Virginia faces Northeastern in the NCAA on 6 November 2026, with the model rating Virginia as the clear favourite at 98% versus 2% for Northeastern, a reflection of Virginia's 1-0 season record, 89.0 points scored and 60.0 allowed per game, and a league position of 97, compared to Northeastern's 0-1 record, 85.0 points scored and 93.0 allowed per game and a league position of 259. Virginia's single home game shows a 1-0 record, 89.0 points scored and 60.0 allowed, while Northeastern's lone road outing is 0-1 with 85.0 points scored and 93.0 allowed. In the last five games Virginia went 3-2, including a 89-60 win over Drexel and a 72-79 loss to Tennessee, whereas Northeastern went 1-4, losing to Boston University and Drexel but beating N. Carolina A&T 88-72. Their only prior meeting was a 56-54 Virginia win on 16 December 2023. The Pythia model projects a 93-68 score, 160.8 total points, and a 53% chance of the over on the 159.5 line, with a 1% overtime probability. The game ends with Virginia's decisive 93-68 victory.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Virginia winWon
97.9%fair 1.02
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northeastern winLost
2.1%fair 46.89
Best odds51.00
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 05 Nov 07:14 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 154.5Actual: Over 154.5
Over 154.5
65.2%
@ 1.47-0.7pp
Under 154.5
34.8%
@ 3.00+0.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.35
Under
Bet365
3.00
Betano
2.47
Over/Under 159.5 · main lineActual: Over 159.5
Over 159.5
53.1%
@ 1.87+1.8pp
Under 159.5
46.9%
@ 2.10-1.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.83
BetVictor
1.80
Marathon Be
1.78
WilliamHill
1.73
Under
Bet365
2.10
WilliamHill
2.00
Marathon Be
1.95
Betano
1.90
1xBet
1.83
Over/Under 164.5Actual: Over 164.5
Over 164.5
40.8%
@ 2.40+0.8pp
Under 164.5
59.2%
@ 1.58-0.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.40
Bet365
2.22
Under
Bet365
1.58
Betano
1.50
📊 3. Team Totals
Virginia total 92.5Actual: Virginia over 92.5
Over 92.5
50.5%
@ 1.40-15.7pp
Under 92.5
49.5%
@ 3.00+15.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.33
Under
1xBet
3.00
Bet365
2.75
Betano
2.60
Virginia total 96.5 · main lineActual: Virginia over 96.5
Over 96.5
34.8%
@ 1.85-15.2pp
Under 96.5
65.2%
@ 1.95+15.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.75
Under
Betano
1.95
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Virginia total 100.5Actual: Virginia under 100.5
Over 100.5
21.3%
@ 2.50-16.2pp
Under 100.5
78.7%
@ 1.50+16.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.30
Under
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Northeastern total 58.5Actual: Northeastern over 58.5
Over 58.5
83.3%
@ 1.42+15.7pp
Under 58.5
16.7%
@ 3.25-15.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.25
Betano
2.50
Northeastern total 62.5 · main lineActual: Northeastern over 62.5
Over 62.5
71.4%
@ 1.85+21.0pp
Under 62.5
28.6%
@ 1.93-21.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.78
Under
Betano
1.93
Bet365
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
Northeastern total 66.5Actual: Northeastern over 66.5
Over 66.5
56.4%
@ 2.62+20.7pp
Under 66.5
43.6%
@ 1.44-20.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.62
Betano
2.52
Under
1xBet
1.44
Betano
1.42
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Virginia -37.5Actual: Northeastern +37.5
VIRG -37.5
no forecast
@ 2.20
NORT +37.5
no forecast
@ 1.62
Best 5 market prices
VIRG
Bet365
2.20
Betano
2.15
NORT
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.60
Spread Virginia -34.5 · main lineActual: Northeastern +34.5
VIRG -34.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
NORT +34.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
Best 5 market prices
VIRG
Bet365
1.93
1xBet
1.91
Betano
1.90
Marathon Be
1.90
BetVictor
1.85
NORT
Betano
1.88
Bet365
1.88
Marathon Be
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
1xBet
1.80
Spread Virginia -31.5Actual: Northeastern +31.5
VIRG -31.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
NORT +31.5
no forecast
@ 2.20
Best 5 market prices
VIRG
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.60
NORT
Bet365
2.20
Betano
2.18
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
VirginiaNortheastern
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
This opponent (Northeastern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NortheasternLast 10 – 2nd half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stony Brook
#182
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A07/02
NCAA
William & Mary
#100
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H13/02
NCAA
Drexel
#193
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H20/02
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H21/02
NCAA
William & Mary
#100
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A27/02
NCAA
Hampton
#276
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A28/02
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H04/03
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A06/03
NCAA
Drexel
#193
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A07/03
NCAA
Boston University
#123
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A03/11
NCAA
85.1Avg total
40.9Scored
44.2Allowed
2nd half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over 84.5
Last 30 (30)
41.2
44.0
85.2
-2.9
37%
43%
Last 30 at home (11)
40.0
44.2
84.2
-4.2
36%
36%
Last 30 away (19)
41.8
43.9
85.8
-2.1
37%
47%
Last 10 (10)
40.9
44.2
85.1
-3.3
30%
40%
Last 5 (5)
44.0
44.0
88.0
+0.0
60%
60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)
41.3
44.8
86.1
-3.4
38%
46%
vs Similar (4)
40.0
39.2
79.2
+0.8
25%
25%
vs Weaker
no games
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winnerActual: Virginia win
VIRG win
no forecast
@ 1.04
NORT win
no forecast
@ 11.75
2nd half Spread Virginia -16.5 · main lineActual: Virginia -16.5
VIRG -16.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
NORT +16.5
no forecast
@ 1.87
2nd half Over/Under 84.5 · main lineActual: Over 84.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.90
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Virginia (regulation)
VIRG
no forecast
@ 1.04
Draw
no forecast
@ 35.00
NORT
no forecast
@ 10.75
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Northeastern over 62
73.9%
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
-
+23.9pp
Won
Virginia under 98
71.4%
1.84
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.83
-
-
-
+21.1pp
Won
Virginia under 98.5
72.4%
1.82
Marathon Bet
1.86
Bet365
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
Betano
1.80
WilliamHill
1.80
+21.1pp
Won
Northeastern over 62.5
71.4%
1.82
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.78
-
+21.0pp
Won
Northeastern over 61.5
74.7%
1.72
Betano
1.72
-
-
-
-
+21.0pp
Won
Northeastern over 63
70.4%
1.83
Marathon Bet
1.83
-
-
-
-
+19.8pp
Won
Virginia under 101.5
81.5%
1.46
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.42
-
-
-
+18.4pp
Won
Virginia under 99.5
75.7%
1.57
Betano
1.57
-
-
-
-
+18.2pp
Won
Northeastern over 60.5
77.8%
1.55
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.50
-
-
-
+18.2pp
Won
Northeastern over 59.5
80.7%
1.47
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.47
1xBet
1.44
-
-
+17.3pp
Won
Virginia under 102.5
84.1%
1.36
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.36
-
-
-
+16.7pp
Won
Virginia under 100.5
78.7%
1.50
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
-
-
+16.2pp
Won
Northeastern over 58.5
83.3%
1.36
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
+15.7pp
Won
Virginia under 104.5
88.4%
1.27
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
+15.6pp
Won
Virginia under 103.5
86.4%
1.30
1xBet
1.30
-
-
-
-
+15.3pp
Won
Northeastern over 57.5
85.7%
1.29
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.27
1xBet
1.25
-
-
+12.9pp
Won
Northeastern over 56.5
87.8%
1.25
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.22
-
-
+12.4pp
Won
Northeastern over 55.5
89.7%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
+10.2pp
Won
Northeastern over 54.5
91.4%
1.12
Bet365
1.13
1xBet
1.12
-
-
-
+8.7pp
Won
Northeastern over 53.5
92.9%
1.10
1xBet
1.11
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
+7.6pp
Won
Northeastern over 52.5
94.1%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+7.0pp
Won
Northeastern over 51.5
95.2%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+6.9pp
Won
Northeastern over 50.5
96.1%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+6.5pp
Won
Virginia (regulation)
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.7pp
Won
Over 134.5
94.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.7pp
Won
Over 139.5
90.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+1.4pp
Won
Under 170
72.2%
1.31
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
-
+1.3pp
Won
Over 136.5
93.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.2pp
Won
Over 152
71.2%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+1.2pp
Won
Virginia over 76.5
94.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.1pp
Won
Under 181.5
90.1%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+0.7pp
Won
Under 184.5
93.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.7pp
Won
Under 169
70.0%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+0.6pp
Push
Over 149.5
75.9%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+0.6pp
Won
Over 151.5
71.8%
1.30
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
+0.5pp
Won
Under 170.5
72.8%
1.28
Bet365
1.28
-
-
-
-
+0.4pp
Won
Virginia over 78.5
92.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.1pp
Won
Over 144.5
84.5%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+0.1pp
Won
Virginia over 77.5
93.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.0pp
Won
Under 169.5
70.7%
1.31
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
-
-0.3pp
Won
Under 171.5
74.8%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
-0.5pp
Won
Under 176.5
83.6%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-0.8pp
Won
Over 141.5
88.5%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-0.9pp
Won
Virginia over 79.5
90.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.5pp
Won
Under 179.5
87.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-1.6pp
Won
Virginia over 80.5
89.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-1.7pp
Won
Over 146.5
81.3%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-3.1pp
Won
Virginia over 81.5
87.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-3.7pp
Won
Under 174.5
80.4%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-4.0pp
Won
Virginia over 82.5
84.8%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-4.2pp
Won
Virginia over 83.5
82.3%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-6.7pp
Won
Virginia over 84.5
79.5%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
-7.1pp
Won
Virginia -13.5
83.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-9.0pp
Won
Northeastern under 77.5
82.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-9.6pp
Won
Virginia over 86.5
73.3%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
-9.8pp
Won
Virginia over 85.5
76.5%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
-10.1pp
Won
Northeastern under 75.5
77.1%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-13.3pp
Won
Northeastern under 73.5
70.6%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
-15.5pp
Won
Virginia -18.5
70.2%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-18.8pp
Won
Free daily update
Get it on Telegram
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which
predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our
Cookie Policy.
Manage Cookies
Strictly Necessary
Always Active
Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the
pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the
operation of our website.
Session and security cookies, your logged-in state, your
subscription status, and the record of this cookie choice itself. These cannot be switched
off because the site cannot be delivered without them.
Functionality Cookies
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site
behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to
build a profile of you.
Your preferred tours and filters, which notices you have dismissed, your
theme choice, and display preferences you have chosen. Kept for up to two years, and you
can clear them from your browser at any time.
These are what "Essential Only" keeps. Choosing "Allow Necessary Cookies
Only" inside this panel switches them off as well.
Performance Cookies
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to
produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics
internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them
our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Which pages and predictions are read, how long pages take to
load, and which features are used, including Google Analytics. Reported in
aggregate, never sold, and not used to identify you personally when you are not signed in.
These are off unless you switch them on here or choose "Accept All".
Third Party Marketing/Targeting
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include
limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the
effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they
will not be adjusted to your interests.
Set by our advertising partners. Switching these off does not
reduce the number of adverts you see; it only makes them less relevant to you.
🔒
A Pro feature
Filtering, slicing and choosing dates are part of Pro -
unlock every pick, all slicers, Challenger/ITF boards, set scores and games markets.