PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Notre Dame vs Virginia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 57-66
24-30 33-36
Position#236
Record3-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game76.6
vs
Position#43
Record4-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game61.3
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Notre Dame v Virginia
27 Jan 2026
NOTR97
VIRG100
30 Dec 2023
NOTR76
VIRG54
29 Jan 2022
NOTR69
VIRG65
30 Dec 2020
NOTR57
VIRG66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Notre Dame winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#12
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H05/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
W
64-56
64
56
+8
H07/03
NCAA
Boston College
#295
W
80-58
80
58
+22
H11/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#159
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A29/11
NCAA
Detroit
#153
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H07/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
85-90
85
90
-5
H09/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#273
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A12/12
NCAA
Duke
#154
L
65-75
65
75
-10
H17/12
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
78-88
78
88
-10
H19/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#91
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H23/12
NCAA
1H
2H
42-35
29-38
28-17
36-39
36-21
44-37
26-39
44-41
37-31
41-39
42-34
43-56
48-26
16-37
34-41
31-34
42-47
36-41
45-36
36-34
145.9Avg total
73.6Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.476.6151.0-2.143%
Season at home (5)77.478.6156.0-1.240%
Season away (2)67.071.5138.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)73.672.3145.9+1.350%
Last 5 (5)74.677.2151.8-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)75.280.6155.9-5.425%
vs Similar (12)69.969.2139.1+0.850%
vs Weaker (10)80.568.5149.0+12.090%
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#258
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A27/02
NCAA
Duke
#19
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H29/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A05/03
NCAA
Louisville
#41
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H07/03
NCAA
Towson
#341
W
89-54
89
54
+35
H25/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#224
L
60-61
60
61
-1
A27/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#317
W
76-51
76
51
+25
H01/12
NCAA
Kent State
#89
W
71-64 OT
71
64
+7
H04/12
NCAA
William & Mary
#241
W
76-40
76
40
+36
H22/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#4
L
75-98
75
98
-23
H26/12
NCAA
1H
2H
26-11
30-42
25-25
27-25
24-23
22-21
31-24
26-30
42-19
47-35
24-21
36-40
45-13
31-38
29-22
33-40
36-14
40-26
31-44
44-54
122.7Avg total
65.8Scored
56.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)74.561.3135.8+13.267%
Season at home (5)77.461.4138.8+16.080%
Season away (1)60.061.0121.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)65.856.9122.7+8.980%
Last 5 (5)71.662.8134.4+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)61.365.3126.7-4.050%
vs Similar (11)56.456.9113.3-0.564%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)63.851.2115.0+12.785%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +5.3+5.31st half: +9.7+9.72nd half2nd half: -4.0-4.02nd half: -1.5-1.5
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +5.3+5.31st half: +9.7+9.72nd half2nd half: -4.0-4.02nd half: -1.5-1.5
Notre DameVirginia
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#12
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H05/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
W
28-17
28
17
+11
H07/03
NCAA
Boston College
#295
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H11/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#159
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A29/11
NCAA
Detroit
#153
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H07/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H09/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#273
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A12/12
NCAA
Duke
#154
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H17/12
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H19/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#91
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H23/12
NCAA
70.7Avg total
38.0Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.833.769.5+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.332.770.1+4.668%-
Last 30 away (11)33.235.368.5-2.136%-
Last 10 (10)38.032.770.7+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)42.236.879.0+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)38.939.178.0-0.250%-
vs Similar (12)32.332.564.8-0.250%-
vs Weaker (10)37.530.768.2+6.870%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#258
W
26-11
26
11
+15
A27/02
NCAA
Duke
#19
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H29/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
24-23
24
23
+1
A05/03
NCAA
Louisville
#41
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H07/03
NCAA
Towson
#341
W
42-19
42
19
+23
H25/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#224
W
24-21
24
21
+3
A27/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#317
W
45-13
45
13
+32
H01/12
NCAA
Kent State
#89
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H04/12
NCAA
William & Mary
#241
W
36-14
36
14
+22
H22/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#4
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H26/12
NCAA
52.9Avg total
31.3Scored
21.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.424.853.3+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (19)29.622.952.5+6.663%-
Last 30 away (11)26.528.154.5-1.645%-
Last 10 (10)31.321.652.9+9.780%-
Last 5 (5)33.022.855.8+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)28.032.760.7-4.717%-
vs Similar (11)26.625.752.4+0.955%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)30.220.550.6+9.777%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Notre Dame wins
1
Virginia wins
DateGameScore
12/02/20Virginia v Notre Dame50-49 OT
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/20HBellarmine81-70
19/12/20HPurdue78-88
17/12/20HDuke65-75
12/12/20AKentucky64-63
09/12/20HOhio State85-90
07/12/20HDetroit78-70
29/11/20AMichigan State70-80
11/03/20HBoston College80-58
07/03/20HVirginia Tech64-56
05/03/20HFlorida State71-73
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/20HGonzaga75-98
22/12/20HWilliam & Mary76-40
04/12/20HKent State71-64 OT
01/12/20HSt. Francis (PA)76-51
27/11/20ASan Francisco60-61
25/11/20HTowson89-54
07/03/20HLouisville57-54
05/03/20AMiami (FL)46-44
29/02/20HDuke52-50
27/02/20AVirginia Tech56-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Notre Dame
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW43%
HomeWLLLW40%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %43%40%50%
Points / game74.477.467.0
Allowed / game76.678.671.5
Point differential-2.1-1.2-4.5
Avg total151.0156.0138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virginia
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL67%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games651
Win %67%80%0%
Points / game74.577.460.0
Allowed / game61.361.461.0
Point differential+13.2+16.0-1.0
Avg total135.8138.8121.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %17%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wake Forest220100%91.055.5+35.5
2 SMU Mustangs660100%84.264.3+19.8
3 Virginia Tech98189%75.664.2+11.3
4 Clemson87188%67.955.1+12.8
5 Syracuse76186%83.767.9+15.9
6 Louisville76186%69.361.4+7.9
7 NC State65183%81.362.8+18.5
8 Stanford75271%72.764.6+8.1
9 Pittsburgh75271%72.064.6+7.4
10 Florida State75271%75.068.4+6.6
11 Virginia64267%74.561.3+13.2
12 North Carolina85362%74.468.1+6.2
13 Duke53260%73.869.6+4.2
14 Georgia Tech74357%82.777.0+5.7
15 Miami (FL)74357%69.364.7+4.6
16 California95456%68.765.8+2.9
17 Notre Dame73443%74.476.6-2.1
18 Boston College72529%74.382.1-7.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Notre Dame243357
Virginia303666
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.