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Virginia vs Virginia Tech Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 76-72
41-25 35-47
Position#19
Record26-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game69.4
Virginia 🏆
USA
vs
Virginia Tech
USA
Position#122
Record19-11
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game74.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Virginia v Virginia Tech
30 Jan 2027
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upcoming
07 Mar 2026
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01 Feb 2025
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VIRG75
17 Jan 2024
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VIRG57
18 Jan 2023
VIRG78
VIRG68
12 Jan 2022
VIRG54
VIRG52
02 Jan 2021
VIRG v VIRG
upcoming
04 Jan 2020
VIRG65
VIRG39
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virginia Tech winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#308
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A31/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
67-47
67
47
+20
H04/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
72-59
72
59
+13
H07/02
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A11/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
70-66
70
66
+4
A15/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
94-68
94
68
+26
A19/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H21/02
NCAA
NC State
#128
W
90-61
90
61
+29
H25/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
51-77
51
77
-26
A28/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H04/03
NCAA
1H
2H
27-32
46-34
33-20
34-27
38-35
34-24
32-32
29-26
37-37
33-29
59-27
35-41
39-44
47-39
32-19
58-42
26-41
25-36
32-24
43-46
139.4Avg total
73.9Scored
65.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)80.269.4149.5+10.884%
Season at home (19)83.365.7149.0+17.589%
Season away (12)75.275.1150.3+0.275%
Last 10 (10)73.965.5139.4+8.490%
Last 5 (5)79.271.8151.0+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)51.077.0128.0-26.00%
vs Similar (8)80.170.4150.5+9.888%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)81.269.4150.6+11.986%
This opponent (Virginia Tech) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virginia TechUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#53
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A24/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H28/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
58-72
58
72
-14
H31/01
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A07/02
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
76-66
76
66
+10
A12/02
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
69-92
69
92
-23
H14/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A18/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
82-63
82
63
+19
H21/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A01/03
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H04/03
NCAA
1H
2H
22-37
49-48
36-30
35-35
31-40
27-32
24-36
49-46
40-33
36-33
42-39
27-53
34-31
32-36
43-33
39-30
44-44
38-45
35-24
37-39
146.4Avg total
72.0Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)78.774.2152.8+4.563%
Season at home (18)82.071.9153.9+10.183%
Season away (12)73.777.6151.2-3.933%
Last 10 (10)72.074.4146.4-2.440%
Last 5 (5)74.274.8149.0-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)72.380.1152.4-7.914%
vs Similar (16)80.874.2154.9+6.669%
vs Weaker (7)80.368.1148.4+12.1100%
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.4+4.41st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: +4.0+4.02nd half: -2.8-2.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.4+4.41st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: +4.0+4.02nd half: -2.8-2.8
VirginiaVirginia Tech
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#308
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A31/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
33-20
33
20
+13
H04/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H07/02
NCAA
Florida State
#167
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A11/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A15/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
59-27
59
27
+32
A19/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H21/02
NCAA
NC State
#128
W
32-19
32
19
+13
H25/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A28/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H04/03
NCAA
66.6Avg total
35.5Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.830.969.7+8.073%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.629.970.5+10.789%-
Last 30 away (12)36.232.368.5+3.850%-
Last 10 (10)35.531.166.6+4.450%-
Last 5 (5)37.631.068.6+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)26.041.067.0-15.00%-
vs Similar (8)38.830.869.5+8.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)39.530.469.9+9.076%-
This opponent (Virginia Tech) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virginia TechLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#53
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A24/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H28/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H31/01
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A07/02
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A12/02
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H14/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A18/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H21/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A01/03
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H04/03
NCAA
69.8Avg total
35.1Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.233.970.1+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.732.771.4+6.172%-
Last 30 away (12)32.435.868.2-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)35.134.769.8+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.634.273.8+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)29.936.065.9-6.114%-
vs Similar (16)38.134.973.0+3.256%-
vs Weaker (7)38.129.667.7+8.6100%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Virginia wins
6
Virginia Tech wins
DateGameScore
31/12/25Virginia Tech v Virginia95-85 OT
15/02/25Virginia Tech v Virginia70-73
01/02/25Virginia v Virginia Tech74-75
20/02/24Virginia Tech v Virginia75-41
18/01/24Virginia v Virginia Tech65-57
04/02/23Virginia Tech v Virginia74-68
19/01/23Virginia v Virginia Tech78-68
15/02/22Virginia Tech v Virginia62-53
13/01/22Virginia v Virginia Tech54-52
30/01/21Virginia Tech v Virginia65-51
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26HWake Forest75-70
28/02/26ADuke51-77
25/02/26HNC State90-61
21/02/26HMiami (FL)86-83
19/02/26AGeorgia Tech94-68
15/02/26AOhio State70-66
11/02/26AFlorida State61-58
07/02/26HSyracuse72-59
04/02/26HPittsburgh67-47
31/01/26ABoston College73-66
Virginia Techlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26HBoston College72-63
01/03/26ANorth Carolina82-89
21/02/26HWake Forest82-63
18/02/26AMiami (FL)66-67
14/02/26HFlorida State69-92
12/02/26AClemson76-66
07/02/26ANC State73-82
31/01/26HDuke58-72
28/01/26HGeorgia Tech71-65
24/01/26ALouisville71-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW84%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311912
Win %84%89%75%
Points / game80.283.375.2
Allowed / game69.465.775.1
Point differential+10.8+17.5+0.2
Avg total149.5149.0150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%68%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)75% (4)100% (4)
Overtime %6%0%17%
Virginia Tech
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW63%
HomeWLLWW83%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301812
Win %63%83%33%
Points / game78.782.073.7
Allowed / game74.271.977.6
Point differential+4.5+10.1-3.9
Avg total152.8153.9151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %13%17%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke3028293%83.262.5+20.6
2 Virginia3126584%80.269.4+10.8
3 Miami (FL)3024680%82.570.0+12.5
4 North Carolina3024680%80.470.9+9.6
5 Louisville3021970%85.771.9+13.8
6 Clemson3021970%74.366.0+8.4
7 California3021970%77.772.3+5.4
8 NC State30191163%83.575.7+7.8
9 SMU Mustangs30191163%85.278.0+7.3
10 Virginia Tech30191163%78.774.2+4.5
11 Stanford30191163%76.172.6+3.5
12 Florida State30161453%79.677.5+2.1
13 Wake Forest30151550%78.877.0+1.8
14 Syracuse30151550%75.474.0+1.4
15 Notre Dame30131743%74.675.3-0.6
16 Pittsburgh30111937%70.171.3-1.2
17 Georgia Tech30111937%73.777.4-3.7
18 Boston College30102033%67.170.7-3.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia413576
Virginia Tech254772
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