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Virginia vs NC State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 59-53 (OT)
27-15 20-32 12-6
Position#66
Record13-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game65.5
Allowed / game58.2
Virginia 🏆
USA
vs
NC State
USA
Position#94
Record13-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game70.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Virginia v NC State
12 Mar 2026
VIRG81
NC S74
24 Feb 2026
VIRG90
NC S61
31 Dec 2024
VIRG70
NC S67
15 Mar 2024
VIRG65
NC S73
24 Jan 2024
VIRG59
NC S53
07 Feb 2023
VIRG63
NC S50
24 Feb 2021
VIRG61
NC S68
20 Jan 2020
VIRG51
NC S53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NC State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
N. Carolina Central
#142
W
77-47
77
47
+30
H06/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#298
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H16/12
NCAA
Memphis
#57
L
54-77
54
77
-23
A20/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#308
W
79-44
79
44
+35
H28/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
L
54-76
54
76
-22
A30/12
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
77-53
77
53
+24
H04/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
60-76
60
76
-16
A06/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
47-66
47
66
-19
A13/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
65-57
65
57
+8
H18/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
75-66
75
66
+9
A20/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-17
36-30
24-30
32-24
32-38
22-39
43-16
36-28
24-41
30-35
37-22
40-31
28-35
32-41
21-27
26-39
25-18
40-39
33-29
42-37
126.0Avg total
64.4Scored
61.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)65.558.2123.7+7.372%
Season at home (12)70.751.8122.5+18.8100%
Season away (6)55.271.0126.2-15.817%
Last 10 (10)64.461.6126.0+2.860%
Last 5 (5)64.863.6128.4+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)62.056.5118.5+5.550%
vs Similar ◀ (17)64.559.9124.5+4.665%
vs Weaker (11)65.357.6122.9+7.682%
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Martin
#82
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H13/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A17/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H21/12
NCAA
Detroit
#370
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H23/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A04/01
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
76-60
76
60
+16
H06/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
54-67
54
67
-13
H11/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
89-83
89
83
+6
A13/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H17/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H20/01
NCAA
1H
2H
46-35
35-32
31-34
39-45
33-36
49-34
43-36
40-30
26-34
28-18
35-28
41-32
28-30
26-37
44-35
45-48
35-45
48-31
32-33
46-51
145.4Avg total
75.0Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.370.2147.6+7.172%
Season at home (11)79.466.1145.5+13.382%
Season away (7)74.176.7150.9-2.657%
Last 10 (10)75.070.4145.4+4.670%
Last 5 (5)76.074.0150.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.080.3150.3-10.30%
vs Similar ◀ (13)71.874.2146.0-2.546%
vs Weaker (14)82.066.2148.2+15.893%
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +3.9+3.9
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +3.9+3.9
VirginiaNC State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
N. Carolina Central
#142
W
41-17
41
17
+24
H06/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#298
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H16/12
NCAA
Memphis
#57
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A20/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#308
W
43-16
43
16
+27
H28/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A30/12
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H04/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A06/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
21-27
21
27
-6
A13/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
25-18
25
18
+7
H18/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A20/01
NCAA
58.1Avg total
30.8Scored
27.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.425.756.1+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (21)32.422.855.1+9.686%-
Last 30 away (9)25.832.758.4-6.922%-
Last 10 (10)30.827.358.1+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)28.826.255.0+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.022.053.0+9.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)29.426.455.8+2.965%-
vs Weaker (11)31.925.457.3+6.573%-
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Martin
#82
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H13/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A17/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H21/12
NCAA
Detroit
#370
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H23/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A04/01
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H06/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H11/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A13/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H17/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H20/01
NCAA
69.9Avg total
35.3Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.933.670.5+3.257%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.433.372.7+6.171%-
Last 30 away (13)33.534.167.6-0.538%-
Last 10 (10)35.334.669.9+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)34.834.269.0+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.034.068.0+0.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)33.534.968.5-1.438%-
vs Weaker (14)40.632.472.9+8.279%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Virginia wins
4
NC State wins
DateGameScore
06/01/24NC State v Virginia76-60
08/02/23Virginia v NC State63-50
22/01/22NC State v Virginia77-63
24/02/21Virginia v NC State61-68
04/02/21NC State v Virginia57-64
21/01/20Virginia v NC State51-53
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24AGeorgia Tech75-66
18/01/24HVirginia Tech65-57
13/01/24AWake Forest47-66
06/01/24ANC State60-76
04/01/24HLouisville77-53
30/12/23ANotre Dame54-76
28/12/23HMorgan State79-44
20/12/23AMemphis54-77
16/12/23HNortheastern56-54
06/12/23HN. Carolina Central77-47
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24HVirginia Tech78-84
17/01/24HWake Forest83-76
13/01/24ALouisville89-83
11/01/24HNorth Carolina54-67
06/01/24HVirginia76-60
04/01/24ANotre Dame54-52
23/12/23HDetroit83-66
21/12/23HSt. Louis Billikens82-70
17/12/23ATennessee70-79
13/12/23HUT Martin81-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW72%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18126
Win %72%100%17%
Points / game65.570.755.2
Allowed / game58.251.871.0
Point differential+7.3+18.8-15.8
Avg total123.7122.5126.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
NC State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL72%
HomeWWLWL82%
AwayLWLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %72%82%57%
Points / game77.379.474.1
Allowed / game70.266.176.7
Point differential+7.1+13.3-2.6
Avg total147.6145.5150.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%73%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Carolina1916384%83.569.1+14.5
2 Duke1814478%81.767.0+14.7
3 SMU Mustangs1813572%76.362.4+13.9
4 Clemson1813572%80.773.1+7.7
5 Virginia1813572%65.558.2+7.3
6 NC State1813572%77.370.2+7.1
7 Wake Forest1913668%80.270.6+9.6
8 Syracuse1913668%75.372.4+2.9
9 Pittsburgh1912763%76.366.6+9.6
10 Miami (FL)1912763%81.472.8+8.6
11 Virginia Tech1912763%73.868.3+5.6
12 Florida State1912763%77.073.3+3.7
13 Boston College1911858%77.073.2+3.8
14 Stanford1810856%79.376.4+2.8
15 Georgia Tech1991047%73.175.1-2.0
16 Notre Dame1871139%62.865.1-2.3
17 California1971237%75.676.6-0.9
18 Louisville1961332%72.978.1-5.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Virginia27201259
NC State1532653
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