PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Forli vs Vigevano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 May 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 87-71
31-11 19-22 22-12 15-26
Position#2
Record26-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game73.4
Forli 🏆
Italy
vs
Vigevano
Italy
Position#20
Record11-21
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game81.4
ItalySerie A2Serie A2 - Quarter-finals· PalaGalassi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Forli v Vigevano
07 Mar 2027
FORL v VIGE
upcoming
22 Dec 2024
FORL93
VIGE91
07 May 2024
FORL84
VIGE69
05 May 2024
FORL87
VIGE71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vigevano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
83-73
83
73
+10
79avg 70
H11/02
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
80-69
80
69
+11
75avg 70
A18/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
73-59
73
59
+14
69avg 70
H24/02
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
81-79
81
79
+2
71avg 70
A03/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
69-78
69
78
-9
52avg 70
H10/03
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
77-75
77
75
+2
70avg 70
A23/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
78-61
78
61
+17
74avg 70
H30/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
85-80
85
80
+5
80avg 70
A07/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
67-77
67
77
-10
57avg 70
H12/04
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
89-87
89
87
+2
75avg 70
A21/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
17-22
22-18
20-17
17-20
25-22
19-13
19-14
20-19
17-14
21-15
15-11
22-20
23-15
22-27
14-17
20-17
24-18
14-23
11-20
20-13
20-21
21-21
16-20
18-18
25-14
11-14
24-15
21-21
22-23
24-21
18-15
17-19
15-19
18-16
17-23
26-27
15-22
20-21
28-17
152.0Avg total
78.2Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)79.373.4152.7+5.981%
Season at home (16)79.669.8149.4+9.888%
Season away (16)79.076.9155.9+2.175%
Last 10 (10)78.273.8152.0+4.480%
Last 5 (5)79.276.0155.2+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)75.373.2148.5+2.167%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)82.174.6156.7+7.593%
This opponent (Vigevano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VigevanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVigevano
Date
Competition
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
68-74
68
74
-6
55avg 71
A11/02
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
76-70
76
70
+6
70avg 71
H18/02
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
84-75
84
75
+9
81avg 71
A25/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
72-80
72
80
-8
66avg 71
H03/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
72-82
72
82
-10
61avg 71
A10/03
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
91-70
91
70
+21
92avg 71
H24/03
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
57-103
57
103
-46
39avg 71
A30/03
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
80-85
80
85
-5
72avg 71
H07/04
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
72-74
72
74
-2
67avg 71
A14/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
76-77
76
77
-1
73avg 71
H21/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
17-18
17-15
19-24
21-19
20-14
19-25
16-12
11-21
30-13
23-21
20-20
12-7
24-26
20-26
16-21
20-26
17-18
17-27
18-11
23-22
25-17
20-14
23-17
9-27
8-35
17-19
23-22
21-21
23-22
21-24
15-18
19-11
26-17
14-24
13-22
24-23
11-23
19-15
22-16
153.8Avg total
74.8Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)77.381.4158.7-4.134%
Season at home (16)79.481.0160.4-1.644%
Season away (16)75.281.8157.0-6.525%
Last 10 (10)74.879.0153.8-4.230%
Last 5 (5)75.281.8157.0-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)75.483.6159.0-8.121%
vs Similar (16)79.179.1158.1+0.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
ForliVigevano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H11/02
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A18/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H24/02
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A03/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H10/03
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A23/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H30/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A07/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H12/04
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A21/04
Serie A2
78.8Avg total
40.8Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.536.475.9+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.933.372.3+5.680%-
Last 30 away (15)40.139.479.5+0.740%-
Last 10 (10)40.838.078.8+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.839.479.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)36.936.973.7+0.047%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.135.978.0+6.373%-
This opponent (Vigevano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VigevanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A11/02
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H18/02
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A25/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H03/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A10/03
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H24/03
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
17-62
17
62
-45
A30/03
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H07/04
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A14/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H21/04
Serie A2
77.3Avg total
37.6Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.441.781.1-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.342.082.3-1.753%-
Last 30 away (15)38.541.479.9-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)37.639.777.3-2.160%-
Last 5 (5)37.843.681.4-5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.242.679.8-5.436%-
vs Similar (16)41.340.982.2+0.450%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.5
51.0%
50.3%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.0
33.2%
34.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.713.4
75.7%
74.2%13.4
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vigevanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vigevano: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.417.0
48.0%
50.3%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.7
36.1%
34.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws16.010.7
66.9%
74.2%10.7
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forli
WLWWWLWWWW
Vigevano
LLLLWLLWWL
#2
League position
#20
+6.1
Net rating
-6.5
106.8
Offensive rating
100.4
100.7
Defensive rating
106.9
50.5%
Effective FG%
50.6%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
15.5%
Turnover %
17.3%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
24.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.2%
3-point %
36.1%
52.4%
Assist %
62.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 100.4Defence100.7 · 106.9Shooting50.5% · 50.6%3-point %33.2% · 36.1%Ball care15.5% · 17.3%Off. rebounds26.1% · 24.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Forli   ■ Vigevano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Forli wins
0
Vigevano wins
DateGameScore
07/04/24Vigevano v Forli80-85
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/24ALatina89-87
12/04/24HCantu67-77
07/04/24AVigevano85-80
30/03/24HJuVi Cremona78-61
23/03/24AMonferrato77-75
10/03/24HBasket Torino69-78
03/03/24ALuiss Roma81-79
24/02/24HUrania Milano73-59
18/02/24AAgrigento80-69
11/02/24HSebastiani Rieti83-73
Vigevanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/24HCividale76-77
14/04/24ACento72-74
07/04/24HForli80-85
30/03/24ATrieste57-103
24/03/24HOrzinuovi91-70
10/03/24ARimini72-82
03/03/24HFortitudo Bologna72-80
25/02/24AVerona84-75
18/02/24HChiusi76-70
11/02/24AAssigeco Piacenza68-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forli
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW81%
HomeWWLWL88%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %81%88%75%
Points / game79.379.679.0
Allowed / game73.469.876.9
Point differential+5.9+9.8+2.1
Avg total152.7149.4155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%44%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (9)100% (3)100% (6)
Overtime %16%25%6%
Vigevano
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL34%
HomeWLWLL44%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %34%44%25%
Points / game77.379.475.2
Allowed / game81.481.081.8
Point differential-4.1-1.6-6.5
Avg total158.7160.4157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%19%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)33% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani3330391%87.876.2+11.6
2 Forli3226681%79.373.4+5.9
3 Cantu3223972%85.278.8+6.4
4 Fortitudo Bologna32221069%76.771.9+4.8
5 Udine32211166%77.871.2+6.5
6 Sebastiani Rieti33211264%81.177.5+3.5
7 Basket Torino32201262%83.481.1+2.4
8 Verona33201361%78.375.3+3.0
9 Trieste32181456%81.278.6+2.5
10 Rimini33181555%78.875.8+3.0
11 Cividale32171553%76.575.3+1.2
12 Assigeco Piacenza33161748%78.376.7+1.6
13 Urania Milano33161748%83.585.2-1.8
14 Cento32151747%75.277.7-2.5
15 Treviglio32141844%78.779.6-0.9
16 JuVi Cremona32141844%81.884.3-2.5
17 Nardo32131941%75.780.5-4.8
18 Vigevano32112134%77.381.4-4.1
19 Chiusi32112134%68.573.6-5.1
20 Orzinuovi32102231%75.378.3-2.9
21 Luiss Roma3292328%77.485.4-8.1
22 Agrigento3282425%74.781.4-6.7
23 Monferrato3272522%79.485.0-5.6
24 Latina3272522%76.384.7-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forli3119221587
Vigevano1122122671
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.