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Vigevano vs Forli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 May 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 69-95
23-26 11-30 16-23 19-16
Position#20
Record12-23
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Forli 🏆
Italy
Position#2
Record28-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game73.3
ItalySerie A2Serie A2 - Quarter-finals· Pala Elachem
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vigevano v Forli
21 Oct 2026
VIGE79
FORL74
02 Mar 2025
VIGE76
FORL78
12 May 2024
VIGE69
FORL95
10 May 2024
VIGE76
FORL67
07 Apr 2024
VIGE80
FORL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vigevano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VigevanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVigevano
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
72-80
72
80
-8
66avg 71
H03/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
72-82
72
82
-10
61avg 71
A10/03
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
91-70
91
70
+21
92avg 71
H24/03
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
57-103
57
103
-46
39avg 71
A30/03
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
80-85
80
85
-5
72avg 71
H07/04
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
72-74
72
74
-2
67avg 71
A14/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
76-77
76
77
-1
73avg 71
H21/04
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
71-87
71
87
-16
63avg 71
A05/05
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
69-84
69
84
-15
60avg 71
A07/05
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
76-67
76
67
+9
69avg 71
H10/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-7
24-26
20-26
16-21
20-26
17-18
17-27
18-11
23-22
25-17
20-14
23-17
9-27
8-35
17-19
23-22
21-21
23-22
21-24
15-18
19-11
26-17
14-24
13-22
24-23
11-23
19-15
22-16
11-31
22-19
12-22
26-15
18-22
17-20
16-21
18-21
24-9
20-16
18-21
14-21
154.5Avg total
73.6Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)76.981.2158.1-4.334%
Season at home (17)79.280.2159.4-1.047%
Season away (18)74.782.2156.8-7.522%
Last 10 (10)73.680.9154.5-7.320%
Last 5 (5)72.877.8150.6-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)74.882.8157.6-8.024%
vs Similar (13)79.276.1155.3+3.254%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Luiss Roma
#22
W
81-79
81
79
+2
71avg 70
A03/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
69-78
69
78
-9
52avg 70
H10/03
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
77-75
77
75
+2
70avg 70
A23/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
78-61
78
61
+17
74avg 70
H30/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
85-80
85
80
+5
80avg 70
A07/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
67-77
67
77
-10
57avg 70
H12/04
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
89-87
89
87
+2
75avg 70
A21/04
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
87-71
87
71
+16
83avg 70
H05/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
84-69
84
69
+15
80avg 70
H07/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
67-76
67
76
-9
54avg 70
A10/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
23-15
22-27
14-17
20-17
24-18
14-23
11-20
20-13
20-21
21-21
16-20
18-18
25-14
11-14
24-15
21-21
22-23
24-21
18-15
17-19
15-19
18-16
17-23
26-27
15-22
20-21
28-17
31-11
19-22
22-12
15-26
22-18
20-17
21-16
21-18
9-24
16-20
21-18
21-14
153.7Avg total
78.4Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)79.373.3152.6+6.180%
Season at home (18)80.369.8150.1+10.489%
Season away (17)78.376.9155.2+1.471%
Last 10 (10)78.475.3153.7+3.170%
Last 5 (5)78.876.0154.8+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)76.273.6149.8+2.669%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)81.474.5155.8+6.988%
This opponent (Vigevano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.0+0.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.0+0.0
VigevanoForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VigevanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H03/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A10/03
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H24/03
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
17-62
17
62
-45
A30/03
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H07/04
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A14/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H21/04
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A05/05
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A07/05
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H10/05
Serie A2
78.6Avg total
37.4Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.340.780.1-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.940.581.4+0.457%-
Last 30 away (16)37.940.978.9-3.031%-
Last 10 (10)37.441.278.6-3.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.276.6+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.241.979.2-4.735%-
vs Similar (13)42.139.281.2+2.954%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Luiss Roma
#22
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A03/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H10/03
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A23/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H30/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A07/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H12/04
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A21/04
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H05/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H07/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A10/05
Serie A2
78.4Avg total
40.5Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.736.876.4+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.033.773.7+6.387%-
Last 30 away (15)39.339.879.1-0.540%-
Last 10 (10)40.537.978.4+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.877.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)37.536.874.3+0.854%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)41.336.878.1+4.571%-
This opponent (Vigevano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vigevanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vigevano: 72.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.015.9
46.8%
50.3%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.1
36.1%
34.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws15.810.5
66.5%
74.2%10.5
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.4
51.6%
50.3%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.4
29.5%
34.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.713.6
76.8%
74.2%13.6
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vigevano
WLLLLLLWLL
Forli
LWWWLWWWLW
#20
League position
#2
-10.6
Net rating
+4.5
99.6
Offensive rating
106.9
110.2
Defensive rating
102.4
50.1%
Effective FG%
48.4%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
17.5%
Turnover %
14.0%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.1%
3-point %
29.5%
61.9%
Assist %
52.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence99.6 · 106.9Defence110.2 · 102.4Shooting50.1% · 48.4%3-point %36.1% · 29.5%Ball care17.5% · 14.0%Off. rebounds24.3% · 28.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Vigevano   ■ Forli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Vigevano wins
3
Forli wins
DateGameScore
10/05/24Vigevano v Forli76-67
07/05/24Forli v Vigevano84-69
05/05/24Forli v Vigevano87-71
07/04/24Vigevano v Forli80-85
Vigevanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/24HForli76-67
07/05/24AForli69-84
05/05/24AForli71-87
21/04/24HCividale76-77
14/04/24ACento72-74
07/04/24HForli80-85
30/03/24ATrieste57-103
24/03/24HOrzinuovi91-70
10/03/24ARimini72-82
03/03/24HFortitudo Bologna72-80
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/24AVigevano67-76
07/05/24HVigevano84-69
05/05/24HVigevano87-71
21/04/24ALatina89-87
12/04/24HCantu67-77
07/04/24AVigevano85-80
30/03/24HJuVi Cremona78-61
23/03/24AMonferrato77-75
10/03/24HBasket Torino69-78
03/03/24ALuiss Roma81-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vigevano
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW34%
HomeLWLLW47%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %34%47%22%
Points / game76.979.274.7
Allowed / game81.280.282.2
Point differential-4.3-1.0-7.5
Avg total158.1159.4156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%18%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)33% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Forli
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL80%
HomeLWLWW89%
AwayWWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %80%89%71%
Points / game79.380.378.3
Allowed / game73.369.876.9
Point differential+6.1+10.4+1.4
Avg total152.6150.1155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%50%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (9)100% (3)100% (6)
Overtime %14%22%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani3632489%87.275.9+11.3
2 Forli3528780%79.373.3+6.1
3 Cantu35251071%84.878.3+6.5
4 Fortitudo Bologna35251071%76.671.0+5.6
5 Udine35241169%78.671.0+7.6
6 Sebastiani Rieti35231266%80.776.9+3.8
7 Verona36231364%78.375.0+3.3
8 Trieste35211460%81.278.5+2.7
9 Basket Torino35201557%82.981.1+1.8
10 Rimini35181751%78.175.8+2.3
11 Cividale35181751%76.175.7+0.4
12 Assigeco Piacenza36171947%77.876.9+0.9
13 Cento34161847%75.678.0-2.4
14 Urania Milano36162044%82.584.7-2.2
15 Treviglio35142140%77.279.3-2.1
16 JuVi Cremona35142140%80.784.6-3.9
17 Nardo34132138%75.680.4-4.8
18 Chiusi33122136%69.273.3-4.1
19 Vigevano35122334%76.981.2-4.3
20 Orzinuovi32102231%75.378.3-2.9
21 Luiss Roma33102330%77.785.5-7.8
22 Agrigento3492526%74.680.9-6.3
23 Latina3482624%76.384.7-8.4
24 Monferrato3272522%79.485.0-5.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vigevano2311161969
Forli2630231695
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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