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Virginia vs Notre Dame Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 57-55
29-25 28-30
Position#36
Record20-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game60.3
Virginia 🏆
USA
vs
Notre Dame
USA
Position#302
Record10-16
FormWLLLL
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game72.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Virginia v Notre Dame
25 Jan 2025
VIRG59
NOTR74
31 Jan 2024
VIRG65
NOTR53
18 Feb 2023
VIRG57
NOTR55
13 Jan 2021
VIRG80
NOTR68
12 Mar 2020
VIRG v NOTR
upcoming
11 Feb 2020
VIRG50
NOTR49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Notre Dame winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#117
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H11/01
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A14/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H19/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A21/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
76-57
76
57
+19
H28/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
67-62
67
62
+5
A31/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A04/02
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H08/02
NCAA
Duke
#39
W
69-62 OT
69
62
+7
H11/02
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A16/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-29
38-29
33-25
34-33
40-31
38-37
42-32
34-35
35-27
41-30
36-35
31-27
30-32
38-42
34-20
29-30
25-27
33-31
29-26
32-32
130.4Avg total
69.0Scored
61.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)69.660.3129.9+9.283%
Season at home (14)69.456.6126.0+12.993%
Season away (10)69.865.6135.4+4.270%
Last 10 (10)69.061.4130.4+7.690%
Last 5 (5)65.661.2126.8+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)53.060.7113.7-7.733%
vs Similar (14)68.962.9131.9+6.071%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)69.456.7126.1+12.8100%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#241
W
73-72 OT
73
72
+1
H11/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A15/01
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
71-84
71
84
-13
H18/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
L
72-84
72
84
-12
H21/01
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
82-85
82
85
-3
A25/01
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H28/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
64-81
64
81
-17
H04/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A09/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
87-93
87
93
-6
H11/02
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-29
35-36
40-36
33-42
29-39
42-45
35-36
37-48
42-39
40-46
46-24
30-38
26-27
38-54
37-38
31-32
40-43
47-50
23-31
41-37
150.7Avg total
73.0Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)70.772.5143.3-1.838%
Season at home (18)71.771.3143.1+0.456%
Season away (8)68.575.2143.8-6.80%
Last 10 (10)73.077.7150.7-4.720%
Last 5 (5)71.874.8146.6-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)71.474.3145.7-2.938%
vs Similar (14)70.971.3142.1-0.443%
vs Weaker (3)73.073.0146.0+0.033%
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: -5.4-5.4
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: -5.4-5.4
VirginiaNotre Dame
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#117
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H11/01
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A14/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H19/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A21/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H28/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A31/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A04/02
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H08/02
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H11/02
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A16/02
NCAA
61.5Avg total
33.1Scored
28.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.727.057.7+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (17)30.424.955.3+5.459%-
Last 30 away (13)31.129.760.8+1.462%-
Last 10 (10)33.128.461.5+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)30.828.058.8+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)22.027.749.7-5.733%-
vs Similar (14)30.628.959.5+1.843%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)33.225.358.5+7.883%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#241
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H11/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A15/01
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H18/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H21/01
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A25/01
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H28/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H04/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A09/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H11/02
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
23-31
23
31
-8
A15/02
NCAA
69.0Avg total
34.8Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.533.668.1+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.232.066.2+2.258%-
Last 30 away (11)35.036.571.5-1.545%-
Last 10 (10)34.834.269.0+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)34.432.667.0+1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)34.132.466.5+1.754%-
vs Similar (14)34.134.868.9-0.650%-
vs Weaker (3)38.033.771.7+4.367%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Virginia wins
1
Notre Dame wins
DateGameScore
29/01/22Notre Dame v Virginia69-65
13/01/21Virginia v Notre Dame80-68
30/12/20Notre Dame v Virginia57-66
12/02/20Virginia v Notre Dame50-49 OT
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/23ALouisville61-58
11/02/23HDuke69-62 OT
08/02/23HNC State63-50
04/02/23AVirginia Tech68-74
31/01/23ASyracuse67-62
28/01/23HBoston College76-57
21/01/23AWake Forest76-67
19/01/23HVirginia Tech78-68
14/01/23AFlorida State67-58
11/01/23HNorth Carolina65-58
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/23ADuke64-68
11/02/23HVirginia Tech87-93
09/02/23AGeorgia Tech68-70
04/02/23HWake Forest64-81
28/01/23HLouisville76-62
25/01/23ANC State82-85
21/01/23HBoston College72-84
18/01/23HFlorida State71-84
15/01/23ASyracuse73-78
11/01/23HGeorgia Tech73-72 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWLW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241410
Win %83%93%70%
Points / game69.669.469.8
Allowed / game60.356.665.6
Point differential+9.2+12.9+4.2
Avg total129.9126.0135.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Notre Dame
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL38%
HomeLLWLL56%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games26188
Win %38%56%0%
Points / game70.771.768.5
Allowed / game72.571.375.2
Point differential-1.8+0.4-6.8
Avg total143.3143.1143.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%28%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)75% (4)0% (5)
Overtime %4%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia2420483%69.660.3+9.2
2 NC State2720774%78.769.2+9.4
3 Pittsburgh2619773%75.067.5+7.5
4 Clemson2619773%74.567.5+7.0
5 Duke2618869%71.464.3+7.1
6 Wake Forest2617965%77.773.1+4.6
7 North Carolina26161062%78.272.5+5.7
8 Syracuse26161062%74.670.4+4.2
9 Virginia Tech26151158%74.569.2+5.4
10 Miami (FL)52292356%76.473.1+3.3
11 Boston College27121544%66.070.8-4.8
12 Stanford26111542%69.067.1+1.9
13 Notre Dame26101638%70.772.5-1.8
14 Georgia Tech26101638%67.771.0-3.3
15 SMU Mustangs2791833%70.074.9-5.0
16 Florida State2781930%69.676.3-6.7
17 California2632312%59.369.8-10.5
18 Louisville2632312%63.875.5-11.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia292857
Notre Dame253055
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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