PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Virginia vs Pittsburgh Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 67-47
33-20 34-27
Position#19
Record18-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game71.0
vs
Position#282
Record9-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game71.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Virginia v Pittsburgh
03 Feb 2026
VIRG67
PITT47
13 Feb 2024
VIRG63
PITT74
03 Dec 2021
VIRG57
PITT56
06 Feb 2021
VIRG73
PITT66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pittsburgh winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
American University
#204
W
95-51
95
51
+44
H22/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
L
85-95 OT
85
95
-10
A31/12
NCAA
NC State
#128
W
76-61
76
61
+15
A03/01
NCAA
California
#79
W
84-60
84
60
+24
H08/01
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
70-55
70
55
+15
H10/01
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
79-70
79
70
+9
A14/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A17/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
80-85
80
85
-5
H24/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
100-97 OT
100
97
+3
A28/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
45-25
50-26
24-23
31-32
40-20
36-41
43-33
41-27
41-34
29-21
33-28
46-42
40-37
32-31
43-34
37-51
35-44
38-29
27-32
46-34
152.2Avg total
81.4Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)82.771.0153.6+11.782%
Season at home (14)85.166.4151.5+18.886%
Season away (8)78.479.0157.4-0.675%
Last 10 (10)81.470.8152.2+10.680%
Last 5 (5)80.877.2158.0+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.276.8144.0-9.525%
vs Similar (9)73.170.0143.1+3.167%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)83.871.1154.8+12.782%
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PittsburghUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#298
W
80-46
80
46
+34
A21/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A31/12
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H03/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
72-83
72
83
-11
H10/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
89-66
89
66
+23
A15/01
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
59-100
59
100
-41
H18/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
L
62-65
62
65
-3
A22/01
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H24/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
80-76 OT
80
76
+4
H27/01
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
52-63
52
63
-11
A31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-20
40-26
43-33
26-43
35-34
33-39
37-48
35-35
45-26
44-40
22-53
37-47
22-28
40-37
33-34
39-47
30-36
36-30
16-33
36-30
143.2Avg total
70.3Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)72.071.1143.1+1.041%
Season at home (14)75.472.9148.4+2.550%
Season away (8)66.167.9134.0-1.825%
Last 10 (10)70.372.9143.2-2.630%
Last 5 (5)65.077.0142.0-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)66.974.8141.7-7.823%
vs Similar (7)73.773.1146.9+0.643%
vs Weaker (10)77.063.5140.5+13.560%
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: -0.8-0.8
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: -0.8-0.8
VirginiaPittsburgh
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
American University
#204
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H22/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
24-23
24
23
+1
A31/12
NCAA
NC State
#128
W
40-20
40
20
+20
A03/01
NCAA
California
#79
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H08/01
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H10/01
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A14/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A17/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H24/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A28/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A31/01
NCAA
68.1Avg total
37.1Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.931.969.8+6.070%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.430.971.4+9.582%-
Last 30 away (13)34.533.267.7+1.454%-
Last 10 (10)37.131.068.1+6.180%-
Last 5 (5)35.635.070.6+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.837.272.0-2.550%-
vs Similar (9)35.630.666.1+5.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)39.831.471.2+8.576%-
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PittsburghLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#298
W
40-20
40
20
+20
A21/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A31/12
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H03/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H10/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A15/01
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
22-53
22
53
-31
H18/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
L
22-28
22
28
-6
A22/01
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H24/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H27/01
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
16-33
16
33
-17
A31/01
NCAA
66.8Avg total
32.3Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.633.367.0+0.340%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.334.469.7+0.950%-
Last 30 away (12)31.231.862.9-0.625%-
Last 10 (10)32.334.566.8-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)24.636.861.4-12.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)30.835.466.2-4.638%-
vs Similar (7)35.435.370.7+0.129%-
vs Weaker (10)36.129.365.4+6.850%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Virginia wins
2
Pittsburgh wins
DateGameScore
04/02/25Pittsburgh v Virginia57-73
14/02/24Virginia v Pittsburgh63-74
04/01/23Pittsburgh v Virginia68-65
20/01/22Pittsburgh v Virginia61-66
04/12/21Virginia v Pittsburgh57-56
06/02/21Virginia v Pittsburgh73-66
22/02/20Pittsburgh v Virginia56-59
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26ABoston College73-66
28/01/26ANotre Dame100-97 OT
24/01/26HNorth Carolina80-85
17/01/26ASMU Mustangs72-68
14/01/26ALouisville79-70
10/01/26HStanford70-55
08/01/26HCalifornia84-60
03/01/26ANC State76-61
31/12/25AVirginia Tech85-95 OT
22/12/25HAmerican University95-51
Pittsburghlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26AClemson52-63
27/01/26HWake Forest80-76 OT
24/01/26HNC State72-81
22/01/26ABoston College62-65
18/01/26HLouisville59-100
15/01/26AGeorgia Tech89-66
10/01/26HSyracuse72-83
03/01/26HClemson68-73
31/12/25AMiami (FL)69-76
21/12/25APenn State80-46

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW82%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22148
Win %82%86%75%
Points / game82.785.178.4
Allowed / game71.066.479.0
Point differential+11.7+18.8-0.6
Avg total153.6151.5157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%71%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %9%0%25%
Pittsburgh
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL41%
HomeLLLLW50%
AwayWLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22148
Win %41%50%25%
Points / game72.075.466.1
Allowed / game71.172.967.9
Point differential+1.0+2.5-1.8
Avg total143.1148.4134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%36%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %5%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2221195%84.163.6+20.5
2 North Carolina2218482%83.170.6+12.5
3 Clemson2218482%76.564.5+11.9
4 Virginia2218482%82.771.0+11.7
5 Miami (FL)2217577%84.770.1+14.6
6 NC State2216673%85.972.0+14.0
7 California2216673%78.370.6+7.7
8 Louisville2115671%86.170.5+15.6
9 SMU Mustangs2115671%86.677.5+9.1
10 Virginia Tech2316770%80.074.0+6.0
11 Stanford2214864%75.973.5+2.4
12 Syracuse23131057%75.870.7+5.1
13 Wake Forest22111150%80.077.6+2.5
14 Notre Dame22111150%74.072.2+1.8
15 Georgia Tech22111150%74.574.0+0.5
16 Florida State22101245%80.879.6+1.2
17 Pittsburgh2291341%72.071.1+1.0
18 Boston College2291341%67.268.3-1.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia333467
Pittsburgh202747
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.