.00%
Last 10 (10)77.282.1159.3-4.950%
Last 5 (5)74.687.4162.0-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)70.981.6152.5-10.720%
vs Similar ◀ (20)76.577.0153.4-0.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vigevano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
VigevanoNardo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VigevanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cento
#12
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A14/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H21/04
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A05/05
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A07/05
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H10/05
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
34-56
34
56
-22
H12/05
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H29/09
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A02/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H06/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A12/10
Serie A2
79.2Avg total
39.0Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.840.379.2-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.740.180.7+0.660%-
Last 30 away (15)37.040.677.6-3.633%-
Last 10 (10)39.040.279.2-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)39.642.281.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)37.041.978.9-4.939%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.637.979.5+3.758%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nardo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NardoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cento
#12
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H19/05
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
L
18-51
18
51
-33
A26/05
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H29/05
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A02/06
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H05/06
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A09/06
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H29/09
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A02/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H06/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H13/10
Serie A2
78.3Avg total
36.0Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.840.277.0-3.437%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.339.477.7-1.138%-
Last 30 away (14)35.141.176.3-6.036%-
Last 10 (10)36.042.378.3-6.350%-
Last 5 (5)32.643.075.6-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)32.942.074.9-9.110%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)38.839.378.1-0.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vigevano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vigevanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vigevano: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.215.4
46.4%
50.1%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.1
35.4%
34.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws16.211.1
68.5%
74.4%11.1
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nardotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nardo: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.517.5
57.4%
50.1%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.89.2
44.6%
34.6%27.8
🏀 Free throws15.512.0
77.4%
74.4%12.0
They take 51.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/4 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vigevano
LLWLLWLLLL
Nardo
WLLLLWWWLW
#18
League position
#19
-8.4
Net rating
-17.8
99.9
Offensive rating
115.4
108.3
Defensive rating
133.2
49.5%
Effective FG%
61.2%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
64.9%
18.1%
Turnover %
21.2%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.4%
3-point %
44.6%
58.4%
Assist %
22.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.9 · 115.4Defence108.3 · 133.2Shooting49.5% · 61.2%3-point %35.4% · 44.6%Ball care18.1% · 21.2%Off. rebounds25.2% · 31.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Vigevano   ■ Nardo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Vigevano wins
0
Nardo wins
No previous meetings.
Vigevanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24AAvellino Basket80-85
06/10/24HLibertas Livorno66-76
02/10/24APesaro80-67
29/09/24HJuVi Cremona73-79
12/05/24HForli69-95
10/05/24HForli76-67
07/05/24AForli69-84
05/05/24AForli71-87
21/04/24HCividale76-77
14/04/24ACento72-74
Nardolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/24HLibertas Livorno82-71
06/10/24HJuVi Cremona72-97
02/10/24AUdine67-95
29/09/24HPesaro78-86
09/06/24ACento74-88
05/06/24HChiusi71-69
02/06/24ALatina85-79 OT
29/05/24HLuiss Roma92-77
26/05/24AAgrigento68-81
19/05/24HCento83-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vigevano
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game74.869.580.0
Allowed / game76.877.576.0
Point differential-2.0-8.0+4.0
Avg total151.5147.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nardo
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLLW33%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %25%33%0%
Points / game74.877.367.0
Allowed / game87.284.795.0
Point differential-12.5-7.3-28.0
Avg total162.0162.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini550100%86.076.2+9.8
2 Cantu54180%75.469.4+6.0
3 Urania Milano43175%83.276.5+6.8
4 Sebastiani Rieti43175%75.271.8+3.5
5 Udine53260%82.070.8+11.2
6 JuVi Cremona53260%81.478.6+2.8
7 Fortitudo Bologna53260%78.076.0+2.0
8 Avellino Basket53260%78.476.8+1.6
9 Cividale53260%78.678.6+0.0
10 Orzinuovi53260%81.283.8-2.6
11 Forli42250%74.876.0-1.2
12 Pesaro42250%78.880.2-1.5
13 Basket Torino52340%74.873.8+1.0
14 Verona52340%82.481.8+0.6
15 Libertas Livorno52340%70.874.2-3.4
16 Vigevano41325%74.876.8-2.0
17 Nardo41325%74.887.2-12.5
18 Brindisi51420%68.475.2-6.8
19 Cento51420%72.481.4-9.0
20 Assigeco Piacenza5050%79.286.8-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vigevano3014281284
Nardo1515191968
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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