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Vigevano vs Forli Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 May 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 76-67
24-9 20-16 18-21 14-21
Position#20
Record11-23
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Position#2
Record28-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game73.2
ItalySerie A2Serie A2 - Quarter-finals· Pala Elachem
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vigevano v Forli
21 Oct 2026
VIGE79
FORL74
02 Mar 2025
VIGE76
FORL78
12 May 2024
VIGE69
FORL95
10 May 2024
VIGE76
FORL67
07 Apr 2024
VIGE80
FORL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vigevano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VigevanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVigevano
Date
Competition
Verona
#8
W
84-75
84
75
+9
81avg 71
A25/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
72-80
72
80
-8
66avg 71
H03/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
72-82
72
82
-10
61avg 71
A10/03
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
91-70
91
70
+21
92avg 71
H24/03
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
57-103
57
103
-46
39avg 71
A30/03
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
80-85
80
85
-5
72avg 71
H07/04
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
72-74
72
74
-2
67avg 71
A14/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
76-77
76
77
-1
73avg 71
H21/04
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
71-87
71
87
-16
63avg 71
A05/05
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
69-84
69
84
-15
60avg 71
A07/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-21
30-13
23-21
20-20
12-7
24-26
20-26
16-21
20-26
17-18
17-27
18-11
23-22
25-17
20-14
23-17
9-27
8-35
17-19
23-22
21-21
23-22
21-24
15-18
19-11
26-17
14-24
13-22
24-23
11-23
19-15
22-16
11-31
22-19
12-22
26-15
18-22
17-20
16-21
18-21
156.1Avg total
74.4Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)76.981.6158.5-4.732%
Season at home (16)79.481.0160.4-1.644%
Season away (18)74.782.2156.8-7.522%
Last 10 (10)74.481.7156.1-7.320%
Last 5 (5)73.681.4155.0-7.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)74.883.8158.6-9.119%
vs Similar (14)79.077.7156.7+1.350%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
W
73-59
73
59
+14
69avg 71
H24/02
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
81-79
81
79
+2
71avg 71
A03/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
69-78
69
78
-9
52avg 71
H10/03
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
77-75
77
75
+2
70avg 71
A23/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
78-61
78
61
+17
74avg 71
H30/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
85-80
85
80
+5
80avg 71
A07/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
67-77
67
77
-10
57avg 71
H12/04
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
89-87
89
87
+2
75avg 71
A21/04
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
87-71
87
71
+16
83avg 71
H05/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
84-69
84
69
+15
80avg 71
H07/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
17-14
21-15
15-11
22-20
23-15
22-27
14-17
20-17
24-18
14-23
11-20
20-13
20-21
21-21
16-20
18-18
25-14
11-14
24-15
21-21
22-23
24-21
18-15
17-19
15-19
18-16
17-23
26-27
15-22
20-21
28-17
31-11
19-22
22-12
15-26
22-18
20-17
21-16
21-18
152.6Avg total
79.0Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)79.773.2152.9+6.582%
Season at home (18)80.369.8150.1+10.489%
Season away (16)79.076.9155.9+2.175%
Last 10 (10)79.073.6152.6+5.480%
Last 5 (5)82.476.8159.2+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)76.273.2149.4+3.071%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)82.274.4156.6+7.994%
This opponent (Vigevano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
VigevanoForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VigevanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#8
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A25/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H03/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A10/03
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H24/03
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
17-62
17
62
-45
A30/03
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H07/04
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A14/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H21/04
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A05/05
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A07/05
Serie A2
79.2Avg total
37.1Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.141.881.0-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.741.782.4-1.054%-
Last 30 away (17)37.941.979.9-4.029%-
Last 10 (10)37.142.179.2-5.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.441.880.2-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)36.843.079.8-6.231%-
vs Similar (14)41.840.582.3+1.350%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H24/02
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A03/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H10/03
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A23/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H30/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A07/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H12/04
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A21/04
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H05/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H07/05
Serie A2
78.5Avg total
41.7Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.836.576.3+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.333.973.2+5.481%-
Last 30 away (14)40.439.579.9+0.943%-
Last 10 (10)41.736.878.5+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)41.639.881.4+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)36.936.873.7+0.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.336.378.6+6.075%-
This opponent (Vigevano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vigevanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vigevano: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.916.4
47.0%
50.3%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.8
36.2%
34.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws16.511.0
66.7%
74.2%11.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.0
51.9%
50.3%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.4
31.0%
34.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.113.2
77.2%
74.2%13.2
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vigevano
LLLLLLWLLW
Forli
WWWLWWWLWW
#20
League position
#2
-11.1
Net rating
+8.3
100.1
Offensive rating
108.2
111.2
Defensive rating
100.0
50.2%
Effective FG%
49.7%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
17.3%
Turnover %
14.3%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.2%
3-point %
31.0%
62.6%
Assist %
52.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence100.1 · 108.2Defence111.2 · 100.0Shooting50.2% · 49.7%3-point %36.2% · 31.0%Ball care17.3% · 14.3%Off. rebounds24.7% · 28.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Vigevano   ■ Forli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Vigevano wins
3
Forli wins
DateGameScore
07/05/24Forli v Vigevano84-69
05/05/24Forli v Vigevano87-71
07/04/24Vigevano v Forli80-85
Vigevanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/24AForli69-84
05/05/24AForli71-87
21/04/24HCividale76-77
14/04/24ACento72-74
07/04/24HForli80-85
30/03/24ATrieste57-103
24/03/24HOrzinuovi91-70
10/03/24ARimini72-82
03/03/24HFortitudo Bologna72-80
25/02/24AVerona84-75
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/24HVigevano84-69
05/05/24HVigevano87-71
21/04/24ALatina89-87
12/04/24HCantu67-77
07/04/24AVigevano85-80
30/03/24HJuVi Cremona78-61
23/03/24AMonferrato77-75
10/03/24HBasket Torino69-78
03/03/24ALuiss Roma81-79
24/02/24HUrania Milano73-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vigevano
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL32%
HomeWLWLL44%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341618
Win %32%44%22%
Points / game76.979.474.7
Allowed / game81.681.082.2
Point differential-4.7-1.6-7.5
Avg total158.5160.4156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%19%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)33% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Forli
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW82%
HomeLWLWW89%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %82%89%75%
Points / game79.780.379.0
Allowed / game73.269.876.9
Point differential+6.5+10.4+2.1
Avg total152.9150.1155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (9)100% (3)100% (6)
Overtime %15%22%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani3531489%87.376.1+11.1
2 Forli3428682%79.773.2+6.5
3 Cantu35251071%84.878.3+6.5
4 Fortitudo Bologna35251071%76.671.0+5.6
5 Udine34231168%78.871.6+7.2
6 Sebastiani Rieti35231266%80.776.9+3.8
7 Verona35221363%78.074.9+3.1
8 Trieste35211460%81.278.5+2.7
9 Basket Torino35201557%82.981.1+1.8
10 Rimini35181751%78.175.8+2.3
11 Cividale35181751%76.175.7+0.4
12 Assigeco Piacenza35171849%78.176.7+1.4
13 Cento34161847%75.678.0-2.4
14 Urania Milano35161946%82.684.6-2.0
15 JuVi Cremona34142041%81.684.9-3.4
16 Treviglio35142140%77.279.3-2.1
17 Nardo34132138%75.680.4-4.8
18 Chiusi33122136%69.273.3-4.1
19 Vigevano34112332%76.981.6-4.7
20 Orzinuovi32102231%75.378.3-2.9
21 Luiss Roma33102330%77.785.5-7.8
22 Agrigento3492526%74.680.9-6.3
23 Latina3482624%76.384.7-8.4
24 Monferrato3272522%79.485.0-5.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vigevano2420181476
Forli916212167
← all games of the day
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