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Virginia Tech vs SMU Mustangs Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 75-81
35-35 40-46
Position#286
Record10-12
FormLLLWW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game72.6
vs
Position#58
Record17-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game71.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Virginia Tech v SMU Mustangs
16 Jan 2027
VIRG v SMU
upcoming
05 Feb 2025
VIRG75
SMU 81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia Tech winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
SMU Mustangs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virginia TechUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#7
L
65-88
65
88
-23
A31/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
86-85
86
85
+1
H04/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A09/01
NCAA
California
#268
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A11/01
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H16/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
63-72
63
72
-9
H18/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A23/01
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
57-72
57
72
-15
H25/01
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
76-66
76
66
+10
A30/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
75-74
75
74
+1
A01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-37
38-51
40-39
46-46
30-25
29-45
42-23
29-45
34-45
45-31
29-31
34-41
35-39
29-32
29-41
28-31
35-15
41-51
38-31
37-43
143.7Avg total
69.5Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)70.072.6142.6-2.645%
Season at home (14)71.770.9142.6+0.850%
Season away (8)67.075.6142.6-8.638%
Last 10 (10)69.574.2143.7-4.750%
Last 5 (5)67.071.0138.0-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)65.372.7138.0-7.425%
vs Similar (10)77.376.7154.0+0.660%
vs Weaker (3)85.071.3156.3+13.7100%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Longwood
#151
W
98-82
98
82
+16
H29/12
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
62-89
62
89
-27
H04/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A08/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
93-71
93
71
+22
H11/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A16/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
117-74
117
74
+43
A18/01
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
73-98
73
98
-25
H22/01
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A25/01
NCAA
California
#268
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H30/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
85-61
85
61
+24
H01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
45-43
53-39
32-41
30-48
24-39
43-43
50-19
43-52
27-25
27-27
60-26
57-48
27-50
46-48
34-26
29-31
39-29
37-36
45-25
40-36
151.9Avg total
78.8Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)82.971.3154.2+11.577%
Season at home (14)85.272.1157.3+13.179%
Season away (8)78.870.0148.8+8.875%
Last 10 (10)78.873.1151.9+5.770%
Last 5 (5)82.871.0153.8+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.089.0151.0-27.00%
vs Similar (7)77.781.4159.1-3.729%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)83.069.1152.1+14.081%
This opponent (Virginia Tech) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +6.0+6.02nd half2nd half: -6.0-6.02nd half: -0.3-0.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +6.0+6.02nd half2nd half: -6.0-6.02nd half: -0.3-0.3
Virginia TechSMU Mustangs
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Virginia TechLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#7
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A31/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H04/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A09/01
NCAA
California
#268
W
42-23
42
23
+19
A11/01
NCAA
NC State
#293
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H16/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H18/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A23/01
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H25/01
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
35-15
35
15
+20
A30/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A01/02
NCAA
66.5Avg total
33.9Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.033.968.9+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.934.970.9+1.056%-
Last 30 away (12)33.732.265.9+1.442%-
Last 10 (10)33.932.666.5+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)33.231.464.6+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)33.232.665.8+0.638%-
vs Similar (10)35.836.672.4-0.850%-
vs Weaker (3)43.033.776.7+9.3100%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Longwood
#151
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H29/12
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H04/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A08/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
50-19
50
19
+31
H11/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A16/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
60-26
60
26
+34
A18/01
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
27-50
27
50
-23
H22/01
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A25/01
NCAA
California
#268
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H30/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H01/02
NCAA
70.6Avg total
38.3Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.833.872.5+5.067%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.333.974.2+6.478%-
Last 30 away (12)36.533.670.1+2.950%-
Last 10 (10)38.332.370.6+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)41.031.272.2+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.041.073.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (7)35.938.374.1-2.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)39.631.671.2+8.076%-
This opponent (Virginia Tech) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Virginia Tech wins
0
SMU Mustangs wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25AVirginia75-74
30/01/25AFlorida State76-66
25/01/25HClemson57-72
23/01/25AGeorgia Tech64-71
18/01/25HWake Forest63-72
16/01/25HNC State79-76
11/01/25ACalifornia71-68
09/01/25AStanford59-70
04/01/25HMiami (FL)86-85
31/12/24ADuke65-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25HStanford85-61
30/01/25HCalifornia76-65
25/01/25ANC State63-57
22/01/25HLouisville73-98
18/01/25AMiami (FL)117-74
16/01/25AVirginia54-52
11/01/25HGeorgia Tech93-71
08/01/25ANorth Carolina67-82
04/01/25HDuke62-89
29/12/24HLongwood98-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia Tech
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW45%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayLWLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22148
Win %45%50%38%
Points / game70.071.767.0
Allowed / game72.670.975.6
Point differential-2.6+0.8-8.6
Avg total142.6142.6142.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%21%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW77%
HomeLWLWW79%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22148
Win %77%79%75%
Points / game82.985.278.8
Allowed / game71.372.170.0
Point differential+11.5+13.1+8.8
Avg total154.2157.3148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%79%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2220291%80.559.8+20.7
2 Clemson2318578%77.367.1+10.2
3 SMU Mustangs2217577%82.971.3+11.5
4 Louisville2317674%78.869.1+9.7
5 Wake Forest2216673%69.766.2+3.5
6 Stanford2215768%75.970.5+5.5
7 Pittsburgh2214864%78.571.0+7.5
8 Florida State2314961%76.770.9+5.8
9 North Carolina23131057%81.276.7+4.5
10 California22111150%75.375.5-0.3
11 Georgia Tech23111248%75.173.7+1.4
12 Virginia23111248%63.764.9-1.1
13 Notre Dame22101245%73.269.9+3.3
14 Virginia Tech22101245%70.072.6-2.6
15 Boston College22101245%70.575.7-5.3
16 Syracuse23101343%73.377.3-4.0
17 NC State2191243%69.767.3+2.4
18 Miami (FL)2251723%74.979.6-4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia Tech354075
SMU Mustangs354681
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