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Virginia vs Virginia Tech Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 23:00
Scheduled
Position#42
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game69.6
vs
Position#45
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game67.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Virginia v Virginia Tech
30 Jan 2027
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Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Virginia Tech win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#128
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H12/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
W
84-62
84
62
+22
H13/03
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A15/03
NCAA
Wright State
#94
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H20/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H22/03
NCAA
Drexel
#241
W
89-60
89
60
+29
H04/11
NCAA
Northeastern
#238
W
97-72
97
72
+25
H06/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#110
W
91-72
91
72
+19
H08/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#398
W
95-61
95
61
+34
H11/11
NCAA
Maryland
#275
W
87-83
87
83
+4
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-32
48-42
38-23
46-39
36-38
34-36
38-43
44-30
31-36
41-43
51-27
38-33
38-31
59-41
46-27
45-45
53-31
42-30
36-47
51-36
155.8Avg total
84.8Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)91.869.6161.4+22.2100%
Season at home (4)93.066.2159.2+26.8100%
Season away (1)87.083.0170.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.871.0155.8+13.880%
Last 5 (5)91.869.6161.4+22.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)60.575.5136.0-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)79.070.9149.9+8.180%
vs Weaker (18)82.967.7150.7+15.294%
This opponent (Virginia Tech) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virginia TechUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#38
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A18/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
82-63
82
63
+19
H21/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A01/03
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H04/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A07/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
89-95 OT
89
95
-6
H10/03
NCAA
Coppin State
#336
W
88-54
88
54
+34
H04/11
NCAA
Mercer
#259
W
96-67
96
67
+29
H06/11
NCAA
Iowa
#151
W
93-88 OT
93
88
+5
A11/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#295
W
82-62
82
62
+20
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-31
32-36
43-33
39-30
44-44
38-45
35-24
37-39
25-41
47-35
34-38
41-37
45-27
43-27
47-24
49-43
41-40
38-39
42-30
40-32
154.6Avg total
82.2Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)89.867.8157.5+22.0100%
Season at home (3)88.761.0149.7+27.7100%
Season away (1)93.088.0181.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.272.4154.6+9.860%
Last 5 (5)89.673.2162.8+16.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.279.6151.9-7.412%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.277.1156.3+2.157%
vs Weaker (8)83.265.4148.6+17.9100%
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +6.5+6.51st half: +5.8+5.82nd half2nd half: +7.3+7.32nd half: +4.1+4.1
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +6.5+6.51st half: +5.8+5.82nd half2nd half: +7.3+7.32nd half: +4.1+4.1
VirginiaVirginia Tech
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#128
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H12/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H13/03
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A15/03
NCAA
Wright State
#94
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H20/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H22/03
NCAA
Drexel
#241
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H04/11
NCAA
Northeastern
#238
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H06/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#110
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H08/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#398
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H11/11
NCAA
Maryland
#275
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A14/11
NCAA
73.5Avg total
40.0Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.031.669.6+6.467%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.730.269.9+9.683%-
Last 30 away (12)35.433.869.2+1.642%-
Last 10 (10)40.033.573.5+6.560%-
Last 5 (5)44.832.677.4+12.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.039.570.5-8.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.631.067.6+5.670%-
vs Weaker (18)39.631.170.7+8.472%-
This opponent (Virginia Tech) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virginia TechLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#38
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A18/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H21/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A01/03
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H04/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A07/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H10/03
NCAA
Coppin State
#336
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H04/11
NCAA
Mercer
#259
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H06/11
NCAA
Iowa
#151
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A11/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#295
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H14/11
NCAA
72.2Avg total
39.0Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.134.170.2+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.831.870.6+7.171%-
Last 30 away (13)32.537.269.7-4.831%-
Last 10 (10)39.033.272.2+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)41.831.873.6+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)29.236.665.9-7.412%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.435.673.0+1.750%-
vs Weaker (8)40.629.069.6+11.6100%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Virginia wins
5
Virginia Tech wins
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AMaryland87-83
11/11/26HBucknell95-61
08/11/26HArkansas91-72
06/11/26HNortheastern97-72
04/11/26HDrexel89-60
22/03/26HTennessee72-79
20/03/26HWright State82-73
15/03/26ADuke70-74
13/03/26HMiami (FL)84-62
12/03/26HNC State81-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HMount St. Mary's82-62
11/11/26AIowa93-88 OT
06/11/26HMercer96-67
04/11/26HCoppin State88-54
10/03/26HWake Forest89-95 OT
07/03/26AVirginia72-76
04/03/26HBoston College72-63
01/03/26ANorth Carolina82-89
21/02/26HWake Forest82-63
18/02/26AMiami (FL)66-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.893.087.0
Allowed / game69.666.283.0
Point differential+22.2+26.8+4.0
Avg total161.4159.2170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virginia Tech
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.888.793.0
Allowed / game67.861.088.0
Point differential+22.0+27.7+5.0
Avg total157.5149.7181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %25%0%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisville220100%95.563.5+32.0
2 SMU Mustangs440100%92.067.5+24.5
3 Boston College330100%76.353.0+23.3
4 Notre Dame440100%87.564.2+23.2
5 Virginia550100%91.869.6+22.2
6 Virginia Tech440100%89.867.8+22.0
7 NC State440100%83.862.2+21.5
8 Pittsburgh440100%83.264.5+18.8
9 Georgia Tech440100%82.570.8+11.8
10 California54180%85.874.8+11.0
11 Duke43175%90.057.0+33.0
12 Miami (FL)43175%83.259.2+24.0
13 Wake Forest43175%76.262.8+13.5
14 North Carolina43175%83.870.8+13.0
15 Stanford43175%78.569.2+9.2
16 Clemson43175%84.276.8+7.5
17 Syracuse32167%85.363.3+22.0
18 Florida State42250%79.080.2-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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