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Virginia vs Notre Dame Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 13 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 80-68
37-25 43-43
Position#43
Record7-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game59.4
vs
Position#236
Record3-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game74.5
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Virginia v Notre Dame
25 Jan 2025
VIRG59
NOTR74
31 Jan 2024
VIRG65
NOTR53
18 Feb 2023
VIRG57
NOTR55
13 Jan 2021
VIRG80
NOTR68
12 Mar 2020
VIRG v NOTR
upcoming
11 Feb 2020
VIRG50
NOTR49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Notre Dame winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#41
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H07/03
NCAA
Towson
#341
W
89-54
89
54
+35
H25/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#224
L
60-61
60
61
-1
A27/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#317
W
76-51
76
51
+25
H01/12
NCAA
Kent State
#89
W
71-64 OT
71
64
+7
H04/12
NCAA
William & Mary
#241
W
76-40
76
40
+36
H22/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#4
L
75-98
75
98
-23
H26/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
W
66-57
66
57
+9
A30/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H07/01
NCAA
Boston College
#332
W
61-49
61
49
+12
A09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-24
26-30
42-19
47-35
24-21
36-40
45-13
31-38
29-22
33-40
36-14
40-26
31-44
44-54
30-24
36-33
34-39
36-22
29-26
32-23
129.0Avg total
70.1Scored
58.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)71.659.4131.0+12.178%
Season at home (6)76.261.3137.5+14.883%
Season away (3)62.355.7118.0+6.767%
Last 10 (10)70.158.9129.0+11.280%
Last 5 (5)69.661.0130.6+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)61.365.3126.7-4.050%
vs Similar (10)58.055.7113.7+2.370%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)66.154.2120.3+11.986%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#159
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A29/11
NCAA
Detroit
#153
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H07/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
85-90
85
90
-5
H09/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#273
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A12/12
NCAA
Duke
#154
L
65-75
65
75
-10
H17/12
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
78-88
78
88
-10
H19/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#91
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H23/12
NCAA
Virginia
#43
L
57-66
57
66
-9
H30/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#105
L
65-66
65
66
-1
A02/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#65
L
63-77
63
77
-14
A10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
26-39
44-41
37-31
41-39
42-34
43-56
48-26
16-37
34-41
31-34
42-47
36-41
45-36
36-34
24-30
33-36
30-29
35-37
42-35
21-42
145.1Avg total
70.6Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)70.674.5145.1-3.930%
Season at home (6)74.076.5150.5-2.533%
Season away (4)65.571.5137.0-6.025%
Last 10 (10)70.674.5145.1-3.930%
Last 5 (5)68.873.4142.2-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)71.577.6149.2-6.118%
vs Similar (10)70.470.7141.1-0.350%
vs Weaker (9)77.268.2145.4+9.089%
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +8.5+8.51st half: +2.2+2.22nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: -6.1-6.1
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +8.5+8.51st half: +2.2+2.22nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: -6.1-6.1
VirginiaNotre Dame
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#41
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H07/03
NCAA
Towson
#341
W
42-19
42
19
+23
H25/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#224
W
24-21
24
21
+3
A27/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#317
W
45-13
45
13
+32
H01/12
NCAA
Kent State
#89
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H04/12
NCAA
William & Mary
#241
W
36-14
36
14
+22
H22/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#4
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H26/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A30/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H07/01
NCAA
Boston College
#332
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A09/01
NCAA
57.7Avg total
33.1Scored
24.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.425.755.0+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (18)30.424.655.1+5.856%-
Last 30 away (12)27.827.255.0+0.558%-
Last 10 (10)33.124.657.7+8.580%-
Last 5 (5)32.029.461.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)28.032.760.7-4.717%-
vs Similar (10)27.625.152.7+2.560%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)31.223.154.3+8.171%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#159
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A29/11
NCAA
Detroit
#153
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H07/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H09/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#273
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A12/12
NCAA
Duke
#154
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H17/12
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H19/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#91
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H23/12
NCAA
Virginia
#43
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H30/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#105
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A02/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#65
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A10/01
NCAA
71.8Avg total
37.0Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.633.869.3+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.133.070.1+4.165%-
Last 30 away (13)33.634.868.4-1.246%-
Last 10 (10)37.034.871.8+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)36.635.472.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.037.074.0+0.055%-
vs Similar (10)33.433.266.6+0.250%-
vs Weaker (9)36.230.466.7+5.867%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Virginia wins
0
Notre Dame wins
DateGameScore
30/12/20Notre Dame v Virginia57-66
12/02/20Virginia v Notre Dame50-49 OT
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/21ABoston College61-49
07/01/21HWake Forest70-61
30/12/20ANotre Dame66-57
26/12/20HGonzaga75-98
22/12/20HWilliam & Mary76-40
04/12/20HKent State71-64 OT
01/12/20HSt. Francis (PA)76-51
27/11/20ASan Francisco60-61
25/11/20HTowson89-54
07/03/20HLouisville57-54
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/21AVirginia Tech63-77
02/01/21ANorth Carolina65-66
30/12/20HVirginia57-66
23/12/20HBellarmine81-70
19/12/20HPurdue78-88
17/12/20HDuke65-75
12/12/20AKentucky64-63
09/12/20HOhio State85-90
07/12/20HDetroit78-70
29/11/20AMichigan State70-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW78%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %78%83%67%
Points / game71.676.262.3
Allowed / game59.461.355.7
Point differential+12.1+14.8+6.7
Avg total131.0137.5118.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %11%17%0%
Notre Dame
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL30%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %30%33%25%
Points / game70.674.065.5
Allowed / game74.576.571.5
Point differential-3.9-2.5-6.0
Avg total145.1150.5137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Clemson109190%68.357.6+10.7
2 Louisville98189%70.462.8+7.7
3 Virginia Tech1210283%75.265.1+10.1
4 SMU Mustangs97278%79.267.1+12.1
5 Virginia97278%71.659.4+12.1
6 Pittsburgh86275%70.964.0+6.9
7 Stanford118373%73.866.5+7.4
8 Florida State75271%75.068.4+6.6
9 Syracuse107370%79.568.8+10.7
10 NC State96367%77.365.7+11.7
11 Georgia Tech96367%80.173.3+6.8
12 North Carolina128467%73.068.5+4.5
13 Duke85362%74.871.5+3.2
14 Wake Forest63350%72.565.3+7.2
15 California136746%68.868.9-0.1
16 Miami (FL)115645%67.466.3+1.1
17 Notre Dame103730%70.674.5-3.9
18 Boston College123925%72.978.0-5.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia374380
Notre Dame254368
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