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Virginia Tech vs SMU Mustangs Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#45
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game67.8
vs
Position#33
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game67.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Virginia Tech v SMU Mustangs
16 Jan 2027
VIRG v SMU
upcoming
05 Feb 2025
VIRG75
SMU 81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia Tech win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
SMU Mustangs win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virginia TechUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#38
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A18/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
82-63
82
63
+19
H21/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A01/03
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H04/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A07/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
89-95 OT
89
95
-6
H10/03
NCAA
Coppin State
#336
W
88-54
88
54
+34
H04/11
NCAA
Mercer
#259
W
96-67
96
67
+29
H06/11
NCAA
Iowa
#151
W
93-88 OT
93
88
+5
A11/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#295
W
82-62
82
62
+20
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-31
32-36
43-33
39-30
44-44
38-45
35-24
37-39
25-41
47-35
34-38
41-37
45-27
43-27
47-24
49-43
41-40
38-39
42-30
40-32
154.6Avg total
82.2Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)89.867.8157.5+22.0100%
Season at home (3)88.761.0149.7+27.7100%
Season away (1)93.088.0181.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.272.4154.6+9.860%
Last 5 (5)89.673.2162.8+16.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.279.6151.9-7.412%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.277.1156.3+2.157%
vs Weaker (8)83.265.4148.6+17.9100%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#103
L
75-95
75
95
-20
A28/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H05/03
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A07/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
86-69
86
69
+17
H10/03
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A11/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
79-89
79
89
-10
H19/03
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#406
W
85-72
85
72
+13
H03/11
NCAA
VMI
#177
W
95-70
95
70
+25
H06/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#266
W
98-63
98
63
+35
H11/11
NCAA
Ball State
#311
W
90-65
90
65
+25
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-34
48-61
31-38
38-39
27-45
51-46
39-38
47-31
26-26
32-36
34-43
45-46
40-38
45-34
47-28
48-42
52-36
46-27
51-17
39-48
156.6Avg total
81.3Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)92.067.5159.5+24.5100%
Season at home (4)92.067.5159.5+24.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.375.3156.6+6.050%
Last 5 (5)89.471.8161.2+17.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.181.6155.7-7.414%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.881.6162.3-0.842%
vs Weaker (11)91.170.7161.8+20.491%
This opponent (Virginia Tech) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.8+5.81st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: +2.9+2.9
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.8+5.81st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: +2.9+2.9
Virginia TechSMU Mustangs
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Virginia TechLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#38
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A18/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H21/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A01/03
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H04/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A07/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H10/03
NCAA
Coppin State
#336
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H04/11
NCAA
Mercer
#259
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H06/11
NCAA
Iowa
#151
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A11/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#295
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H14/11
NCAA
72.2Avg total
39.0Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.134.170.2+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.831.870.6+7.171%-
Last 30 away (13)32.537.269.7-4.831%-
Last 10 (10)39.033.272.2+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)41.831.873.6+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)29.236.665.9-7.412%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.435.673.0+1.750%-
vs Weaker (8)40.629.069.6+11.6100%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#103
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A28/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H05/03
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A07/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H10/03
NCAA
Louisville
#53
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A11/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H19/03
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#406
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H03/11
NCAA
VMI
#177
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H06/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#266
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H11/11
NCAA
Ball State
#311
W
51-17
51
17
+34
H14/11
NCAA
71.7Avg total
37.4Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.836.676.4+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.135.478.5+7.678%-
Last 30 away (12)35.038.373.3-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)37.434.371.7+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)44.832.477.2+12.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.641.378.9-3.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.638.175.7-0.542%-
vs Weaker (11)43.732.075.7+11.7100%-
This opponent (Virginia Tech) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Virginia Tech wins
2
SMU Mustangs wins
DateGameScore
15/01/26SMU Mustangs v Virginia Tech77-76
06/02/25Virginia Tech v SMU Mustangs75-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HMount St. Mary's82-62
11/11/26AIowa93-88 OT
06/11/26HMercer96-67
04/11/26HCoppin State88-54
10/03/26HWake Forest89-95 OT
07/03/26AVirginia72-76
04/03/26HBoston College72-63
01/03/26ANorth Carolina82-89
21/02/26HWake Forest82-63
18/02/26AMiami (FL)66-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HBall State90-65
11/11/26HPrairie View A&M98-63
06/11/26HVMI95-70
03/11/26HSouthern Univ.85-72
19/03/26HMiami (Ohio)79-89
11/03/26ALouisville58-62
10/03/26HSyracuse86-69
07/03/26AFlorida State78-91
05/03/26HMiami (FL)69-77
28/02/26AStanford75-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia Tech
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.888.793.0
Allowed / game67.861.088.0
Point differential+22.0+27.7+5.0
Avg total157.5149.7181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %25%0%100%
SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game92.092.0-
Allowed / game67.567.5-
Point differential+24.5+24.5-
Avg total159.5159.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisville220100%95.563.5+32.0
2 SMU Mustangs440100%92.067.5+24.5
3 Boston College330100%76.353.0+23.3
4 Notre Dame440100%87.564.2+23.2
5 Virginia550100%91.869.6+22.2
6 Virginia Tech440100%89.867.8+22.0
7 NC State440100%83.862.2+21.5
8 Pittsburgh440100%83.264.5+18.8
9 Georgia Tech440100%82.570.8+11.8
10 California54180%85.874.8+11.0
11 Duke43175%90.057.0+33.0
12 Miami (FL)43175%83.259.2+24.0
13 Wake Forest43175%76.262.8+13.5
14 North Carolina43175%83.870.8+13.0
15 Stanford43175%78.569.2+9.2
16 Clemson43175%84.276.8+7.5
17 Syracuse32167%85.363.3+22.0
18 Florida State42250%79.080.2-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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