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Pittsburgh vs Virginia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 68-65
23-33 45-32
Position#72
Record10-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game67.9
vs
Position#36
Record10-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game58.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Pittsburgh v Virginia
03 Feb 2025
PITT57
VIRG73
03 Jan 2023
PITT68
VIRG65
19 Jan 2022
PITT61
VIRG66
22 Feb 2020
PITT56
VIRG59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pittsburgh winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virginia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PittsburghUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama State
#348
W
73-54
73
54
+19
H20/11
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#144
W
83-61
83
61
+22
H23/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#280
W
80-64
80
64
+16
H26/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
W
87-58
87
58
+29
A29/11
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
68-60
68
60
+8
A03/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A08/12
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#219
W
91-66
91
66
+25
H10/12
NCAA
North Florida
#243
W
82-56
82
56
+26
H17/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
84-82
84
82
+2
A21/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-34
42-20
35-28
48-33
33-37
47-27
37-28
50-30
33-28
35-32
34-34
40-41
41-36
50-30
39-25
43-31
41-33
43-49
34-40
42-34
144.8Avg total
79.8Scored
65.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.867.9143.7+7.971%
Season at home (9)75.767.2142.9+8.478%
Season away (5)76.069.2145.2+6.860%
Last 10 (10)79.865.0144.8+14.890%
Last 5 (5)81.470.6152.0+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)59.572.1131.6-12.523%
vs Similar ◀ (11)70.567.6138.1+2.864%
vs Weaker (6)80.766.2146.8+14.583%
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#67
W
86-79
86
79
+7
A19/11
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H20/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#130
W
72-45
72
45
+27
H25/11
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A30/11
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H03/12
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H07/12
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H17/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A21/12
NCAA
Albany
#346
W
66-46
66
46
+20
H28/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
74-56
74
56
+18
A31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-33
56-46
29-31
41-30
40-22
32-23
34-45
36-23
21-22
41-35
27-20
28-30
26-30
35-39
26-36
38-30
33-24
33-22
36-25
38-31
127.7Avg total
68.0Scored
59.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)70.258.3128.5+11.883%
Season at home (8)68.553.9122.4+14.688%
Season away (4)73.567.2140.8+6.275%
Last 10 (10)68.059.7127.7+8.380%
Last 5 (5)64.057.4121.4+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)57.062.8119.8-5.833%
vs Similar ◀ (13)69.062.9131.9+6.169%
vs Weaker (10)66.955.5122.4+11.490%
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +11.3+11.32nd half: +6.9+6.9
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +11.3+11.32nd half: +6.9+6.9
PittsburghVirginia
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
PittsburghLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama State
#348
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H20/11
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#144
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H23/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#280
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H26/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A29/11
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A03/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A08/12
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#219
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H10/12
NCAA
North Florida
#243
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H17/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A21/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H30/12
NCAA
68.1Avg total
35.8Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.333.362.7-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (18)29.934.664.6-4.728%-
Last 30 away (12)28.431.459.8-3.042%-
Last 10 (10)35.832.368.1+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)37.833.671.4+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)23.934.358.2-10.415%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)31.832.364.1-0.545%-
vs Weaker (6)36.533.269.7+3.350%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#67
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A19/11
NCAA
Illinois
#114
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H20/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#130
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H25/11
NCAA
Michigan
#174
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A30/11
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
21-22
21
22
-1
H03/12
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
27-20
27
20
+7
H07/12
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H17/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A21/12
NCAA
Albany
#346
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H28/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A31/12
NCAA
59.0Avg total
30.2Scored
28.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.827.457.2+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (17)30.124.554.5+5.665%-
Last 30 away (13)29.431.360.7-1.946%-
Last 10 (10)30.228.859.0+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)29.627.056.6+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)25.727.853.5-2.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)30.530.360.8+0.246%-
vs Weaker (10)31.624.355.9+7.370%-
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pittsburgh wins
4
Virginia wins
DateGameScore
20/01/22Pittsburgh v Virginia61-66
04/12/21Virginia v Pittsburgh57-56
06/02/21Virginia v Pittsburgh73-66
22/02/20Pittsburgh v Virginia56-59
Pittsburghlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/22HNorth Carolina76-74
21/12/22ASyracuse84-82
17/12/22HNorth Florida82-56
10/12/22HSacred Heart91-66
08/12/22AVanderbilt74-75
03/12/22ANC State68-60
29/11/22ANorthwestern87-58
26/11/22HWilliam & Mary80-64
23/11/22HFairleigh Dickinson83-61
20/11/22HAlabama State73-54
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/22AGeorgia Tech74-56
28/12/22HAlbany66-46
21/12/22AMiami (FL)64-66
17/12/22HHouston61-69
07/12/22HJames Madison55-50
03/12/22HFlorida State62-57
30/11/22AMichigan70-68
25/11/22HMd.-East. Shore72-45
20/11/22HIllinois70-61
19/11/22ABaylor86-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pittsburgh
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %71%78%60%
Points / game75.875.776.0
Allowed / game67.967.269.2
Point differential+7.9+8.4+6.8
Avg total143.7142.9145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virginia
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW83%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %83%88%75%
Points / game70.268.573.5
Allowed / game58.353.967.2
Point differential+11.8+14.6+6.2
Avg total128.5122.4140.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia1210283%70.258.3+11.8
2 Duke1411379%73.960.9+13.0
3 Virginia Tech1411379%75.463.9+11.4
4 Clemson1411379%75.966.3+9.6
5 NC State1511473%79.568.3+11.3
6 Pittsburgh1410471%75.867.9+7.9
7 Wake Forest1410471%75.671.1+4.6
8 Miami (FL)2819968%76.471.0+5.4
9 Syracuse1510567%75.269.1+6.1
10 North Carolina149564%80.974.6+6.3
11 Georgia Tech137654%71.268.6+2.6
12 Notre Dame158753%69.768.5+1.1
13 Boston College158753%64.767.5-2.7
14 SMU Mustangs146843%69.970.1-0.1
15 Stanford145936%68.164.9+3.2
16 Florida State1541127%68.674.1-5.5
17 California1521313%59.566.4-6.9
18 Louisville1521313%62.074.1-12.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Pittsburgh234568
Virginia333265
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