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Forli vs Vigevano Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 07 May 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 84-69
22-18 20-17 21-16 21-18
Position#2
Record27-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game73.3
Forli 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#20
Record11-22
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game81.5
ItalySerie A2Serie A2 - Quarter-finals· PalaGalassi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Forli v Vigevano
07 Mar 2027
FORL v VIGE
upcoming
22 Dec 2024
FORL93
VIGE91
07 May 2024
FORL84
VIGE69
05 May 2024
FORL87
VIGE71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vigevano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Agrigento
#19
W
80-69
80
69
+11
75avg 70
A18/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
73-59
73
59
+14
69avg 70
H24/02
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
81-79
81
79
+2
71avg 70
A03/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
69-78
69
78
-9
52avg 70
H10/03
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
77-75
77
75
+2
70avg 70
A23/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
78-61
78
61
+17
74avg 70
H30/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
85-80
85
80
+5
80avg 70
A07/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
67-77
67
77
-10
57avg 70
H12/04
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
89-87
89
87
+2
75avg 70
A21/04
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
87-71
87
71
+16
83avg 70
H05/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
25-22
19-13
19-14
20-19
17-14
21-15
15-11
22-20
23-15
22-27
14-17
20-17
24-18
14-23
11-20
20-13
20-21
21-21
16-20
18-18
25-14
11-14
24-15
21-21
22-23
24-21
18-15
17-19
15-19
18-16
17-23
26-27
15-22
20-21
28-17
31-11
19-22
22-12
15-26
152.2Avg total
78.6Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)79.573.3152.8+6.282%
Season at home (17)80.169.9149.9+10.288%
Season away (16)79.076.9155.9+2.175%
Last 10 (10)78.673.6152.2+5.080%
Last 5 (5)81.275.2156.4+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)76.273.2149.4+3.071%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)82.474.4156.8+8.094%
This opponent (Vigevano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VigevanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVigevano
Date
Competition
Chiusi
#18
W
76-70
76
70
+6
70avg 71
H18/02
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
84-75
84
75
+9
81avg 71
A25/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
72-80
72
80
-8
66avg 71
H03/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
72-82
72
82
-10
61avg 71
A10/03
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
91-70
91
70
+21
92avg 71
H24/03
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
57-103
57
103
-46
39avg 71
A30/03
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
80-85
80
85
-5
72avg 71
H07/04
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
72-74
72
74
-2
67avg 71
A14/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
76-77
76
77
-1
73avg 71
H21/04
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
71-87
71
87
-16
63avg 71
A05/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
20-14
19-25
16-12
11-21
30-13
23-21
20-20
12-7
24-26
20-26
16-21
20-26
17-18
17-27
18-11
23-22
25-17
20-14
23-17
9-27
8-35
17-19
23-22
21-21
23-22
21-24
15-18
19-11
26-17
14-24
13-22
24-23
11-23
19-15
22-16
11-31
22-19
12-22
26-15
155.4Avg total
75.1Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)77.181.5158.7-4.433%
Season at home (16)79.481.0160.4-1.644%
Season away (17)75.082.1157.1-7.124%
Last 10 (10)75.180.3155.4-5.230%
Last 5 (5)71.285.2156.4-14.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)75.183.8158.9-8.720%
vs Similar (15)79.179.2158.3-0.147%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
ForliVigevano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Agrigento
#19
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A18/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H24/02
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A03/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H10/03
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A23/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H30/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A07/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H12/04
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A21/04
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H05/05
Serie A2
79.2Avg total
41.7Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.036.276.2+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.633.372.9+6.381%-
Last 30 away (14)40.439.579.9+0.943%-
Last 10 (10)41.737.579.2+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.839.281.0+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)36.936.873.7+0.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.635.778.3+6.975%-
This opponent (Vigevano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VigevanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiusi
#18
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H18/02
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A25/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H03/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A10/03
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H24/03
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
17-62
17
62
-45
A30/03
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H07/04
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A14/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H21/04
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A05/05
Serie A2
78.9Avg total
37.7Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.142.181.2-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.242.382.5-2.150%-
Last 30 away (16)38.141.980.1-3.831%-
Last 10 (10)37.741.278.9-3.560%-
Last 5 (5)34.845.880.6-11.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)36.943.180.0-6.133%-
vs Similar (15)41.341.182.4+0.147%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.4
52.0%
50.3%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.7
32.2%
34.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws16.812.9
76.8%
74.2%12.9
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vigevanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vigevano: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.116.9
49.6%
50.3%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.8
35.5%
34.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws16.410.9
66.5%
74.2%10.9
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forli
WWLWWWLWWW
Vigevano
LLLLLWLLWW
#2
League position
#20
+7.2
Net rating
-8.0
107.5
Offensive rating
101.7
100.3
Defensive rating
109.6
50.5%
Effective FG%
51.2%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
14.7%
Turnover %
16.9%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
24.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.2%
3-point %
35.5%
52.3%
Assist %
62.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 101.7Defence100.3 · 109.6Shooting50.5% · 51.2%3-point %32.2% · 35.5%Ball care14.7% · 16.9%Off. rebounds25.7% · 24.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Forli   ■ Vigevano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Forli wins
0
Vigevano wins
DateGameScore
05/05/24Forli v Vigevano87-71
07/04/24Vigevano v Forli80-85
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/24HVigevano87-71
21/04/24ALatina89-87
12/04/24HCantu67-77
07/04/24AVigevano85-80
30/03/24HJuVi Cremona78-61
23/03/24AMonferrato77-75
10/03/24HBasket Torino69-78
03/03/24ALuiss Roma81-79
24/02/24HUrania Milano73-59
18/02/24AAgrigento80-69
Vigevanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/24AForli71-87
21/04/24HCividale76-77
14/04/24ACento72-74
07/04/24HForli80-85
30/03/24ATrieste57-103
24/03/24HOrzinuovi91-70
10/03/24ARimini72-82
03/03/24HFortitudo Bologna72-80
25/02/24AVerona84-75
18/02/24HChiusi76-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forli
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW82%
HomeWLWLW88%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %82%88%75%
Points / game79.580.179.0
Allowed / game73.369.976.9
Point differential+6.2+10.2+2.1
Avg total152.8149.9155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%47%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (9)100% (3)100% (6)
Overtime %15%24%6%
Vigevano
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWLWLL44%
AwayWLLLL24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %33%44%24%
Points / game77.179.475.0
Allowed / game81.581.082.1
Point differential-4.4-1.6-7.1
Avg total158.7160.4157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%19%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)33% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani3431391%87.375.8+11.5
2 Forli3327682%79.573.3+6.2
3 Cantu3324973%85.478.8+6.6
4 Fortitudo Bologna33231070%76.771.7+5.0
5 Udine33221167%78.371.0+7.2
6 Sebastiani Rieti34221265%80.977.3+3.6
7 Verona34211362%78.275.0+3.2
8 Basket Torino33201361%83.281.1+2.1
9 Trieste33191458%81.278.5+2.7
10 Rimini34181653%78.575.8+2.8
11 Cividale33171652%76.575.8+0.7
12 Assigeco Piacenza34161847%77.876.4+1.4
13 Urania Milano34161847%83.085.0-2.0
14 Cento33151845%75.478.0-2.6
15 Treviglio33141942%78.379.6-1.3
16 JuVi Cremona33141942%81.384.6-3.3
17 Nardo33132039%75.280.1-4.9
18 Chiusi32112134%68.573.6-5.1
19 Vigevano33112233%77.181.5-4.4
20 Orzinuovi32102231%75.378.3-2.9
21 Luiss Roma3292328%77.485.4-8.1
22 Agrigento3392427%74.580.8-6.3
23 Latina3382524%76.784.5-7.8
24 Monferrato3272522%79.485.0-5.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forli2220212184
Vigevano1817161869
← all games of the day
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