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Virginia vs NC State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 51-53
26-28 25-25
Position#43
Record8-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game54.9
Allowed / game52.1
vs
Position#119
Record9-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game68.8
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Virginia v NC State
12 Mar 2026
VIRG81
NC S74
24 Feb 2026
VIRG90
NC S61
31 Dec 2024
VIRG70
NC S67
15 Mar 2024
VIRG65
NC S73
24 Jan 2024
VIRG59
NC S53
07 Feb 2023
VIRG63
NC S50
24 Feb 2021
VIRG61
NC S68
20 Jan 2020
VIRG51
NC S53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NC State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#181
L
40-69
40
69
-29
A05/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#288
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H08/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#120
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H18/12
NCAA
South Carolina
#146
L
59-70
59
70
-11
H22/12
NCAA
Navy
#226
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H29/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
W
65-39
65
39
+26
H04/01
NCAA
Boston College
#295
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A08/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#165
L
55-63 OT
55
63
-8
H11/01
NCAA
Florida State
#12
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A16/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#168
W
63-58
63
58
+5
A19/01
NCAA
1H
2H
17-32
23-37
24-18
32-29
28-21
28-23
24-33
35-37
37-29
28-27
30-17
35-22
26-30
27-30
20-24
23-19
24-31
26-23
33-25
30-33
112.2Avg total
56.2Scored
56.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)54.952.1107.0+2.862%
Season at home (8)56.248.8105.0+7.575%
Season away (5)52.857.4110.2-4.640%
Last 10 (10)56.256.0112.2+0.250%
Last 5 (5)57.254.8112.0+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.054.0104.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)56.260.0116.2-3.850%
vs Weaker (6)57.744.7102.3+13.083%
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#257
W
91-82
91
82
+9
A07/12
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#39
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A15/12
NCAA
Auburn
#28
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A20/12
NCAA
Citadel
#340
W
83-63
83
63
+20
H22/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#150
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H29/12
NCAA
Clemson
#211
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A04/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#117
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H09/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
L
58-72
58
72
-14
A11/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H16/01
NCAA
Clemson
#211
W
60-54
60
54
+6
H18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
45-36
46-46
38-37
42-40
37-38
36-41
40-22
43-41
35-26
37-34
35-41
35-40
34-39
39-29
33-40
25-32
33-25
47-38
36-24
24-30
143.9Avg total
74.0Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)73.968.8142.7+5.269%
Season at home (7)73.060.0133.0+13.0100%
Season away (6)75.079.0154.0-4.033%
Last 10 (10)74.069.9143.9+4.170%
Last 5 (5)68.267.6135.8+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.077.0157.0+3.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (10)74.070.8144.8+3.260%
vs Weaker (4)78.070.0148.0+8.075%
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: +0.3+0.3
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: +0.3+0.3
VirginiaNC State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#181
L
17-32
17
32
-15
A05/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#288
W
24-18
24
18
+6
H08/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#120
W
28-21
28
21
+7
H18/12
NCAA
South Carolina
#146
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H22/12
NCAA
Navy
#226
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H29/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
W
30-17
30
17
+13
H04/01
NCAA
Boston College
#295
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A08/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#165
L
20-24
20
24
-4
H11/01
NCAA
Florida State
#12
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A16/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#168
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A19/01
NCAA
52.3Avg total
26.3Scored
26.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)26.824.250.9+2.662%-
Last 30 at home (11)27.222.349.5+4.973%-
Last 30 away (5)25.828.454.2-2.640%-
Last 10 (10)26.326.052.3+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)26.625.452.0+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)24.031.055.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)26.627.053.6-0.450%-
vs Weaker (6)27.520.748.2+6.883%-
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#257
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A07/12
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#39
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A15/12
NCAA
Auburn
#28
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A20/12
NCAA
Citadel
#340
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H22/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#150
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H29/12
NCAA
Clemson
#211
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A04/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#117
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H09/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A11/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H16/01
NCAA
Clemson
#211
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H18/01
NCAA
69.4Avg total
36.6Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)37.534.672.1+2.956%-
Last 30 at home (10)37.330.667.9+6.770%-
Last 30 away (6)37.841.279.0-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)36.632.869.4+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)34.233.868.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)38.037.075.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.235.172.3+2.150%-
vs Weaker (4)37.830.868.5+7.075%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Virginia wins
0
NC State wins
No previous meetings.
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/20AGeorgia Tech63-58
16/01/20AFlorida State50-54
11/01/20HSyracuse55-63 OT
08/01/20ABoston College53-60
04/01/20HVirginia Tech65-39
29/12/19HNavy65-56
22/12/19HSouth Carolina59-70
18/12/19HStony Brook56-44
08/12/19HNorth Carolina56-47
05/12/19APurdue40-69
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/20HClemson60-54
16/01/20HMiami (FL)80-63
11/01/20AVirginia Tech58-72
09/01/20HNotre Dame73-68
04/01/20AClemson70-81
29/12/19HAppalachian State72-60
22/12/19HCitadel83-63
20/12/19AAuburn73-79
15/12/19ANC Greensboro80-77
07/12/19AWake Forest91-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW62%
HomeWLWWL75%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %62%75%40%
Points / game54.956.252.8
Allowed / game52.148.857.4
Point differential+2.8+7.5-4.6
Avg total107.0105.0110.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%38%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%12%0%
NC State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW69%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%100%33%
Points / game73.973.075.0
Allowed / game68.860.079.0
Point differential+5.2+13.0-4.0
Avg total142.7133.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida State1413193%76.264.5+11.7
2 Duke1411379%82.165.5+16.6
3 Stanford1310377%70.960.1+10.8
4 Louisville1310377%71.563.2+8.3
5 SMU Mustangs139469%77.468.8+8.5
6 Pittsburgh139469%67.260.8+6.4
7 NC State139469%73.968.8+5.2
8 Virginia Tech138562%68.665.0+3.6
9 Virginia138562%54.952.1+2.8
10 Notre Dame127558%75.268.7+6.6
11 Syracuse148657%75.068.2+6.8
12 Wake Forest137654%72.273.7-1.5
13 Miami (FL)126650%71.075.5-4.5
14 Clemson136746%65.964.8+1.1
15 Georgia Tech156940%65.967.6-1.7
16 Boston College135838%60.468.3-7.9
17 North Carolina134931%67.673.2-5.5
18 California1441029%59.769.9-10.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia262551
NC State282553
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